January Banter 2026

[nw baltimore wx]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

I'm in 9th, but thank you!

Holy shit. I’d have really enjoyed having you in my class. Hopefully you would have tolerated me.

[nj2va]

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

The way it looks on the GEFS we could initially have some rain/ice and then as the deeper cold comes in we end up getting some snow. Pretty loaded look though with all that moisture.

 

Verbatim this would be snow on the mean for the region with the colder air in place.

But the real question is what is this storm’s name? 

[nw baltimore wx]

Just now, nj2va said:

But the real question is what is this storm’s name? 

Nada Niña.

[nw baltimore wx]

The forecast for the New England game now includes "snow likely." 

[nw baltimore wx]

I find it a little funny how much we bash the gfs and then are hyper focused on every run 150+ hours out.

[H2O]

3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I find it a little funny how much we bash the gfs and then are hyper focused on every run 150+ hours out.

It’s the Washington wizards of weather. If you are a fan you keep watching because they add something and call it improved but it’s last in the league from 3 point range 

[Maestrobjwa]

6 weenies for just that?? Y'all are weird. Out of all the doom posts and complaints, somehow or another all I gotta do is complain a little one time and suddenly it's the worst post ever? Nah that's a y'all problem not mine. We are all snow-obssesed here and have weenie hopes AND fears and express them here. And as long as complaints are not incessant, it should be fine.

[Kay]

1 hour ago, kgottwald said:

Been overcast since 9:15 in Fairfax City despite a mostly sunny forecast.

I note the AFDs have a new format with "keypoints" rather than being organized strictly chronologically. Wonder why they decided to screw around with it.

 

1 hour ago, yoda said:

I actually like the new format.  I think its better.  Seems like its a new thing across the WFOs

I like the new format highlighting Key Messages, but I'm not sure how I feel about it not being necessarily chronological. They seem to have made the decision to start with most impactful within each forecast period in the discussion, regardless of chronology.

Hm. 

Here's the announcement, published Tues:

https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/357-2025/PNSLWX/d70a3efb41e0bd9e7ac6a50c1cc432fc

[Chris78]

Even the Euro knows the I -81 corridor is the snow Anus of the mid Atlantic. 

More snow north ,south,east and west.

[snowfan]

PSA for the columbia/bmore crew.....Sapwood has 3 new BA Stouts out today. 

[MillvilleWx]

1 hour ago, Kay said:

 

I like the new format highlighting Key Messages, but I'm not sure how I feel about it not being necessarily chronological. They seem to have made the decision to start with most impactful within each forecast period in the discussion, regardless of chronology.

Hm. 

Here's the announcement, published Tues:

https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/357-2025/PNSLWX/d70a3efb41e0bd9e7ac6a50c1cc432fc

I work at the National Center but knew about the incoming changes to local AFD’s about a month or two ago. They want to have the most impactful upfront as the headliner with chronological reasoning in the discussion itself. The Key Message portion is a request through feedback as the BLUF statements are good for messaging awareness and what to prepare for in the  IDSS realm. A lot of thought and feedback went into this change. 

[Kay]

26 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

I work at the National Center but knew about the incoming changes to local AFD’s about a month or two ago. They want to have the most impactful upfront as the headliner with chronological reasoning in the discussion itself. The Key Message portion is a request through feedback as the BLUF statements are good for messaging awareness and what to prepare for in the  IDSS realm. A lot of thought and feedback went into this change. 

Yes, that all makes sense as to the reasoning on how to organize the info within the disco. Thanks for additional background! It seems that any changes are always well thought out and include feedback. Hope my initial reaction didn't imply I doubted that process occurred. Far from the case. 

[pazzo83]

I'm thinking about declaring myself done with winter and "over the cold", and thus ready for spring.  Prob make the decision here in a few days.

[Kay]

32 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

I work at the National Center but knew about the incoming changes to local AFD’s about a month or two ago. They want to have the most impactful upfront as the headliner with chronological reasoning in the discussion itself. The Key Message portion is a request through feedback as the BLUF statements are good for messaging awareness and what to prepare for in the  IDSS realm. A lot of thought and feedback went into this change. 

Hang on...I have to add that I was talking about the discussion itself, not the Key Message portion...aaand this morning's disco WAS organized by key message and started with Monday/Mon night then went into tonight through Sun night (see Previous Version). The Current Version is chronological within the discussion. Tonight through Sun night, then early next week! This makes more sense, to me anyway, and was changed in the 2 pm update!