January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!

[IronTy]

Well I pulled off the coup and convinced/tricked my wife into staying at the cabin tonight for the storm.   6F right now, just did a walk at dusk with the pup and we are just waiting for the storm.  Still expecting 12-18" I guess.  I hope it starts snowing soon.  

[Dendrimer77]

First flakes Charlottesville!

[GreyHat]

Holding stead 18F/-3 dew point 

[IUsedToHateCold]

18/-4, Expecting first flakes in three hours. 

[DDweatherman]

Models all on board minus the Nam, let’s cave for shits and giggles at 0z for poetic justice. 

[stormy]

Snow has started at my place in Augusta.    14 degrees.

[LeesburgWx]

Welp, we have graduated to the sole Obs thread now, Let's see how this plays out. The gradient is going to be intense as the sleet line creeps north. 

[Maestrobjwa]

8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

16F and just measured 3 inches. Snow is on the way too.

Where are you?

[nukeing]

14/-2.7 colder than butt all day today but at least it wasn't windy. excited for this one, lfg!

Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[WEATHER53]

Question please 

When would be the time frame tomorrow that the low would show its hand as to moving north into WV or not making that move

[Bob Chill]

Colorado dendrites now. Sleet line in NC. Temp down to 16. Legit winter night down here in the southern MA. 

[aldie 22]

14.5/-8 30.64

[WEATHER53]

21F for a high and currently 19.2 and almost steady 

[nw baltimore wx]

14 here with half the house without water because I forgot to drip a faucet.  Oh, well.  Showers are overrated.

 

[GreyHat]

18F/-6 dew point 

Winds E 6

[WEATHER53]

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Colorado dendrites now. Sleet line in NC. Temp down to 16. Legit winter night down here in the southern MA. 

Bob didn’t it look like you were going to get not much but so far it’s looking good with changeover a good distance away? 

[mattie g]

14 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

16F and just measured 3 inches. Snow is on the way too.

 

5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Where are you?

Maestro wants in on some of that.

It's cold. 18F in Burke.

[ravensrule]

17 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

16F and just measured 3 inches. Snow is on the way too.

I can promise you that’s serious slant sticking. 

[ThePhotoGuy]

18.3. 

Guidance is kinda all over the place for Northern Anne Arundel. It seems that most models show at least 6 inches but our area is so used to the usual dry slot or mixing line coming earlier. 

[ravensrule]

9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Where are you?

His bedroom. 

[Bob Chill]

2 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Bob didn’t it look like you were going to get not much but so far it’s looking good with changeover a good distance away? 

Other than the NAMs, most guidance has me in the 2-4" zone before the flip. Pretty uniform agreement I flip around midnight/1am. Right now I'm under a lucky band of mod snow. I need to maximize the window I have to hit the high end of pure snow totals. Sleet line will mean business once it starts moving north. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, ravensrule said:

His bedroom. 

Well thats creepy. Im down in the living room watching Sopranos. My Yellow Lab is up in my bedroom, on the bed I imagine...I can hear him licking his fucking self.

[WEATHER53]

4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Other than the NAMs, most guidance has me in the 2-4" zone before the flip. Pretty uniform agreement I flip around midnight/1am. Right now I'm under a lucky band of mod snow. I need to maximize the window I have to hit the high end of pure snow totals. Sleet line will mean business once it starts moving north. 

Even though well south of us your experiences with this may mirror our own as to mixing being on time and accumulation factors

[Diesel BrokeHer]

20 and dry in RIC. There were a few tiny flakes floating earlier... nothing more. Cold. Dry. 

Unrelated - is there a thread going about next weekend yet? 

[BTRWx's Thanks Giving]

1 minute ago, Diesel BrokeHer said:

20 and dry in RIC. There were a few tiny flakes floating earlier... nothing more. Cold. Dry. 

Unrelated - is there a thread going about next weekend yet? 

We know better. 

[Scraff]

My favorite part of this weird-ass hobby. It’s time though! OBS / Snow Pics / Beers / Bourbons / Juice Boxes (for all you cute weather geek kids out there). Let’s have a blast! Do yourself a favor though. We tracked this shit for what seems like weeks. You earned this! Your reward—step away from the keyboards and get out and enjoy it in the middle of the high-ratio fluff. Looking forward to seeing all the pics and OBS. LFG!!

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Very cold out, though I don't have an exact temperature measurement.  Cloudy.

[PWC Split]

Was 22 in Georgetown on the car thermometer at 6:25, pulled into Haymarket at 7:00 at 16F. Love it when there is no traffic!!

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

2 minutes ago, Diesel BrokeHer said:

20 and dry in RIC. There were a few tiny flakes floating earlier... nothing more. Cold. Dry. 

Unrelated - is there a thread going about next weekend yet? 

No specific event thread for next weekend, but check out discussion in the "January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion" thread.  There's general talk there about potential beyond this current one there.

 

[understudyhero]

13 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

14 here with half the house without water because I forgot to drip a faucet.  Oh, well.  Showers are overrated.

 

Thank you! I forgot to close an outside faucet AND leave something dripping. After making sure my mom did it, drove down there and did it for her after they said it was done.