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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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4 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Greta says that because of civilization-ending global warming, the Grinch is coming a week earlier this year.  At night no less. And if we don't act now, within 12 year he'll be coming by Thanksgiving. 

 

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You've been on a roll lately. Working on new properties must suit you.

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28 minutes ago, alex said:

The GFS definitely expands the NNE morale to the rest of the region. Fingers crossed!

I don't trust the GFS. I'm not sure how well it's been doing lately. And long range, wasn't it showing a torch for Christmas. And now it seems to be catching up to the Euro ( or did I get that wrong? )

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25 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I don't trust the GFS. I'm not sure how well it's been doing lately. And long range, wasn't it showing a torch for Christmas. And now it seems to be catching up to the Euro ( or did I get that wrong? )

Gee, I’ve never heard anybody say that before…

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1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

 

 

Y’all droolin over the 18z GFS?

Three 6+ers Xmas to NYE no melts between 

 

Hope it comes to true. If it would hold, it would save not just potentially Christmas, but also December in general. 

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1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I don't trust the GFS. I'm not sure how well it's been doing lately. And long range, wasn't it showing a torch for Christmas. And now it seems to be catching up to the Euro ( or did I get that wrong? )

I don’t trust ANY model. Cool as it would be, I think the reality is that the atmosphere is far too complex for any model to have a clue past a couple of days out. It’s fun to watch them but I never put any trust into anything more than a few days out. 

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2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Good. Let’s get it out of the way.

I had no doubt it was coming even up here, right now looks like the weenie 1 inch QPF band will be directly over our heads, hopefully we can trend that down to 0.5 inches and our pack will be intact come Saturday.

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2 minutes ago, TheMainer said:

I had no doubt it was coming even up here, right now looks like the weenie 1 inch QPF band will be directly over our heads, hopefully we can trend that down to 0.5 inches and our pack will be intact come Saturday.

Doesn’t look that warm for very long.  A decent pack will soak it up and solidify it.

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5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Northeast is on the margins with expansive ridge located south central US rest of December. 

Stronger Arctic blocking would make a big difference as gradient patterns like this can be very active 

Eps and gefs have the nao going negative around Christmas. 

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