December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[WinterWolf]

6 hours ago, CT Rain said:

Updated video on Sunday's storm and a look ahead in the extended. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5lE-tz3FZDU

 

That was excellent Ryan. Very interesting and reasonable.  A breath of fresh air from the constant hyperbole from most of the others. Can’t wait to watch one when something major threatens.  Thanks and keep up the good work.  

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Wasn't there a good ice storm in 2008, mostly in Mass?

It was very elevation dependent.   But yes, lots of damage in the hill towns.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

GEFS continuing the semi-interesting look going into Xmas Eve/Xmas. It’s obviously not your ideal coastal storm pattern but we’ve seen some interesting winter wx systems on looks like the below…overrunning snow/SWFE/potential ice…something to watch…you get a ripple or vort energy being shot across the center of the CONUS and it runs into that brick wall north of New England  

Yeah, I mentioned ice earlier… I haven’t had a chance to expand on any of that. 

In short it does look like we’re trying to move toward more of polar boundary being on the doorstep. No need to expand on those kinds of vulnerabilities. It put’s a lot of stuff back in play.

It doesn’t look like a clean warm departure as much as it did yesterday - plenty of time  

 

 

 

[ORH_wxman]

 

17 years ago today…hard to believe. Almost all of this fell at about 31F  

 

[Typhoon Tip]

My dad told me a story growing up in late 1940s… Had an ice storm like that across Southern lower Michigan. This is long before the current kind of infrastructure or even highway system was nearly as evolved as it is now so probably lacks notoriety but anyway. He said that after about an inch and a half of accreted ice, it transitioned to snow and they had 8 inches on top.

That’s something I’ve always wanted to see - a major on top a major

[HIPPYVALLEY]

This is a nice synopsis of the 1998 ice event and the meteorology behind it.

https://www.weather.gov/btv/25th-Anniversary-of-the-Devastating-1998-Ice-Storm-in-the-Northeast

[SJonesWX]

26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

 

17 years ago today…hard to believe. Almost all of this fell at about 31F  

 

Looked the same here. couldn’t get off our road for a couple days, no power for like 5 days

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just now, SJonesWX said:

Looked the same here. couldn’t get off our road for a couple days, no power for like 5 days

Anything over 48 hours starts to suck more with each passing hour.   That's why I don't get why folks wish for these events. 

[alex]

Still snowing lol. Love these stretches where it just won’t stop 

[tunafish]

1 minute ago, alex said:

Still snowing lol. Love these stretches where it just won’t stop 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Euro AI looks very interesting late month. 

[Snowcrazed71]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro AI looks very interesting late month. 

There's been some mention at the AI models have been performing pretty darn well. Curious what they're showing for the end of the month

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

There's been some mention at the AI models have been performing pretty darn well. Curious what they're showing for the end of the month

[H2Otown_WX]

4 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

Muting as we thought…it’s the tenor this year so far. We take. 

Fake (warmup) 'n Take Freeze Out

[H2Otown_WX]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Congrats DC

[Snowcrazed71]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

My family and I are heading up to Canada the day after Christmas. We're going to be up there for 4 days. Hopefully the ride won't be terrible, but I'm sure they're chock full of snow up in Quebec City

[H2Otown_WX]

Jk, that actually does look pretty nice. Let's roll with that look right through Jan.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Active pattern with lurking cold.  Take. 

[mahk_webstah]

7 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Shove that se Canada low 250 miles ne 

[mahk_webstah]

7 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

My family and I are heading up to Canada the day after Christmas. We're going to be up there for 4 days. Hopefully the ride won't be terrible, but I'm sure they're chock full of snow up in Quebec City

The place is magical.  I keep telling the weenies to go up for a few days.

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Shove that se Canada low 250 miles ne 

Are we aiming for suppression?

[mahk_webstah]

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Are we aiming for suppression?

I’m talking about the low that’s over Newfoundland. Move it 250 miles northeast allows a storm to climb the coast doesn’t it?  And even stall with all that blocking.

[mahk_webstah]

Seems like the cooldown after a few warm days is still on target for just before Christmas?  And with snow chances

[MJO812]

8 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Euro AI looks very interesting late month. 

Euro also

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro also

Add GFS GEFS EPS Christmas week, if the cold is locking the the weather will be rocking 

[kdxken]

20 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Seems like the cooldown after a few warm days is still on target for just before Christmas?  And with snow chances

Appears to be. 

 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Xmas week look on all modeling has icestorm written all over it. Frigid SE Canada with waves running along boundary south 

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Xmas week look on all modeling has icestorm written all over it. Frigid SE Canada with waves running along boundary south 

Looks like prolonged snow

[Fozz]

34 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro also

If they’re showing that a White Christmas is on the table, then yes I’m very interested.

[Damage In Tolland]

12 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Looks like prolonged snow

Some warmth aloft