Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential

[nvck]

20 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

84hr NAM (lol) but sharing as it’s reaching range. Run ends when snow is continuing to fall.

If snow really makes it to Cincinnati on Saturday .... I'd be shocked to say the least lol

[DocATL]

84hr NAM (lol) but sharing as it’s reaching range. Run ends when snow is continuing to fall.

Was just about to post that the NAM is raging with several more hours to go at the end of the run.

[sbnwx85]

GFS continues to improve. I think many of us would take this in a heartbeat

 

[Baum]

https://x.com/weatherchannel/status/1993657240813777293?s=61
 

RIP….no pun intended

[SchaumburgStormer]

[ChiTownSnow]

8 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Is that the Titan?  

[michsnowfreak]

47 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

GFS continues to improve. I think many of us would take this in a heartbeat

 

Please also include eastern lower MI on those maps

[Stevo6899]

2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Please also include eastern lower MI on those maps

I think he may be doing us a favor by not including us in those maps.

[A-L-E-K]

euro slower, stronger, deeper, and colder?

 

[hawkeye_wx]

The shift back south is real across all models.  Probably cut the totals by 30%, though.

[wegoweather]

2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

euro slower, stronger, deeper, and colder?

 

Yes x 4

[A-L-E-K]

1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The shift back south is real across all models.

the weenie kuchera ratio maps for this run will be doing numbers on social media

 

[hawkeye_wx]

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

the weenie kuchera ratio maps for this run will be doing numbers on social media

 

Long-duration event, mostly light to moderate snow, with wind, the ratio in my yard is going to suck.  I'm hoping for at least 6 inches.

[Baum]

Today’s wind maybe a blessing ripping the remaining leaves off the trees.

[cyclone77]

3 minutes ago, Baum said:

Today’s wind maybe a blessing ripping the remaining leaves off the trees.

No doubt.  I noticed driving into work this am that a lot of the clingers that were on the oaks were ripped off overnight.

[sbnwx85]

12 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

the weenie kuchera ratio maps for this run will be doing numbers on social media

 

Even the 10:1 map is a big dog. 

[Chicago Storm]

500mb evolution on the 12z Euro is…

[michsnowfreak]

Lol 5 days ago this was a raging SE ridge

[Frog Town]

Smells a lot like '13-'14 all over again! Everything that year trended colder and snowier.  Please, just please.  

[SchaumburgStormer]

48 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The shift back south is real across all models.  Probably cut the totals by 30%, though.

Based on recent multiyear trends... 

 

- Nice long range signal (check)

- 3 days out, epic Euro run (check)

- South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending)

- Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending)

- 1-2" actual result (pending) 

[Sciascia]

49 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

the weenie kuchera ratio maps for this run will be doing numbers on social media

 

You don’t say…

[Frog Town]

1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Based on recent multiyear trends... 

 

- Nice long range signal (check)

- 3 days out, epic Euro run (check)

- South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending)

- Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending)

- 1-2" actual result (pending) 

Realist!  

[mollydog]

Based on recent multiyear trends... 
 
- Nice long range signal (check)
- 3 days out, epic Euro run (check)
- South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending)
- Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending)
- 1-2" actual result (pending) 

Oof, this hurts! But so real!


.

[A-L-E-K]

8 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Based on recent multiyear trends... 

 

- Nice long range signal (check)

- 3 days out, epic Euro run (check)

- South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending)

- Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending)

- 1-2" actual result (pending) 

2 real

[jlauderdal]

Today’s wind maybe a blessing ripping the remaining leaves off the trees.

Looking good on this cycle for the western suburbs, my 7.5 prediction from earlier might need modifications tomorrow.

[Radtechwxman]

3 hours ago, sbnwx85 said:

GFS continues to improve. I think many of us would take this in a heartbeat

 

Love how the one hole in lower totals in literally over my county. Lol. Can't make that $hit up

[Radtechwxman]

51 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Based on recent multiyear trends... 

 

- Nice long range signal (check)

- 3 days out, epic Euro run (check)

- South, Drier, Weaker trend to begin (pending)

- Model rug pull within 30 hours (pending)

- 1-2" actual result (pending) 

You watch your mouth. Don't speak it into existence. Lol

1 hour ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The shift back south is real across all models.  Probably cut the totals by 30%, though.

Low ratios and snow falling during day in marginal temps will definitely lead to a lot of compaction. Going to be heavy wet snow

[ChiTownSnow]

2 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The shift back south is real across all models.  Probably cut the totals by 30%, though.

More of an east to west trajectory and longer duration as a result 

[Malacka11]

It's either giving bait or ghd2 I can't quite decide 

[Stebo]

14 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

It's either giving bait or ghd2 I can't quite decide 

I don't think it will be that prolific but I would lean more right than left. Mostly because we are rapidly running out of time for a rug pull. The amount of cold air in place is going to do work and with the current system being as strong as it will be it limits the cutability of this one.