December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[weathafella]

20 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Problem is both AI models have been slowly trending to a non event.. After both showing a moderate hit yesterday.. Another few ticks and they will look like the 6z gfs .. Really would like to see GFS make a good move towards EURO multiple runs in a row

I know and that’s why today is a critical moment for guidance.

[SouthCoastMA]

It's trending favorably at 12z. huh

[ORH_wxman]

Mostly a south coast and cape scraper on GFS but another bump would make it pretty decent if we can get that trend going rather than just oscillating between scrapers and whiffs on this model. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Don’t think it will be enough on GFS but def a good trend. 

Is the GFS as interested in SNE snow as the Sox were in Alonso?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Tick tick tick 

[dryslot]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Is the GFS as interested in SNE snow as the Sox were in Alonso?

I can give you Breslow's reasoning for not doing anything as its the same year in and year out.

[Torch Tiger]

32 minutes ago, alex said:

Something more for Torch to poop at. Looked like it was going to clear out and it’s been dumping instead. Stake up to 1 foot

 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Tick tick tick 

 

[SJonesWX]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

2.5”/0.22” here

Just broomed the driveway. Up to 12.8” on the season. 28.0° with a -SHSN right now. It’s been snowing off and on for a few hours.

i can hear a certain poster at 990' elevation in Tolland smashing his laptop right now.

[FXWX]

13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Is the GFS as interested in SNE snow as the Sox were in Alonso?

Makes perfect sense since they both ended up in the Mid-Atlantic!

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, FXWX said:

Makes perfect sense since they both ended up in the Mid-Atlantic!

This deserves post of the year

[brooklynwx99]

gotta love the GFS suite

[Kitz Craver]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

gotta love the GFS suite

Looks like it has a little bit more room to come up and around
 

 

[binbisso]

[Kitz Craver]

Just now, binbisso said:

Drunk uncle baby!

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, binbisso said:

Looks NAM like, good to see

[40/70 Benchmark]

The probability for a White Christmas is above climatological levels given the active pattern and at least seasonable cold throughout the first half of the month, but it remains dubious for the coastal plane given the milder turn prior to the holidays.  In fact, the proverbial "Grinch Storm" is more likely than not.  A Pacific trough should begin to evolve towards the end of the month in conjunction with a rather stout PV, as a mild pattern ensues to ring in 2026.

 

 

Look familiar???

 

[eduggs]

54 minutes ago, dryslot said:

The RGEM has been garbage, Been way to cold for starters, Just saying so far this winter up here, I'm still looking for my 3.6" it had for yesterday.

It was the opposite - too warm - down in NNJ and SENY yesterday. Showed rain in areas that got accumulating snow.

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, binbisso said:

Man, UK giving me yuletide lapdance.

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, eduggs said:

It was the opposite - too warm - down in NNJ and SENY yesterday. Showed rain in areas that got accumulating snow.

It was awful to far south with the cold.

[dryslot]

Ukie was some rain on the cape.............lol

[powderfreak]

25 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

This deserves post of the year

Some might call it a candidate?

[dryslot]

That's quite the snowstorm on the 22nd on the 12z GFS in CNE/NNE.

[ariof]

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's quite the snowstorm on the 22nd on the 12z GFS in CNE/NNE.

More for the Grinch to steal.

[dryslot]

Just now, ariof said:

More for the Grinch to steal.

He wouldn't be able to get it all if that verified lol

[DavisStraight]

15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The probability for a White Christmas is above climatological levels given the active pattern and at least seasonable cold throughout the first half of the month, but it remains dubious for the coastal plane given the milder turn prior to the holidays.  In fact, the proverbial "Grinch Storm" is more likely than not.  A Pacific trough should begin to evolve towards the end of the month in conjunction with a rather stout PV, as a mild pattern ensues to ring in 2026.

 

 

Look familiar???

 

You called it earlier, looks like you're gonna be right. Let's hope for good things after new year.

[Damage In Tolland]

Ukie is about how I envision things playing out 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

He wouldn't be able to get it all if that verified lol

I see we have already erased 2020 from your memory. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

I see we have already erased 2020 from your memory. 

Why? What happened? Wasn't much here to steal. 

[DavisStraight]

48 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I can give you Breslow's reasoning for not doing anything as its the same year in and year out.

They're better off trading some of the surplus of outfielders. I would like to see them get Marte and resign Bregman.