January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[HoarfrostHubb]

35 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The Pivotal free site now has Euro Skynet ensembles with the continental view.  BTW, after about the 11th or so...they look tasty.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

39 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

The Pivotal free site now has Euro Skynet ensembles with the continental view.  BTW, after about the 11th or so...they look tasty.

[weatherwiz]

That almost looks too perfect  

 

[Typhoon Tip]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That almost looks too perfect  

 

not sure where that poster's getting 'continental flow' out of that 'after the 11th'

but what does that mean, 'continental flow'? 

anyway, those trough nadirs are hitting a min as the 15th is arriving.  classical interpretation would suggest there's a storm nested in that time range - but ... i suspect if there is, we need to get past the 7th .. 8th or so before that materializes.  

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

not sure where that poster's getting 'continental flow' out of that 'after the 11th'

but what does that mean, 'continental flow'? 

I think you misread, he said continental view, not continental flow. 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I think you misread, he said continental view, not continental flow. 

ah, gotcha

[George001]

38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not to mention ( but will anyway ...), we've 'graduated' into a climate era where the so called 'torches,'  I'd argue even in the subjective sense, make 50s a lot easier to do than they were 30 years ago under the same synoptic regimes. 

Tell ya what ... if folks have an problem with that, leave the word climate out of it and just say that for whatever reason which no one knows any idea why ..whenever it warms up in winter it makes it above 55 more often than it ever used to.

Either way, if given any excuse to do so ... there's a fair probability that 40s will end up being underselling.  So Kevin, you could see 55 ... but it would be overachieving on what forecasters think is possible.  Because that's the other headache, over achieving is not ever modeled.   Yet it keeps happening.  I dunno ... I'd say you're playin with the kids college tuition if you're gamblin the temp down during the warm phase of all these changes.

People shouldn’t have a problem with reality. 

[Great Snow 1717]

20 minutes ago, George001 said:

People shouldn’t have a problem with reality. 

I agree but some people here have had a problem with reality for a LONG TIME....

[kdxken]

53 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Only where the snow is gone.  Otherwise, the small rodents harboring the little beasts will be snug under the pack, safe from owls and other raptors.

That's when coyotes prove their worth.

[ineedsnow]

We 18z ICON 

[Damage In Tolland]

Euro drops an inch of fluff