wx_observer Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 40 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: For the most part yes. GFS was a bit screwy. For instance, what are we looking at here? Am I just easily impressed, or is this one hell of a storm to put out this much snow across such a large area and not even be sub 1000mb? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I’m ready to get into nowcasting mode soon. Seems that snow and sleet have started earlier than predicted for some folks in the Midwest and south - while there’s a large dry slot between the north and southern rails of precipitation, leaving AK and south TX in a snow hole 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, tiger_deF said: I’m ready to get into nowcasting mode soon. Seems that snow and sleet have started earlier than predicted for some folks in the Midwest and south - while there’s a large dry slot between the north and southern rails of precipitation, leaving AK and south TX in a snow hole AK=Alaska AR=Arkansas 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 57 minutes ago, dryslot said: Meh ?? I don't like hearing you say 'meh' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Things really don't want to beef up the qpf in Maine......we're just stuck. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 14 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: You think we’re going to see any? Thinking it doesn’t make it any further north than Norwich Maybe. That would be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Things really don't want to beef up the qpf in Maine......we're just stuck. Oh well. It shows .8” of qpf for you (if that’s where you are there in Maine?), if you do 20:1 there’s your 16”. That’s great, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I like 12z a bit better than 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy. Nice paste job there dude . You are gonna get crushed with heavy wet snow , damage and outages. We all jealous . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 58 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Paging @ORH_wxman Jan ‘05? I was living in Cambridge for that one. One of the greatest storms of all time for me and my only 30” event. It snowed for two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 23 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Fu.ckin sleet Not very likely there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 18z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MASnowSquatch Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2/11/06, maybe?Fun fact: that was also the day that this happened in Corpus Christi: Vice President Dick Cheney accidentally shot and wounded Harry Whittington, a companion during a weekend quail-hunting trip in Texas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 24 Author Share Posted January 24 56 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Jan ‘05 def did. Jan ‘11 for sure. Jan ‘17. Those were coastals though. This is basically a massive SWFE. We do get some coastal characteristics below about 800-850mb, but can’t really recall a similar system. Maybe Feb 5, 2014…that was a really juiced SWFE. Airmass wasn’t like this though. This airmass being so cold is what makes this one a different beast. January 2005. Remember every day that week. It kept going up right until the Day of, 20-30 with lollies to 36 was the final forecast. And it certified. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 54 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Jan ‘05 def did. Jan ‘11 for sure. Jan ‘17. Those were coastals though. This is basically a massive SWFE. We do get some coastal characteristics below about 800-850mb, but can’t really recall a similar system. Maybe Feb 5, 2014…that was a really juiced SWFE. Airmass wasn’t like this though. This airmass being so cold is what makes this one a different beast. I feel like this is exactly why this is a now cast kind of storm. You can’t say that the models are totally wrong with things like jackpots and sleet lines, but it’s a very anomalous setup where the models may be “guessing” a little more than usual, and we still see discrepancies 24 hours out… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z Euro Another bump up for central and N. CT. Dam, we take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 HREF / HRRR FTW Nowcast RAP starting when the flakes start flying. On the precipice of one of those special 24hrs, I'm extremely jealous. PATS are favored. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Another bump up for central and N. CT. Dam, we take. Numbers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 There may be some lollies to near 30". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy. If I had to pick one poster’s location to go to with for this storm, it might be you. Either your area or Essex County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Numbers Awesome, I think it’s fair to assume 12:1 ratios at least even without getting carried away, this is a widespread 18”+ storm underway if other guidance matches these QPF totals which they seem to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 44 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: I am not greedy, I will take a foot and run with that! Will be the biggest snowfall since returning from FL. Same here. It would be my biggest snowfall outside a ski resort in a decade. I’d be thrilled with a foot but I think it will easily exceed that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 50 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models looked pretty good here. Please hold. Scooter has been a good boy. CoastalWx realizing his "dream." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 43 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: He said a page back or so, it was 18”. Cool. Just a few more days of cold and Chris might be ready for long-sought pond skating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 40 minutes ago, wx_observer said: Am I just easily impressed, or is this one hell of a storm to put out this much snow across such a large area and not even be sub 1000mb? I keep thinking of PDII and even a week ago saw it as the most obvious analogue. It was preceded by a bigger cold airmass with a 1040+ high and robust overrunning system that didn’t have much of a strong low. The difference with this one is that it shifted further north. That one was a DC to Boston blockbuster. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Dryslot Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said: WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 I hope the Patriots lose tomorrow. Looks like you're gonna get a great storm. Hopefully the Patriots lose to offset that.. 2 3 2 4 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 30 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It shows .8” of qpf for you (if that’s where you are there in Maine?), if you do 20:1 there’s your 16”. That’s great, no? Yes on the above......what's frustrating is that while the qpf amoujnt has been increasing through SNE, it's been stubbornly steady....hardly moving at all one way or the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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