Roger Smith Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 57 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Premature FOLKS-alation. Rare. But anyway, close enough. that jog east kills us. This could be ORF the charts, so RICh in potential, but keep your eye on the BALL because you may be more FROzen than CHOsen. Your snow gauge may be PHL or empty, and I may ACY this forecast or you may end up complaining to the BOS that I did not PVD good guidance. I won't LYH this is a tough one. There hasn't been one this tough since ABE Lincoln called the Blizzard of 1857 before he turned to politics. I couldn't think of a pun for DCA sorry. ISP we all slip on this stuff. EWR saying? 2 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: You’re here to watch all the models. You most definitely will look at it again and like it! GFS be batting below the Mendoza line 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 19 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Reminds me of 18Z Sunday run of the Euro AFRAID to post it because people may thing it is now! THIS WAS SUNDAY 18Z good find Jimmy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Double barrel lows are actually common in these setups and that's something the GFS has been trying to show in its evolution. This setup is very complex and will include these types of variables whenever it materializes. I remember other models chasing a weak low out to sea along a boundary while the “real” low was closer to the coast and moved north in time slowly and took over the show. (I think but not sure could havd been either 2009-2010 or 1996) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: GFS be batting below the Mendoza line As an Os fans, I can think of a few players below the Mendoza over the years. I still watched in hopes of a hit though. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Waiting for the Euro 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said: I remember other models chasing a weak low out to sea along a boundary while the “real” low was closer to the coast and moved north in time slowly and took over the show. (I think but not sure could havd been either 2009-2010 or 1996) I definitely remember this too. I think it was 2009/2010. GFS is kind of doing that now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, snowmagnet said: Waiting for the Euro There’s about a 5% chance it shows what you want, and a 25% chance it’s a little better than last run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 The LFM nailed the 1980 storm like you would not believe. Bring back the LFM. It goes out to 72 hours now ya know. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, DDweatherman said: There’s about a 5% chance it shows what you want, and a 25% chance it’s a little better than last run. Any positives are good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: There’s about a 5% chance it shows what you want, and a 25% chance it’s a little better than last run. 60% of the time it fails us every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Euro is a runnin 6 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: The LFM nailed the 1980 storm like you would not believe. Bring back the LFM. It goes out to 72 hours now ya know. 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Euro is a runnin It's 6:09 PM. Did y'all complain about the dissemination issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro is a runnin That means the AI is probably out, and over Bermuda I’m sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 12 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: GFS be batting below the Mendoza line Chris Davis numbers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Damn it! Forgot to crack one. Meh. It’s the Euro. I’ll do an N/A real quick. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 After seeing the GFS hold and its ensembles, if the Euro is still far east OTS, I think we all know what it would mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, LeesburgWx said: After seeing the GFS hold and its ensembles, if the Euro is still far east OTS, I think we all know what it would mean Gfs is a JV model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 AIFS tick west 24 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So far, an ass hair wester with what should be our formative close low at 48. Money shots start at 72 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: After seeing the GFS hold and its ensembles, if the Euro is still far east OTS, I think we all know what it would mean Absolutely, wait for the 00z suite right? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: AIFS tick west But don’t we need leaps and jumps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 But don’t we need leaps and jumps?Yeah, I mean it’s not awesome, but it didn’t get worse. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, WxUSAF said: But don’t we need leaps and jumps? DC is up to .1 inch on the EURO AI, baby steps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 AIFS isn't really that far off of the gfs @ h5 and it definitely improved in the upper levels. Not what we want but a decisive trend in the right direction. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah, I mean it’s not awesome, but it didn’t get worse. How does this compare to 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 It's closer 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 kinda like the old Timex watch commercials... we need Euro to take a licking and keep on ticking... (in the proper direction). if we need 200 mile jump and it ticks the right way 25 miles at a time for 8 model runs... that'll work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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