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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion


snowfan
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1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Hey that's my storm, so I should get it lol. Been saying big potential in that window for coastal storm.

You called it, I am already hyping this up to close friends. All snow this time !  

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9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Look at GFS H5 at 150hrs (not exactly crazy fantasy land). Huge shortwave entering California. Very un-Nina like and very classic for big dog coastals.

A DT woof?

gfs-500h_anom-na-2026012212-150.png

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16 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I need a fucking break.   I'll just sleep all day Monday and reload

I have a class to teach starting Monday. Gonna be a hell of a fun drive in early Monday morning. At least there's no real traffic to deal with.

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13 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Check out this analog list.... heh... 

image.thumb.jpeg.13ec08862cf945c6ed2885fae64dfe01.jpeg

Look at that confidence interval as well...

We've got the day after the second Feb 2010 blizzard, the day before the blizzard of 2016...

and then there's Feb 18, 2025 :yikes:

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1 minute ago, bncho said:

Look at that confidence interval as well...

We've got the day after the second Feb 2010 blizzard, the day before the blizzard of 2016...

and then there's Feb 18, 2025 :yikes:

Don't overlook Feb 2006, 2007, and 2017 storms. This analog list is STACKED

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2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Feb 2006 was one of the greatest I-95 storms no one talks about. One of my all time favorites, hands down. 

Yea, it basically saved that winter. I know you know this top to bottom but analogs shouldn't be used for back yard level analysis. Back yard busts can happen during a remarkable storm. All storms are unique. The fact that a large east coast storm existed is all that matters. The above list is crazy loaded with east coast storms. 

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12 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Feb 2006 was one of the greatest I-95 storms no one talks about. One of my all time favorites, hands down. 

Tremendous storm with thundersnow. NOVA had one inch of snow in afternoon and I thought storm was a bust until lightning strike at 12:15a.m. And waking up to foot of snow and tree across the driveway.

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