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February 2026 OBS & Discussion


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11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Realtime (-48 years) from ISP:

METAR KISP 061856Z 04528G35KT 0SM +SN VV000 M02/M04 A2963 RMK SLP036

Waiting for the 3pm obs.  Puking snow and the house is shaking.

Hot off the [very cold] presses:

METAR KISP 061956Z 04035G49KT 0SM +SN BLSN VV000 M02/M02 A2954 RMK SLP000

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Re: start a thread? 

There already is a thread in the form of the contest for low temperatures and weekend snowfall. If you enter the contest (deadline 06z or 0100h tonight) please note, snowfall as per rules begins on Saturday so anything before midnight won't count towards contest results. 

Feel free to discuss the cold and snow as well as entering contest there. 

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7 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said:

Meh. I’m not particularly enthused. The 11th threat is gone, looks too warm now. And we all know the 2-3 days of snow Euro has next weekend won’t happen like that. Looks a bit warm for that threat. After that, we have our moderation period. So cold but most of it’s gone to waste. Hopefully there’s another window towards end of month. But we haven’t had late February snow since 2021. Been so long for march snow as well. I’m not impressed 

We had a storm with 11-18 inches of snow area wide, followed by cold that preserved most of the snow cover in place for the two weeks since. How is that a waste of the cold?

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4 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

We had a storm with 11-18 inches of snow area wide, followed by cold that preserved most of the snow cover in place for the two weeks hence. How is that a waste of the cold?

It's been below average cold for a solid 3 weeks right through the heart of winter. The mix event on January 25 was a lot of fun, but this period will be remembered for its cold not for its snow.

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5 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

We had a storm with 11-18 inches of snow area wide, followed by cold that preserved most of the snow cover in place for the two weeks since. How is that a waste of the cold?

Hes saying that that was it and hes disappointed. And hes not wrong to feel that way.

 

it was a nice big storm followed by a prolonged cold snap but that looks like all we’re gonna get right now. 

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18 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

We had a storm with 11-18 inches of snow area wide, followed by cold that preserved most of the snow cover in place for the two weeks since. How is that a waste of the cold?

Exactly

Some people on here are delusional 

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9 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Hes saying that that was it and hes disappointed. And hes not wrong to feel that way.

 

it was a nice big storm followed by a prolonged cold snap but that looks like all we’re gonna get right now. 

Usually a storm happens when the tellies go the other way and thats what is going to happen. 

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7 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

Hes saying that that was it and hes disappointed. And hes not wrong to feel that way.

 

it was a nice big storm followed by a prolonged cold snap but that looks like all we’re gonna get right now. 

can't say that from looking at long term forecasts; seen stuff develop rapidly many times. but if that's it, it was still a great winter; several december events, great pictures during the holiday season, big ass storm in late jan, pronounced cold to keep it around for awhile. they were still digging out early this week. beats the heck out of years like, 20, 23, and so on.....but not the blockbuster many here wanted. 

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48 minutes ago, eduggs said:

It's been below average cold for a solid 3 weeks right through the heart of winter. The mix event on January 25 was a lot of fun, but this period will be remembered for its cold not for its snow.

I respectfully disagree .  I believe this ever since being introduced to the ‘cumulative snowpack’ stat (h/t Don), which I think is the best stat for how wintry a winter will be remembered, especially by the average person.  I believe that years from now we’ll remember the cold and occasionally frigid temps, but we’ll mostly remember the deep snow and icepack which refused to budge for weeks, as well as the unique nature of the storm itself.  If this had just been a two week stretch with an average high in the high 20s, with no snow, it would be very forgettable.
 

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1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Right now 48 years ago today.  Here are the 4pm obs; it's getting real:

METAR KISP 062056Z 04540G52KT 0SM +SN BLSN VV000 M01/M02 A2949 RMK SLP986

What a memorable storm that was and will always be.  Not my favorite but in the top 10.  In some ways it is my favorite because of the times we were living in.  No internet. All you had was tv and radio to get info from.  As a kid interested in the weather it was a special time.  NOAA weather radio with live warm bodies doing the hourly roundup!  Still have Accuweather recordings from 1010 WINS.

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9 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Gotta love the 986 SLP

What a memorable storm that was and will always be.  Not my favorite but in the top 10.  In some ways it is my favorite because of the times we were living in.  No internet. All you had was tv and radio to get info from.  As a kid interested in the weather it was a special time.  NOAA weather radio with live warm bodies doing the hourly roundup!  Still have Accuweather recordings from 1010 WINS.

I think that means 998.6mb. The lowest at KISP during that storm was 29.24" (990 mb)

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17 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Gotta love the 986 SLP

What a memorable storm that was and will always be.  Not my favorite but in the top 10.  In some ways it is my favorite because of the times we were living in.  No internet. All you had was tv and radio to get info from.  As a kid interested in the weather it was a special time.  NOAA weather radio with live warm bodies doing the hourly roundup!  Still have Accuweather recordings from 1010 WINS.

also as a kid in high school, it was the deepest snow my friends and i had ever seen; we grew up with 5-6 inches being a snow day, and not that many at that. to be closed for a week was unheard of. and we would not see anything like it until 1983, the april 82 storm being a freak but not as impactful. 83 would not be matched until 96, the march 93 superstorm mixing for us; the stretch if ku events in the 2000s was extraordinary.

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1 hour ago, eduggs said:

It's been below average cold for a solid 3 weeks right through the heart of winter. The mix event on January 25 was a lot of fun, but this period will be remembered for its cold not for its snow.

What? We've had deep snowcover for almost two weeks. How often does that happen especially at the coast?

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9 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said:

C-? Since average is 29-30” for CPK, and average is like a B, then I would say this is like a C+ winter. And only because we haven’t reached average snowfall yet. With the cold we’ve had and all the ice, that’s been an A. Coldest winter since 2015 I believe. But yeah in the snow department I’d say B- because we’re still a little below average. 
 

personally, cold notwithstanding, my grading scale is 

F: 10” or less. (Ratter winters) 
D: 11-14”

C-: 15-18”

C: 19-22”

C+: 23-25”

B-: 26-28”

B: 29-32”

B+: 33-36”

A-:37-40”

A: 41-44”

A+:45” or higher 

 

some of us are about average or a little over.

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13 minutes ago, NyWxGuy said:

C-? Since average is 29-30” for CPK, and average is like a B, then I would say this is like a C+ winter. And only because we haven’t reached average snowfall yet. With the cold we’ve had and all the ice, that’s been an A. Coldest winter since 2015 I believe. But yeah in the snow department I’d say B- because we’re still a little below average. 
 

personally, cold notwithstanding, my grading scale is 

F: 10” or less. (Ratter winters) 
D: 11-14”

C-: 15-18”

C: 19-22”

C+: 23-25”

B-: 26-28”

B: 29-32”

B+: 33-36”

A-:37-40”

A: 41-44”

A+:45” or higher 

 

The cold and snowpack definitely adds at least a full grade for me. Solid B right now even if doesn't snow anymore...i'm sitting at around 27"

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Central Park's cumulative snow depth through today is 107". Winter 2025-2026 is only the second winter since Winter 2014-2015 to exceed 100" cumulative snow depth with Winter 2020-2021 being the other.

A strong surge of Arctic air will arrive for the weekend, likely accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Much of the region could see a coating to an inch of snow early tomorrow morning. The eastern half of Suffolk County could see a 1"-3" snowfall, as some Atlantic moisture from a developing offshore storm could enhance snowfall in that area. 

The temperature will hold steady or fall slowly throughout the day. Sunday will likely be the coldest day this winter. Temperatures on Sunday will likely top out in the teens in New York City following a low in the single digits. Monday will start very cold, but the afternoon will be less harsh as readings climb into the lower and middle 20s.

The persistent and often severely cold pattern will likely break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February, even as milder readings overspread the region.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter.

The SOI was +10.18 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -2.923 today. 

 

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1 hour ago, MANDA said:

What a memorable storm that was and will always be.  Not my favorite but in the top 10.  In some ways it is my favorite because of the times we were living in.  No internet. All you had was tv and radio to get info from.  As a kid interested in the weather it was a special time.  NOAA weather radio with live warm bodies doing the hourly roundup!  Still have Accuweather recordings from 1010 WINS.

Yep.
Alan Kasper, Craig Allen, et al.

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