July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability

[SACRUS]

49 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Bring on heatwave #5

 

Hope we can have a mainly dry weekend 26/27 if so it looks quite hot.

[Dark Star]

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

 

Clearing looks less likely and would lower range of the highs today - unless there is some rapid burning up of clouds.  The May Grey - Jun Gloom, July grey sky syndrome continues especially on weekends.

 

Very sunny here in Garwood.  Disgusting outside.

[psv88]

Back in the tropics. 83/74

[LoboLeader1]

TEMP 85F/DP 72/RH 68%

[SACRUS]

 

 

1PM Round up

 

EWR: 88
ACY: 88
New Brnswck: 88
PHL: 87
NYC: 86
BLM: N/A sensor down
TEB: 86
JFK: 85
ISP: 85
LGA: 85
TTN: 84
 

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

Very sunny here in Garwood.  Disgusting outside.

Yes, cleared out around noon here and up to 89 now

[SACRUS]

 

See if anything concentrates in PA as cold front pushes eats

 

[steve392]

Wife said a downpour just happened at home.  

[winterwarlock]

89/78/101

[LoboLeader1]

89F/71

[WestBabylonWeather]

Clouds cleared nicely here not a cloud on sight now. Renting a paddle boat on Belmont lake was fun. But it was super hot 

[Poker2015]

Is that some rotation on the storm in Hunterdon County?

[SnoSki14]

5 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

Bring on heatwave #5

More disgusting weather...yay 

[FPizz]

Raining pretty hard, worst looks to go just south, maybe by warlock

[winterwx21]

15 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Raining pretty hard, worst looks to go just south, maybe by warlock

And it appears that cell is gonna miss me just to the south. That heavy downpour in southern Somerset County is gonna go into central and southern Middlesex County. 

[FPizz]

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

And it appears that cell is gonna miss me just to the south. That heavy downpour in southern Somerset County is gonna go into central and southern Middlesex County. 

Got .12" from it

[Poker2015]

.06" here...whiff

[winterwarlock]

pouring here..what else is new..another rainy late afternoon in the summer...seems like a broken record

 

hit 91 with peak heat index of 103

[winterwarlock]

50 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

More disgusting weather...yay 

disgusting is days and days of rain chances so hopefully no

[donsutherland1]

Parts of the region saw the mercury soar into the lower 90s today. LaGuardia Airport (92°) and Newark (94°) both reached 90° or above.

A front will cross the region this evening. It could trigger some scattered showers and thundershowers.

Behind the front, it will turn cooler and much less humid for tomorrow through the middle of next week. Tomorrow through Wednesday should feature bright sunshine, low humidity, and pleasant temperatures topping out mainly in the lower 80s. Low temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday morning should be in the lower and middle 60s in New York City. Some outlying areas could see lows fall into the upper 50s, especially on Tuesday morning.

A brief surge of heat is likely for Thursday through Saturday. Much of the region will see the temperature top out near or above 90° during these days. Friday will likely be the hottest day with temperatures reaching the middle 90s in New York City and upper 90s to near 100° in the hot spots, including Newark.

Afterward, it will turn cooler, but readings will likely remain somewhat above normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.1°C for the week centered around July 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.52°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer.

The SOI was +14.28 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.456 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 80% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.1° (1.6° above normal). 

 

[SnoSki14]

35 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

disgusting is days and days of rain chances so hopefully no

More very humid weather will most certainly lead to more rain and a lot of it 

[WestBabylonWeather]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

More very humid weather will most certainly lead to more rain and a lot of it 

I miss the summer drought we had a couple years ago. At least here on Long Island. It was sunny for months 

[nycwinter]

i will enjoy the next few days of delightful weather might even have to wear a blanket  at night..

[steve392]

Parts of monmouth county had 5" of rain earlier today with flooding.  Got lightning warnings for my area in Mahwah now.

[psv88]

91 today