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September Discobs 2025


George BM
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Interesting trend in some of the evening guidance to slow the exit of the clouds and showers on Sunday.    The HRRR is the slowest, with showers not exiting the DC area until after noon and temps staying in the 60s all day with clouds.   The NAM Nest and HiResW ARW2 both keep shower chances around through much of the morning but still get sun by midday.   HiResW FV3 gets the showers out early, and clearing arrives quickly.

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7 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Here in jackpotville it poured all night off and on. Looks like more coming this morning. Today's forecast doesn't look as nice as it did a couple days ago. I'm so ready for drought round two lol

Jeez AACo jackpot for sure. I’ve just been scraping by with occasional brief showers. The gradient between 5-10 miles to my west and 5-10 miles to my east is probably over 1”. Think I’m around 0.3” for yesterday and overnight. 

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8 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Here in jackpotville it poured all night off and on. Looks like more coming this morning. Today's forecast doesn't look as nice as it did a couple days ago. I'm so ready for drought round two lol

I was hoping it would clear early but looks like on and off showers through noon.

Sitting at 1.48" for the event so far.

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I can seemingly always count on the weather to do the opposite of what I expect! As the outflow blew through it was kicking up water over the river. It almost looked like there was a gustnado in the mist. It rained a decent amount, maybe half an inch, not sure it will be enough to save some of the leaves on the trees. Also had first thunder since end of July, so that was fun.

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4 hours ago, CAPE said:

I was hoping it would clear early but looks like on and off showers through noon.

Sitting at 1.48" for the event so far.

Just about done other than some very light rain/drizzle. Would be nice to see a little sun this afternoon.

1.68" total.  Only 2" for the month of August, so much needed.

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