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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...


Typhoon Tip
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The 12z ECM and 18z GFS (with support from the EPS/GEFS) shows what we fear along the coastal plain. It's a classic cool/rain to cold/dry and then repeat scenario. That's not unexpected or unseasonable for this time of year. But it's been a nuisance for a few years now, including in the heart of winter. So it would be nice to get a complete breakdown of that repetitive sequence inside 7 days. We've had way way too much rain in recent winters. If a more favorable longwave pattern is always out beyond 10 days, it's just a tease.

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