O'Brother Septorcher

[kdxken]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Stein wins today. Was going for a few showers to wet the seed but he’s back.

Early next week maybe

[powderfreak]

40F

Classic September type mornings lately.

[HoarfrostHubb]

13 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

40F

Classic September type mornings lately.

Pretty cool around here. I’m enjoying the start of the school year weatherwise.  Makes it much easier. 

[dendrite]

40.7°

Coolest so far

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

37.4° this morning. Eyeing the heat setting on the thermostat ominously.

[Go Kart Mozart]

14 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

37.4° this morning. Eyeing the heat setting on the thermostat ominously.

Don't do it.  I always tell my family, "heat is a Thanksgiving treat".

[HIPPYVALLEY]

8 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Don't do it.  I always tell my family, "heat is a Thanksgiving treat".

Well, Halloween is reasonable I would say. 

[jbenedet]

The persistent radiational Dewling has been an important crutch for the dryness. Not a replacement but definitely mitigating the effect of drought conditions on the landscapes here.

[CoastalWx]

Clouds here and stuck in upper 50s thankfully. 

[SouthCoastMA]

some showers here but nothing heavy. 3k NAM on crack as usual, a good winter storm practice run when it showing a big hit

[dendrite]

59 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Clouds here and stuck in upper 50s thankfully. 

Yeah I’ll take the early 40s for sunshine

[metagraphica]

Currently 61. Should be a perfect Fall day with mid-60's and drizzle later on.

[Typhoon Tip]

I still suggest this should be watched on Sunday ...

[Chrisrotary12]

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I still suggest this should be watched on Sunday ...

I was just looking at that. Certainly an interesting evolution. Cold pool for the win?

[Torch Tiger]

A few light showers/storms, mostly WNE.  Nbd

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Cloudy again 

[Chrisrotary12]

9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

A few light showers/storms, mostly WNE.  Nbd

Surface dews in the 60s, LIs -4, 1000-2000 joules of CAPE.... I'll take my chances.

[SouthCoastMA]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Cloudy again 

late April, early May vibes

[dryslot]

43°F this morning, 40°F yesterday, (was the low so far), Overnight temps are looking 40ish for the next few days.

[Typhoon Tip]

50 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I was just looking at that. Certainly an interesting evolution. Cold pool for the win?

yeah... it'll depend on the usual - timing with still some feeble heating potential during the day... But the kinematics look decent from this range.  

The GFS has been demoing terrible continuity with that synoptics of it so, more Euro and/or or Euro/GGEM blended. 

[Typhoon Tip]

29 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Surface dews in the 60s, LIs -4, 1000-2000 joules of CAPE.... I'll take my chances.

yeah... this is what I'm seeing.   Timing looks good with rather sudden height falls arriving nearing 18z associated with that rather intensely nucleated cold pool diving in.   Sun matters..

[tamarack]

40 minutes ago, dryslot said:

43°F this morning, 40°F yesterday, (was the low so far), Overnight temps are looking 40ish for the next few days.

36° with fog this morning, 34° without fog yesterday.

[metagraphica]

59 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Surface dews in the 60s, LIs -4, 1000-2000 joules of CAPE.... I'll take my chances.

 

28 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

yeah... this is what I'm seeing.   Timing looks good with rather sudden height falls arriving nearing 18z associated with that rather intensely nucleated cold pool diving in.   Sun matters..

As long as it's not an all day rain event like this past Sunday.  Garage sale rained out. Would like to try again this Sunday.

[dryslot]

33 minutes ago, tamarack said:

36° with fog this morning, 34° without fog yesterday.

Was quite foggy this morning, Starting to take down the garden, Game Cams are out, Going to be in the woods in a couple weeks, From what i can see, Not as many acorns dropping this year like last year.

[weatherwiz]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I still suggest this should be watched on Sunday ...

Just looked at the 6z GFS...figured you would have certainly said something. 

1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Surface dews in the 60s, LIs -4, 1000-2000 joules of CAPE.... I'll take my chances.

Big change from yesterday with that Sunday shortwave. You have adequate shear with steep mid-level lapse rates driven by a strong cold pool with sfc dews in the 60's. Good recipe for hailers and strong downbursts. 

[Chrisrotary12]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Just looked at the 6z GFS...figured you would have certainly said something. 

Big change from yesterday with that Sunday shortwave. You have adequate shear with steep mid-level lapse rates driven by a strong cold pool with sfc dews in the 60's. Good recipe for hailers and strong downbursts. 

Yep. Worth keeping an eye on is all.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Yep. Worth keeping an eye on is all.

My eyes opened up a bit when I checked the llvl moisture. Don't often see dews into the 60's in this type of setup.

[Typhoon Tip]

12 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Just looked at the 6z GFS...figured you would have certainly said something. 

Big change from yesterday with that Sunday shortwave. You have adequate shear with steep mid-level lapse rates driven by a strong cold pool with sfc dews in the 60's. Good recipe for hailers and strong downbursts. 

it was there yesterday/suggestively when I brought it up

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 hours ago, SouthCoastMA said:

late April, early May vibes

Yup, surprisingly gross day. Summer is long gone.

[weatherwiz]

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it was there yesterday/suggestively when I brought it up

it was but wasn't it diving more across Maine then south across SNE?