The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing

[Roger Smith]

Well I knew what Dr No looked like but I am glad to get a picture of Chairman Yes

[Bob Chill]

3-6 idea down here still hanging on.... I want this to hit the DMV as much as you folks in the dmv but gotta root for the back yard too

 

[BristowWx]

Just now, Steckstacks said:

Maybe this is a preview for a bigger 0z jump by the Euro.


.

Indeed.  I think you are on to something. 

[IronTy]

I feel like with this storm I could go to bed and wake up the next morning wth either no snow or 10" of snow.  Technology has failed us.  

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

3-6 idea down here still hanging on.... I want this to hit the DMV as much as you folks in the dmv but gotta root for the back yard too

 

I hope it’s hits for you Bob.  You are a board legend GOAT level no matter where you live.  

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Steckstacks said:

Maybe this is a preview for a bigger 0z jump by the Euro.


.

I don't know about that. All week the Euro has been windshield wipering--appearing to look a little better at 6z/18z only to double back at 0z/12z

[Conway7305]

Did the northern stream trend weaker?  Is that why the slight jump NW. 

[Amped]

It develops a connective feedback low well offshore and trys to rotate it into the coast of Maine. Must have stole a page from the Cmc's playbook. 

[midatlanticweather]

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

3-6 idea down here still hanging on.... I want this to hit the DMV as much as you folks in the dmv but gotta root for the back yard too

 

We are pulling for you Bob! https://media.tenor.com/cBVhaBrvCkMAAAAM/aladdin-genie.gif

[IronTy]

More importantly, what's the WeatherNext say?

[MDsnowPRO]

6 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

3-6 idea down here still hanging on.... I want this to hit the DMV as much as you folks in the dmv but gotta root for the back yard too

 

If anyone deserves it, it’s you 

[mitchnick]

We oughta' give up more often.

[WeatherGeek2025]

3 minutes ago, IronTy said:

More importantly, what's the WeatherNext say?

I honestly still think this will be the final outcome

[TSSN+]

Just got a carton of smoking cirrus at the Sheetz down the street. 

[psuhoffman]

It had to trend closer in order to inflict the maximum amount of emotional trauma. 

[Solution Man]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

I honestly still think this will be the final outcome

[rjvanals]

18z Euro gives me 2010 Boxing Day anxiety I’d rather it just miss out to sea 

[psuhoffman]

I’ve realized we are living in a simulation and the code was written by someone who was wronged by a mid Atlantic snow weenie and the whole point of the simulation is to get revenge 

[AlexD1990]

It's honestly comical at this point 

[psuhoffman]

And before anyone says “but it snows once in a while” yea it has to just enough to keep us engaged. If it never snowed at all we would have all either moved or moved on to other things in our lives by now. No no no, in order to inflict the absolute most pain and suffering possible they have to give us just enough hope to keep us coming back each time for the next kick in the nads. 

[NorthArlington101]

And before anyone says “but it snows once in a while” yea it has to just enough to keep us engaged. If it never snowed at all we would have all either moved or moved on to other things in our lives by now. No no no, in order to inflict the absolute most pain and suffering possible the have to give us just enough hope to keep us coming back each time for the next kick in the nads. 

Sounds like you could use a direct flight to Boston. This forum should crowdfund one weenie a ticket and a hotel to each blizzard, like $2 each.

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ve realized we are living in a simulation and the code was written by someone who was wronged by a mid Atlantic snow weenie and the whole point of the simulation is to get revenge 

Well, it's working.

[psuhoffman]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Sounds like you could use a direct flight to Boston. This forum should crowdfund one weenie a ticket and a hotel to each blizzard, like $2 each.

I’m fine. I’ll be in Vermont at my friends, drunk off my arse this weekend 

BTW, he’s the smart one. He was a meteorology student with me at PSU. Big snow weenie. So he bought a snowmobile farm on top of a mountain in Vermont that averages about 150” of snow.  

[NorthArlington101]

I’m fine. I’ll be in Vermont at my friends, drunk off my arse this weekend 
BTW, he’s the smart one. He was a meteorology student with me at PSU. Big snow weenie. So he bought a snowmobile farm on top of a mountain in Vermont that averages about 150” of snow.  

You’re the smart one - having friends in snowy places! You don’t want to own a boat, you want to have friends with a boat…

[JenkinsJinkies]

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

And before anyone says “but it snows once in a while” yea it has to just enough to keep us engaged. If it never snowed at all we would have all either moved or moved on to other things in our lives by now. No no no, in order to inflict the absolute most pain and suffering possible they have to give us just enough hope to keep us coming back each time for the next kick in the nads. 

For real though, is there a possibility that we've finally gotten out of the slump judging by how this season and last year's have gone?

[Roger Smith]

It will be Friday 00z before models have any real clue what this will do. It is a very anomalous pattern so it cannot rely on very many useful analogues. It could even be Friday 12z before any accurate depictions emerge. 

Patience. 

[DMAC98]

29 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Not sure how much things can shift with the time left but euro AI made a notable jump NW....

Time for us to have this on standby:

[frd]

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ve realized we are living in a simulation and the code was written by someone who was wronged by a mid Atlantic snow weenie and the whole point of the simulation is to get revenge 

These guys wrote the revenge code for the GFS.  

 

 

[psuhoffman]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

For real though, is there a possibility that we've finally gotten out of the slump judging by how this season and last year's have gone?

Jokes aside it’s a good sign we’ve had 2 cold winters in a row. Our struggles turning that into a lot of snow has more to do with the lack of STJ because…Nina, than anything else and cold dry wingers were always a thing going back 100 years. So glass half full maybe we are out of the main issue that plagued us from 2017-2024 and we just haven’t had a snowy winter yet (and I’ve not given up on this one yet we just need one flush hit and the pattern is far from hopeless). 

[Ji]

I’m fine. I’ll be in Vermont at my friends, drunk off my arse this weekend 
BTW, he’s the smart one. He was a meteorology student with me at PSU. Big snow weenie. So he bought a snowmobile farm on top of a mountain in Vermont that averages about 150” of snow.  

Is that megawatt?