• Content Count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

About NEOH

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
  • Gender
  • Location:
    South Russell, Ohio

Recent Profile Visitors

1,625 profile views
  1. I believe the high death rate in asian males was attributed to the very high percentage of the male asian population who smoke cigarettes and had underlying respiratory issues.
  2. I know... he likes the schoolgirl drama but its probably fair to say this topic isn't a joke. But I get it... this is an internet forum so carry on.
  3. You seem to be the only one "in the know". Let us know prior to it starting please.
  4. Instead of insulting others... why don't you add some value and post your thoughts.
  5. Care to elaborate on what's funny?
  6. Passing along a summary of Goldman Sachs investor call where 1,500 companies dialed in... The key economic takeaways were: 50% of Americans will contract the virus (150m people) as it's very communicable. This is on a par with the common cold (Rhinovirus) of which there are about 200 strains and which the majority of Americans will get 2-4 per year. 70% of Germany will contract it (58M people). This is the next most relevant industrial economy to be effected. Peak-virus is expected over the next eight weeks, declining thereafter. The virus appears to be concentrated in a band between 30-50 degrees north latitude, meaning that like the common cold and flu, it prefers cold weather. The coming summer in the northern hemisphere should help. This is to say that the virus is likely seasonal. Of those impacted 80% will be early-stage, 15% mid-stage and 5% critical-stage. Early-stage symptoms are like the common cold and mid-stage symptoms are like the flu; these are stay at home for two weeks and rest. 5% will be critical and highly weighted towards the elderly. Mortality rate on average of up to 2%, heavily weight towards the elderly and immunocompromised; meaning up to 3m people (150m*.02). In the US about 3m/yr die mostly due to old age and disease, those two being highly correlated (as a percent very few from accidents). There will be significant overlap, so this does not mean 3m new deaths from the virus, it means elderly people dying sooner due to respiratory issues. This may however stress the healthcare system. There is a debate as to how to address the virus pre-vaccine. The US is tending towards quarantine. The UK is tending towards allowing it to spread so that the population can develop a natural immunity. Quarantine is likely to be ineffective and result in significant economic damage but will slow the rate of transmission giving the healthcare system more time to deal with the case load. China’s economy has been largely impacted which has affected raw materials and the global supply chain. It may take up to six months for it to recover. Global GDP growth rate will be the lowest in 30 years at around 2%. S&P 500 will see a negative growth rate of -15% to -20% for 2020 overall. There will be economic damage from the virus itself, but the real damage is driven mostly by market psychology. Viruses have been with us forever. Stock markets should fully recover in the 2nd half of the year. In the past week there has been a conflating of the impact of the virus with the developing oil price war between KSA and Russia. While reduced energy prices are generally good for industrial economies, the US is now a large energy exporter, so there has been a negative impact on the valuation of the domestic energy sector. This will continue for some time as the Russians are attempting to economically squeeze the American shale producers and the Saudi’s are caught in the middle and do not want to further cede market share to Russia or the US. Technically the market generally has been looking for a reason to reset after the longest bull market in history. There is NO systemic risk. No one is even talking about that. Governments are intervening in the markets to stabilize them, and the private banking sector is very well capitalized. It feels more like 9/11 than it does like 2008.
  7. Looks like we can probably put the shovels away for the season. What an absolute torch it has been at CLE... December - +2.5 January - +8.2 February - +2.5 March (as of 3/10) - + 8.7 CLE's snowfall for the season is at 30.1" (-26.9" departure).
  8. The event definitely shut down earlier than anticipated. I thought it was going to heavier Friday night. We managed to hit double digits down south of you. I thought Chesterland did well but apparently I was mistaken. Mayfield and 306 almost always has more than South Russell.
  9. The lake effect fluff we had over the weekend will be long gone by the end of the week unfortunately. Looks like a chance of snow Friday/Saturday but nothing significant. Have a good trip.
  10. That's a feast or famine location for sure. Anywhere north of Rt. 90 lacks elevation. You can do pretty well in that area with a WSW wind direction though.
  11. Snowing nicely in Chagrin as additional snow is developing south of the main band. My total is a little under yours but I didn't get a good measurement yesterday. Looks like the main show will be tonight.
  12. We've had a good few bursts of snow here in Chagrin. Great flake size under the heavier returns. It has been interesting that the best snows have been well south of the snowbelt today. I think a contributing factor to the lack of organization today is the time of the year -- same sun angle as mid October. Bands tend to get disrupted during the daytime with early and late season events. You can almost see a shore parallel trying to form on radar now. I'm not good at picking up on troughs so I'll take your word that there is one to the south of here. Don't surface troughs usually push further south of the lakeshore when the waters are cold? Seems like they tend to hug the shoreline earlier in the season when the waters are warmer. CLE mentions tomorrow morning and afternoon for the greatest impacts at KCLE.
  13. That's definitely high. They must have measured a drift. Problem is that the ground was warm/wet prior to the snow, and with the high winds blowing the snow around its not easy to measure.
  14. Definitely tough to measure with the strong winds. I'm going with 3.5" but that is probably not very accurate. Speaking of the winds... I wonder how much impact the strong winds will have on the lake effect bands as residence time will be greatly reduced. Good to see the lake effect starting to fire up. Ideally we need a wind directing in the 280-300 range for max snowfall in this area. Looks like we may be a bit too far south for the heaviest stuff.
  15. Just issued by CLE - afternoon models all on track for a decent event. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations through Saturday of 6 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts possible where lake effect snow bands persists and across the higher terrain. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph Thursday and Thursday night with blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...Cuyahoga, Lake, Geauga, Ashtabula Inland and Ashtabula Lakeshore counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 6 PM EST Saturday. In particular, periods of heavy lake effect snow are expected from mid morning Thursday through Thursday night and again Friday night into Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and or evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain will transition to lake enhanced snow this evening with moderate snow and amounts of 3 to locally 5 inches tonight. An additional 4 to 8 inches is likely from lake effect snow Thursday and Thursday night. Lake effect snow will be ongoing across the region through Saturday. Wind chill temperatures will be in the single digits through Saturday morning.