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wegoweather

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Everything posted by wegoweather

  1. Flipped back to snow at KDPA. We'll see what we get out of the last couple of hours.
  2. Haven't gone back to look but I seem to remember some of the CAMs generally modeling where we sit currently (at least in the LOT CWA).
  3. Looks like you can see it from ILX Radar.
  4. With the amount of snow and the low ratios, compaction is going to really factor in. Would be interesting if someone had the time to run two snowboards and do an aggregate hourly and storm total measurements.
  5. Small error in the LOT WSW text in regards to the counties.
  6. Pavement accumulations have started again at KDPA. 1.5" slush storm total so far.
  7. NAM back NW a bit and a little wamer for Chicago metro.
  8. I wish I could get an old school Earl map to generate for this GFS run.
  9. CMC has storm #2 take a right hand turn in Memphis and head for the Delmarva Peninsula eventually burying Baltimore to Boston.
  10. And then take a look at temps on the back end of the storm. So far showing 3 days of widespread single digit to below zero temps.
  11. Not even to 240hrs and there areas of 60+ inches north of STL in Illinois.
  12. That's just it, most here should have correct expectations, and due to the season so far the chance for something to track and discuss is what people here want. Many of the NWS offices have already mentioned it in AFDs and created graphics and posted on social media about the potential. The WPC has regular graphics that go out far enough for the potential. Social media has discussion by pro mets all over the place about the potential. But here we have gatekeeping forum theatrics.
  13. I've seen some interesting theories (climate change induced) on this trend on the NE forums, but it definitely appears to be a trend.
  14. 180HR weenie winners from north to south.... Euro - Kansas City to Milwaukee via Quad Cities. GFS - Columbia, Mo to Gary via Bloomington, IL CMC - St. Louis to Detroit via Fort Wayne
  15. Will be interesting to see the differences in the 18z deterministic vs ensemble mean. 12z GFS looked like it was one of the furthest outliers from its ensemble mean both in terms of low placement and strength. The Euro was within a higher confidence of its ensemble mean, and both the GEFS and EPS means were close in placement and strength..
  16. Anyone who "wants" severe weather makes no sense, but I can respect those who want it in their own backyards as opposed to somewhere else.
  17. If insurance finds out how it happened, they may not cover it at all. A chaser that was purposely driving into hail was laughing about driving a rental car on their stream. Good chance they will have to pay the damage completely out of pocket if it's discovered what they were doing.
  18. Response on NWS MKE Facebook post upgrading to a warning. I'm missing the laughing part.
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