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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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57 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Premature FOLKS-alation.   Rare.  But anyway, close enough.  that jog east kills us.

This could be ORF the charts, so RICh in potential, but keep your eye on the BALL because you may be more FROzen than CHOsen. Your snow gauge may be PHL or empty, and I may ACY this forecast or you may end up complaining to the BOS that I did not PVD good guidance. I won't LYH this is a tough one. There hasn't been one this tough since ABE Lincoln called the Blizzard of 1857 before he turned to politics. I couldn't think of a pun for DCA sorry. ISP we all slip on this stuff. EWR saying? 

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2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Double barrel lows are actually common in these setups and that's something the GFS has been trying to show in its evolution. This setup is very complex and will include these types of variables whenever it materializes. 

I remember other models chasing a weak low out to sea along a boundary while the “real” low was closer to the coast and moved north in time slowly and took over the show. (I think but not sure could havd been either 2009-2010 or 1996) 

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1 minute ago, Kevin Reilly said:

I remember other models chasing a weak low out to sea along a boundary while the “real” low was closer to the coast and moved north in time slowly and took over the show. (I think but not sure could havd been either 2009-2010 or 1996) 

I definitely remember this too. I think it was 2009/2010. GFS is kind of doing that now. 

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