February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[Eskimo Joe]

23 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said:

Give me a PD3 all snow MECS for the entire forum and you can call it a winter. 

Same. I'm still below climo snowfall despite this being the snowiest winter in a decade.

[Ji]

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Please tell me  you're joking

i mean the 6z gfs....

[TowsonWeather]

4 hours ago, stormy said:

IMO, this model has no credibility anymore, because of occasional unpredictable occurrence of highly inflated totals.  

It gave me 12" for 3.5" on December 8 a few days ahead of event.

Jan. 20, it gave me 16.5" for 6" on Jan. 25.

At this point I think you’re just trolling with this schtick. 

[Ji]

not trying to win the weenie of the year but this blowtorch after Feb 10--looks like it lasts till Feb 11. Models are much colder now leading up to PD3

[psuhoffman]

16 minutes ago, Ji said:

i think with this new pattern that we will be in for PD3, suppression right now is a good thing. I dont think the features that have been in place for suppression now will still be there

I tend to agree with this

[psuhoffman]

4 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

At this point I think you’re just trolling with this schtick. 

It definitely seems like trolling...but the sad part is he probably is being serious 

[Nomz]

14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

As long as I get the most snow for PD3, I hope the dmv gets demolished 

...I'll show myself the door now....

I hope the mix line sets up 5 miles north of your backyard

[Weather Will]

Running through Day 9 on WB GEFS does not look suppressed.

[blizzardmeiser]

19 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Please tell me  you're joking

A few people are indicating it could be legendary.  

[Nomz]

12 minutes ago, Ji said:

not trying to win the weenie of the year but this blowtorch after Feb 10--looks like it lasts till Feb 11. Models are much colder now leading up to PD3

CPC agrees

[stormtracker]

Euro has it..but...too warm as of now

[stormtracker]

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Euro has it..but...too warm as of now

That's the Euro we know and love. It's when it shows us getting a HECS at this range that we fail, or at least that's the way it's been in recent years.

[Nomz]

Just now, stormtracker said:

would be so fun to get a perfectly tracked noreaster rainstorm in mid february

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro has it..but...too warm as of now

so Euro is a smidge too north and AI is too south...you know where this is going right?

[peribonca]

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Running through Day 9 on WB GEFS does not look suppressed.

Can't wait to see rain falling in Montréal while it's snowing in Norfolk

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

And the 12z euro AI is suppressed so maybe not a bad spot.

[Ji]

Euro looks like it would start as snow Randy

[Ji]

If you look at the trend of the euro from its 00z run---it looks alot more souther

[psuhoffman]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's the Euro we know and love. It's when it shows us getting a HECS at this range that we fail, or at least that's the way it's been in recent years.

I would prefer the euro to be over amped and a little warm at this range...it's not far off synoptically from what we want.  Not for that range.  

[psuhoffman]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

If you look at the trend of the euro from its 00z run---it looks alot more souther

Who are you and what have you done with Ji 

[Nomz]

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I would prefer the euro to be over amped and a little warm at this range...it's not far off synoptically from what we want.  Not for that range.  

Realistically, all you can ask for at this range is to be in the game. Being 500 miles off target and dead in the bullseye doesn't really make a difference 12 days out.

[Ji]

Randy--your fired

[TSSN+]

Just now, Ji said:

Randy--your fired

 

[Weather Will]

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

If you look at the trend of the euro from its 00z run---it looks alot more souther

For what it is worth....WB 12Z EURO in fantasy range.

[Climate175]

54 minutes ago, soadforecasterx said:

Give me a PD3 all snow MECS for the entire forum and you can call it a winter. 

That’s exactly how I feel. 

[Mikeymac5306]

14 minutes ago, blizzardmeiser said:

A few people are indicating it could be legendary.  

There's talk of a blizzard

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Who are you and what have you done with Ji 

i have to play this stupid role on this forum but when it comes down to it---i have some knowledge lol. But with so many great mets on this board...the last thing you need is my forecasting 2 cents.

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I would prefer the euro to be over amped and a little warm at this range...it's not far off synoptically from what we want.  Not for that range.  

Now we're cooked!

[TSSN+]