The Return of the 12/5 Snowstorm

[GATECH]

10 minutes ago, bncho said:

Yes, I know it's 90 %tile, but I just don't understand how this is even remotely possible.

[Jebman]

10 minutes ago, bncho said:

Yes, I know it's 90 %tile, but I just don't understand how this is even remotely possible.

If Dale City gets 4 inches I'm Playboi Carti.

[ravensrule]

47 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Still wondering what happened to@WinterWxLuvr

Hope he is ok.

Unfortunately I’m not optimistic. It’s the second winter already. I sure hope I’m wrong. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

Almost 8pm and still the only delay is Dorchester…

[ravensrule]

29 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Let’s bump that 25 miles north!

You mean 75 miles. 

[bncho]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Almost 8pm and still the only delay is Dorchester…

FCPS is delayed but they will reassess tomorrow for a closure. I am happy. Maybe I will become even happier.

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Unfortunately I’m not optimistic. It’s the second winter already. I sure hope I’m wrong. 

Sadly I agree. IIRC he was a heavy smoker. Sigh.

[IronTy]

36 minutes ago, bncho said:

If you live 20 miles south of DC, you will LOVE the HRRR.

You rang?

[ravensrule]

Just now, CAPE said:

Sadly I agree. IIRC he was a heavy smoker. Sigh.

Very sad. I believe you’re right about the smoking. Good guy. I still pray I’m wrong. 

[wxmeddler]

Birdie told me that the 00z LWX Balloon recorded a RH of 3.7% RH at 1300m AGL tonight. 

[Eskimo Joe]

00z sounding out of IAD is dryyyyyy

[aldie 22]

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Sadly I agree. IIRC he was a heavy smoker. Sigh.

Yeah prolific posters don't usually just stop unless something happened. Sad hopefully we are wrong and he just got tired of it all.

[SnowenOutThere]

UVA delayed start till 10am so I get out of my Chem group exam at 8:30am!

[aldie 22]

2 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

Birdie told me that the 00z LWX Balloon recorded a minimum of 3.7% RH at 1300m AGL tonight. 

Is that good 

[Jebman]

1 minute ago, aldie 22 said:

Is that good 

Likely dry air aloft. But this storm will saturate the column and bring plowable snows.

[H2O]

2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Is that good 

Yes because it’s not 3.6%

[rjvanals]

6 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

Birdie told me that the 00z LWX Balloon recorded a RH of 3.7% RH at 1300m AGL tonight. 

This is what makes me nervous being on the north side of the forecast precip shield 

[Roger Smith]

Will be interesting to see if this system can get enough organization to surpass 1-2 inches anywhere, at least it doesn't have much danger of WAA becoming a problem, the air mass is brutally cold as far south as n AR and n MS at present, but clearly the missing ingredient is energy, worst case scenario is just 6-12 hours of light barely accum snow with 0.5"type totals, but with the relatively warm water in Chesapeake Bay interacting with the weak easterly flow it could deliver 1.5 to 3.0 inches in a few spots, I hope. 

By the way, the latest GFS run looks like the coldest Dec since 2014 or even 1989 in some parts of the country, just one arctic high after another. I think you're in for three or four at least minor snowfalls and few days very much above 40 F. 

[bncho]

49 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

One more jump and DC jack but idk if I should be greedy

shift south lol

[mappy]

Good luck southerners! Enjoy 

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

shift south lol

Looks good to me .  2 inches sign me up.  Plenty of time for a north shift. 

[jmk]

PWCS on a delay as well already, win for my kids already. 

[Kay]

Was out driving about an hour ago and it was hard not to be distracted by the full moon lighting up giant cirrus streaks. Gorgeous. Couldn't smoke the cirrus though. Driving.

[WxWatcher007]

16 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

UVA delayed start till 10am so I get out of my Chem group exam at 8:30am!

Those were the days. The person that would email the delays/cancellations was a folk hero at my college. 

[BristowWx]

8 minutes ago, jmk said:

PWCS on a delay as well already, win for my kids already. 

Just give them the day off.  Jeez it’s a Friday.  Their life doesn’t have to suck like ours does. 

[clskinsfan]

This is getting ridiculous at this point. MBY is going to miss by 10-15 miles south again. Yes I am crying. 

[Rvarookie]

Sure hope this is the start of everyone cashing in

[poppyX2]

7 hours ago, Buddy1987 said:

What side of town are you on?? I’m down on Glenvar side. GFS verbatim is Winter Storm Warning criteria. 

Opposite-North Mill road near Hanging Rock. Salem Schools closed for tomorrow-actually all the valley schools called it.

[JenkinsJinkies]

16 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Looks good to me .  2 inches sign me up.  Plenty of time for a north shift. 

And now you’ll make the next run go even further south…

[nj2va]

Down to 35/22