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January 24-25: Miracle or Mirage


stormtracker
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Just now, mitchnick said:

Maybe not this run, but it's the runs after this one I fear.

This just got alot more complicated with phasing so far west.

Not the simple west to east big overrunning event that was depicted just 24 hours ago.

Possibilities of a bigger reward but also increases the  chance at a disaster IMO

 

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4 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

Meh, looks like at most a few tenths more than some of the other models. It’s not like it’s 2 plus inches. Trading a mix for a couple tenths of precip and lower ratio seems like a poor trade, but I am sure more adjustments are to come.

I'm talking the 6 hour panels.  Haven't seen it look like that so far. 3 hour panel with .75.    I just like being optimistic..nobody wants a mix, but regardless we will get our best storm in 10 years.

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I will leave you guys with this. The old tale that once a storm trends the wrong way it never reverses is a load of garbage. Ive seen enough systems go both ways as they windshield wiper to a solution. New data being injected tomorrow night stops the bleeding. G'nite

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DC Proper loses the 850/700 mb temp profile battle from 0Z Monday to 9Z Monday but we're right on the edge of the transition line via 700 mb map starting at 18Z Sunday. We have roughly 1.2-1.3 QPF before that time and an additional .2-.3 after that. Really on the edge though by the middle of Sunday.

 

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1 minute ago, Ji said:

its changed me bro....im so relaxed...its that program that someone posted earlier

Hey, whatever it works.  I hope feeling normal and zen feels good.   

Nobody want's a mix, but I'm honestly still hyped for this...but this really has gotta stop right here, lol.   It's a moisture bomb and we got cold for frozen.  

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