clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It's trying to jump from TN to just off OC at 96. But by then the upper levels are toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Probably a Philly north thing. Oh yeah if the second wave is real we don't have a chance of catching any of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 There’s another lobe North of New England that comes down (quicker than 18z) that compresses heights and prevents the trough from tilting more negative. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 ICON looks colder at 700 and 850 and seems more efficient with the thump. Mixing line does not want to budge but does look like there's more press for a souther low track. Right direction, even if we want more of an improvement. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It actually is a hold or just ever so slightly cooler than 18z i think the main thing tonight is with this new 00z that its still going to snow more than we have seen in a long time. Last February we went from 25 to 12 to 7 to 0 very quickly.....no sign of that. yet 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Avoid the potential devastating freezing rain event and then let's enjoy the big snow-sleet/mix/severe cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: It's trying to jump from TN to just off OC at 96. But by then the upper levels are toast. thats 7pm sunday though...isnt the storm over by then? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Are we Buffalo that we can scoff at 6-10” of snow? 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 RGEM for whoever cares looks to probably shift everything a bit East out west so far. While I'm looking at worthless things the FV3 looks more suppressed than everything else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I actually like this Icon run. The dryslot and the changeover hit at the same time north of I95, which means we dont waste a lot of heavy precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 RGEM will probably hold so far 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Ji said: thats 7pm sunday though...isnt the storm over by then? For us it is yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Amped said: I actually like this Icon run. The dryslot and the changeover hit at the same time north of I95, which means we dont waste a lot of heavy precip. That’s the big saving grace with this storm. The front end thump is a THUMP. Even the torchiest models have warning level snow before the changeover happens. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Since it wasn’t posted yet: 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Amped said: I actually like this Icon run. The dryslot and the changeover hit at the same time north of I95, which means we dont waste a lot of heavy precip. Just a tiny tick south away from catching some light backend stuff too in the metros. Definitely an acceptable outcome if we can establish it as a goalpost or near one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Even the most amped models are getting warning level+ snowfall to NVA/DC/etc before any kind of flip happens. That’s a great thing. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It stalls and keeps snowing and snowing on NE. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Since it wasn’t posted yet: If that's before the changeover, I'll take it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Is that a capture on the icon between 114 and 120? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: For us it is yeah. the Icon is typically very stingy with snow. this alot for the ICon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 RRFS A looks better thru 68 hours. Brought the STJ piece more south and looks like it's less interested in a quick phase. Lower heights out front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 ICON looks like it has a follow up clipper 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: If that's before the changeover, I'll take it. Not likely to be before the changeover since the time says it's through 1PM on Monday... still not bad for the ICON though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, Ji said: the Icon is typically very stingy with snow. this alot for the ICon Hey gets Baltimore back to a foot? We take 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 RGEM downright impressive with cad. In a 12+ hr period the HP crawls from Buffalo to Plattsburgh and keeps a 1042. Unreal cold air anchored in place bare minimum. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 24 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Shit.. I’m kinda hurt by this.. I’ve literally been around since the Eastern US Weather days and have posted plenty of times in here, mainly in the winter months. People acting like I’m posting from Jackson Hole I call it the dead zone down here because we are inbetween the mid Atlantic and southeast forum crews. Yep, I'm with you on that, about 40 miles north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Off topic, but since everyone is hanging in here, icon is sending a clipper into the flow midweek with this weekend storm acting as a 50/50 and the flow jammed up. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: RGEM downright impressive with cad. In a 12+ hr period the HP crawls from Buffalo to Plattsburgh and keeps a 1042. Unreal cold air anchored in place bare minimum. sorry--i had not seen your name in a while....sorry for my comment. I thought you were new lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Okay, RGEM's confluence a hair souther Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 00z NBM Paralell, highest snow totals N/W of 95 which matches climo/sensible outcomes in these setups. LFG! 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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