kdxken Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It did so I had to stick my hand in the toilet. Enjoy the e coli for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 I’ll sell 10-15+. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Updated map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll sell 10-15+. I could see locally 8-10” jack somewhere that gets lucky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 15z SREFS coming in NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 15z SREFS coming in NE Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I could see locally 8-10” jack somewhere that gets lucky Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yikes. Actually it was better west and east. Basically just expanded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 SREFs…for when desperate times call for desperate measures. 3 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Just now, dendrite said: SREFs…for when desperate times call for desperate measures. It is close in though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTSkywarn Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 New Haven county went straight to warning too.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: It is close in though They’re still barely usable. Besides, 15z per my understanding uses 12z initialization. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 41 minutes ago, WinterSnow said: Hm... Bristol's forecast seems more in line with the Warning criteria, not Advisory, but I guess that's what I get for living on the far western end of Hartford county, the next county over is a Warning, while the bulk of Hartford county isn't predicted to get much. Still, whether it's an Advisory or a Warning, forecasts are often wildly wrong and I'll be happy if we even get 3 inches, to be honest. But if I can get that 6, that'd be great! It is my birthday storm, after all! Should be good for 5" there I would think. Depending which side of Bristol you're on since the cutoff may setup nearby or perhaps not with a couple more tics NE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Are ratios really going to be that great? I haven't looked at soundings it seems like Kuchera is just cold surface temp = high ratios which we all know doesn't always work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 8 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Are ratios really going to be that great? I haven't looked at soundings it seems like Kuchera is just cold surface temp = high ratios which we all know doesn't always work out. Start at 15:1. Can always adjust higher once the flakes fly… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 19 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said: Are ratios really going to be that great? I haven't looked at soundings it seems like Kuchera is just cold surface temp = high ratios which we all know doesn't always work out. Ratios are amazing for 2-3 hours in the band then average at best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 HRRR about to bang this run / NE Trend continues this one will jack my Binghamton to BDR zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 I’m mostly watching this from the sidelines, but it would be a pleasant surprise if we managed to squeeze out an inch. Zero confidence on anything measurable here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Weren't the SREFs already bad, then had a huge upgrade a few years ago that made them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Couple of thoughts... I don't like warnings being issued for zones when the low end number in the forecast is less than warning criteria... Both high & low numbers in the forecast range should equal or exceed the warning criteria. Just my opinion. Secondly, in this type of setup we are likely to see several mini maxes zones; western Fairfield cty, especially high terrain areas in Ridgefield / Danbury zone (overall greatest totals); another area of local enhancement from from high terrain areas of southern Litchfield cty into western Hartford cty, into northern / western New Haven cty; lastly another local max zone likely showing up in northern Tolland cty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 Time to work on an updated snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Time to work on an updated snow map Does BOX have one yet for the E CT Zones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 10 minutes ago, FXWX said: Couple of thoughts... I don't like warnings being issued for zones when the low end number in the forecast is less than warning criteria... Both high & low numbers in the forecast range should equal or exceed the warning criteria. Just my opinion. Secondly, in this type of setup we are likely to see several mini maxes zones; western Fairfield cty, especially high terrain areas in Ridgefield / Danbury zone (overall greatest totals); another area of local enhancement from from high terrain areas of southern Litchfield cty into western Hartford cty, into northern / western New Haven cty; lastly another local max zone likely showing up in northern Tolland cty. I agree with the low end criteria for warning at least being met for one to be hoisted, however I think it's because there may be so many people traveling, especially 84-81 and points west and south, maybe they want to get attention, a watch may be just ignored, just my thoughts on the reasoning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 15 minutes ago, FXWX said: Couple of thoughts... I don't like warnings being issued for zones when the low end number in the forecast is less than warning criteria... Both high & low numbers in the forecast range should equal or exceed the warning criteria. Just my opinion. Secondly, in this type of setup we are likely to see several mini maxes zones; western Fairfield cty, especially high terrain areas in Ridgefield / Danbury zone (overall greatest totals); another area of local enhancement from from high terrain areas of southern Litchfield cty into western Hartford cty, into northern / western New Haven cty; lastly another local max zone likely showing up in northern Tolland cty. You had me at hello 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 From the early going it looks likely that the NAM will come NE again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You had me at hello BOX only has 2-3” west of the river currently; let’s see if that changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston Bulldog Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 NAM looking zonked upstream through 15z tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 25, 2025 Share Posted December 25, 2025 9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Does BOX have one yet for the E CT Zones? Not sure. I usually don't really look around at maps until I've made one...unless I don't feel like making one lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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