July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability

[WE GOT HIM]

2 hours ago, ag3 said:

High of 91.6 here today. A bit warmer than LGA.

88 here

[Volcanic Winter]

I’ve been so depressed with this unbearable humidity, it’s made being outside at all so unpleasant. I miss the days where hot and humid gave way to storms which gave way to cool and dry. 

It’s as if every day is just hot and damp with some amalgamation of sun / clouds / rain / storms. The normal procession of the flow seems completely stagnated. 
 

I really can’t wait for winter - my life for some cool, crisp air. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

3 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’ve been so depressed with this unbearable humidity, it’s made being outside at all so unpleasant. I miss the days where hot and humid gave way to storms which gave way to cool and dry. 

It’s as if every day is just hot and damp with some amalgamation of sun / clouds / rain / storms. The normal procession of the flow seems completely stagnated. 
 

I really can’t wait for winter - my life for some cool, crisp air. 

You’re in the central Jersey severe alley. That comes with allot of convective rain. Out here in the south shore desert I would pay to see the kind of storms you get. 

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Remember when people thought that drought was an issue lol

0.0 here today 1” with the last event. Wouldn’t exactly call it water world on the island. Parts of the east end had .10” last event. 

[winterwx21]

46 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’ve been so depressed with this unbearable humidity, it’s made being outside at all so unpleasant. I miss the days where hot and humid gave way to storms which gave way to cool and dry. 

It’s as if every day is just hot and damp with some amalgamation of sun / clouds / rain / storms. The normal procession of the flow seems completely stagnated. 
 

I really can’t wait for winter - my life for some cool, crisp air. 

At least we're finally going to see a couple significant breaks in the humidity -- Friday into Saturday and again Monday into Tuesday. Four out of five days with pretty low humidity will be nice. Get out and enjoy it, because the big heat will be coming back the end of next week. 

[Wxoutlooksblog]

Beginning to get a sense that NYC's hottest weather of this season may be behind us. It's frustrating that WAR showed early signs of becoming prominent in our weather pattern but the latest models practically disappear it putting almost all the focus on the western ridge more and more-so as time goes on. It could change but right now it's hard to see WAR getting back into the picture. 

WX/PT

[Snowlover11]

This humidity can kick rocks.  absolutely disgusting outside.

[dmillz25]

79/73 here

[guinness77]

It is absolutely horrendous right now. Feels like Florida.  

[bluewave]

11 hours ago, anthonymm said:

It is very very difficult for nyc to get <70 in mid summer now. I think we scratch 70 but struggle to get below it. First <70 night will come some time deep into august or even early sept.

Yeah, it may be a struggle getting much below 70° around NYC. This current streak above 70° is the 17th longest 70° streak in the strongest UHI zones combined with the higher dew points and general warming. So LGA is currently at 12 days through the 16th. The top 10 starts at 19 days with #1 at 44 days back in 2020.

 

Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 70 
for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	44	2020-07-03 through 2020-08-15
2	34	2006-07-08 through 2006-08-10
3	32	1980-07-15 through 1980-08-15
4	29	2023-07-01 through 2023-07-29
-	29	2018-07-22 through 2018-08-19
5	28	2010-07-03 through 2010-07-30
6	24	1999-07-16 through 1999-08-08
-	24	1995-07-13 through 1995-08-05
7	23	1988-07-27 through 1988-08-18
8	22	2016-07-12 through 2016-08-02
-	22	2012-06-28 through 2012-07-19
9	20	2015-07-18 through 2015-08-06
-	20	2005-07-29 through 2005-08-17
-	20	1994-07-16 through 1994-08-04
10	19	2021-08-09 through 2021-08-27
-	19	2016-08-04 through 2016-08-22
-	19	2013-06-23 through 2013-07-11
-	19	1966-06-27 through 1966-07-15
11	18	2012-07-31 through 2012-08-17
-	18	1998-07-13 through 1998-07-30
-	18	1988-07-07 through 1988-07-24
-	18	1979-07-20 through 1979-08-06
12	17	2019-07-25 through 2019-08-10
13	16	2008-07-12 through 2008-07-27
-	16	2007-07-25 through 2007-08-09
-	16	1990-08-03 through 1990-08-18
-	16	1990-07-16 through 1990-07-31
14	15	2024-07-04 through 2024-07-18
-	15	2022-07-17 through 2022-07-31
-	15	2018-08-24 through 2018-09-07
-	15	2003-08-02 through 2003-08-16
-	15	1944-07-23 through 1944-08-06
15	14	2019-07-09 through 2019-07-22
-	14	2005-07-14 through 2005-07-27
-	14	1991-07-14 through 1991-07-27
16	13	2022-08-19 through 2022-08-31
-	13	2010-08-01 through 2010-08-13
-	13	2006-06-17 through 2006-06-29
-	13	2002-06-23 through 2002-07-05
-	13	2001-08-01 through 2001-08-13
-	13	1983-07-28 through 1983-08-09
-	13	1973-08-01 through 1973-08-13
-	13	1959-08-25 through 1959-09-06
-	13	1955-07-15 through 1955-07-27
17	12	2025-07-05 through 2025-07-16
-	12	2015-08-14 through 2015-08-25
-	12	2009-08-15 through 2009-08-26
-	12	1993-08-24 through 1993-09-04
-	12	1993-07-04 through 1993-07-15
-	12	1975-07-13 through 1975-07-24

[SnoSki14]

8 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I’ve been so depressed with this unbearable humidity, it’s made being outside at all so unpleasant. I miss the days where hot and humid gave way to storms which gave way to cool and dry. 

It’s as if every day is just hot and damp with some amalgamation of sun / clouds / rain / storms. The normal procession of the flow seems completely stagnated. 
 

I really can’t wait for winter - my life for some cool, crisp air. 

It's been horrendous. No wonder parts of the area had 6"+ rains a few days ago just from a frontal boundary. Now add a tropical system and we're all screwed. 

And yet as hot and humid as it is here it won't be anything like the southern plains next week and beyond if that ridge depiction is correct. 

[donsutherland1]

Some of the remnant showers from last night's thunderstorms in Pennsylvania have now moved into southern Westchester County.

[bluewave]

52 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's been horrendous. No wonder parts of the area had 6"+ rains a few days ago just from a frontal boundary. Now add a tropical system and we're all screwed. 

The SMQ average max dew point this July so far is a record breaking 74.8°. This is the same average this time of year as Norfolk, VA. Just boost the average max around 1° and this is normal for Miami in July.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=76&network=NJ_ASOS&station=SMQ&season=jul&varname=dwpf&agg=max&year=1893&w=bar&hours=0-23&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

76 / 73  mstly - ptly cloudy  0.72 last night.  Hot / humid low - mid 90s, sunnier hotter areas to upper 90s, but plenty of clouds around.  Another round of storms later.   Drier and cooler Friday only the hottest spots to 90 and that will be isolated.    Saturday looks dry but could be another cloudy day keeping temps down.  Sunday hotter but storms in the afternoon.  Mon - Wed  reprieve from the humidity and heat.   Ridge builds to our southwest by Thu for the next round of heat and potential stronger heat..  Overall hot / humid and wetter beyond the 27th.

 

7/17 : Hot / Humid  storms later - 90s widespread perhaps mid/upper 90s in the hot / sunnier areas
7/18 - 7/20  :  Drier - Warm -  limited 90s - Storms Sunday
7/21 - 7/23 :   Drier - cooler
7/24 - 7/27 :  Hotter -  Potential day or two of strong widespread heat (95+) 850 MB temos >19C
7/28 - Beyond:   Hot / Humid wetter overall

 

[SACRUS]

 

Records:

Highs:

 

EWR: 100 (2012)
NYC: 100 (1953)
LGA: 98 (2012)
JFK: 97 (1969)
New Brnswck: 100 (1988)


Lows:

EWR: 56 (1946)
NYC: 57 (1892)
LGA: 60 (1946)
JFK: 61 (1989)
New Brnswck: 48 (1908)


Historical:
 

 

1902: Temperature range was 38° from 58° minimum to 97° maximum in Baltimore City, MD.

1934 - One of the worst heat waves in the history of the nation commenced. During the last two weeks of the month extreme heat claimed 679 lives in Michigan, including 300 in Detroit alone. (The Weather Channel)

1941 - A prolonged heat wave over Washington State finally came to an end. Lightning from untimely thunderstorms was responsible for 598 forest fires. (David Ludlum)

1942: A great flood developed over the Smethport area in Pennsylvania, resulting in an estimated 34.50 inches of rain in just one day, including 30.60 inches in only six hours, setting a world record. The official observing site, Smethport Highway Shed, reported only 13.08 inches for the entire month because the flood consumed the gauge after 6.68" of rain. The total results from the substitution of the officially estimated amount for the amount measured.

1943: Col. James Duckworth became the first person to fly an airplane into a hurricane. Duckworth took his AT-6 trainer right into the eye of a category 1 hurricane off the Texas coast.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1952 - Thunderstorms helped the temperatur at Key West, FL, to dip to 69 degrees, to equal their July record established on the first of July in 1923. (The Weather Channel)

1957 - On a warm and sunny day at Wilmington, DE, with a high of 86 degrees, a dust devil suddenly appeared. It tore most the roof off one house, and stripped shingles from a neighboring house. A TV aerial was toppled, and clothes were blown off clothes lines. (The Weather Channel)

1978: Severe thunderstorms ripped across southwest sections of South Dakota. One storm which dumped hail larger than golf balls and had winds which exceeded 80 mph was labeled as one of the most destructive to strike several western counties. Bennett County alone lost 20,000 acres and 600,000 bushels of unharvested winter wheat. The storms also did considerable property damage. Total price tag for the storms was near $28 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: The maximum temperature ever recorded in Atlanta, GA was 105 °F on this date. The maximum temperature ever recorded in Macon, GA was 108 °F on this date. The high of 110 degrees at Newington, GA was just two degrees shy of the state record. (Extreme Weather pp. 22, 273, by Christopher C. Burt)

1981: Severe thunderstorm winds ripped a 10,000 square foot hole in a 90-foot high pavilion at Sea World in Orlando, FL. The storm panicked a crowd of 550 tourists. One death occurred due to injury and heart attack, and 15 people were injured. The canopy was made of fiberglass and Teflon, designed to withstand 120 mph winds.

 

1985: An F1 tornado touched down, 10 miles east of Raymond, SD destroying two cattle sheds and several buildings. Heavy rains, strong winds and hail up to 2.75 inches in diameter produced considerable damage to farm buildings between Raymond and Garden City. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches caused additional crop losses from erosion. A thunderstorm near Kennebec produced wind gusts to 80 mph and small hail was observed. Several car windows were broke from wind and small hail. A damage path from wind and hail continued to Clear Lake, to south of Gary and into Minnesota to the east of Canby. Winds gusted to 70 mph and hail ranged from one to almost two inches in diameter. Highway 77, south of Clear Lake was impassable due to hail on the ground. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Slow moving thunderstorms caused flooding on the Guadalupe River in Texas resulting in tragic loss of life. A bus and van leaving a summer youth camp stalled near the rapidly rising river, just west of the town of Comfort, and a powerful surge of water swept away 43 persons, mostly teenagers. Ten drowned in the floodwaters. Most of the others were rescued from tree tops by helicopter. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A dozen cities in the eastern U.S., and six others in California, reported record high temperatures for the date. Downtown San Francisco, CA, with a high of 103 degrees, obliterated their previous record high of 82 degrees. Philadelphia, PA, reported a record five straight days of 100 degree heat, and Baltimore, MD, reported a record eight days of 100 degree weather for the year. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather along the Middle Atlantic Coast, and over southern New England. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from South Dakota to Lousiana, with 126 reports of large hail and damaging winds during the day and night. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail four inches in diameter in Frontier County, and at North Platte, causing millions of dollars damage to crops in Frontier County. Thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Peggs. Tahlequah OK was drenched with 5.25 inches of rain. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1993: All-time monthly record rainfall established already at Concordia, KS as rainfall records continued to fall across the Midwest during the Great Mississippi Flood of 1993. Total rainfall so far was 13.26”; this broke the old record of 11.19”. On this date, two inches of rain fell in 12 minutes in parts of Montgomery County, Iowa. 12 inches fell in just three hours near Bamboo, WI.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1994: Atlanta, Georgia saw a record-tying, 14 straight days come to an end on this day. The entire month of July had 17.71 inches, the wettest month ever in the Georgia capital.


1995: A 15-year-old boy was injured by lightning while touching an outdoor light switch at a swim and tennis club just outside Charlottesville, VA . He had been playing tennis and was leaving the courts due to the storm when he was struck.  (Ref. Lightning - Virginia Weather History)

1997: Tropical Storm Danny strengthened in the Gulf of Mexico off of the Louisiana Coast and moved slowly toward land. This marked only the third time in 126 years that four tropical storms had formed so early in the season (1886, 1959 were the other years). The storm would eventually stall over Mobile Bay, dumping incredible amounts of rain on the Alabama coast.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2000: Intense storms produced a vivid lightning display in the early a.m. over Kansas City, KS/MO. 2,000+ cloud-to-ground bolts hit Johnson County between 2-3 a.m.; the number of intracloud bolts may have exceeded 20,000 in the same time span. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

2003: Denali National Park, Alaska: One inch of snow falls at Denali National Park Headquarters, the first occurrence of measurable snow ever recorded in July. (Ref. WxDoctor)

2005: Needles, CA reached a high temperature of 125°, recording their hottest temperature ever. Other daily records included: Palm Springs, CA: 121°, Borrego Springs, CA: 120°, Yuma, AZ: 117°, Las Vegas, NV: 116°, Phoenix, AZ: 116°, Kingman, AZ: 113°, Tucson, AZ: 111° and Winslow, AZ: 105°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

[SACRUS]

 

Rain

EWR:
Jun: 2.29
Jul: 2.70  (7/16)

NYC:
Jun: 2.46
Jul: 3.42  (71/16)

LGA:
Jun: 2.54
Jul: 2.18 (7/16)

JFK:
Jun: 2.56
Jul: 2.17 (7/16)

 

[SACRUS]

 

New Brunswick: 6.18 of rain (7/16) so far

[donsutherland1]

Even as the New York City region continues to suffer in a steam bath, Bismarck saw the temperature fall to 40° this morning. That broke the daily record of 42° from 1984. It is also the coldest July reading there since July 27, 2013 when the mercury dipped to 39°. Next week could see a brief push of cooler air that could send the mercury into the middle or upper 60s in New York City coupled with low humidity and refreshing daytime temperatures. In 2013, a cool stretch followed Bismarck's low of July 27 a few days later. Unlike 2013 when there were reinforcing cool shots, that does not yet appear to be the case for this year. 

[bluewave]

12 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Rain

EWR:
Jun: 2.29
Jul: 2.70  (7/16)

NYC:
Jun: 2.46
Jul: 3.42  (71/16)

LGA:
Jun: 2.54
Jul: 2.18 (7/16)

JFK:
Jun: 2.56
Jul: 2.17 (7/16)

 

Only 1.41” for July here just to the east of KHVN with the lawns quickly turning brown with all the heat.

[wdrag]

for now nd maybe never: no Sat night-Sun thread (FF/SVR).  Will review again Fri and Sat morning. Have a day. 

[SACRUS]

Clouds stingy to clear 

77 / 73 once / if we clear its off to the races but clouds look to persist

[SACRUS]

 

Will be surprised if we see this little rainfall over the next 7 days, but overall drier trend outside of later today and Sunday.  Boundary south into the southern mid atlantic ,  AZ monsoon kicking up and what could have been Dexter into the C Gulf coast are the wetter spots

 

[bluewave]

27 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Will be surprised if we see this little rainfall over the next 7 days, but overall drier trend outside of later today and Sunday.  Boundary south into the southern mid atlantic ,  AZ monsoon kicking up and what could have been Dexter into the C Gulf coast are the wetter spots

We could see some stronger MCS activity in the day 6-10 period. But these have been finding a way to miss our area in recent years. Either to the north or south. But eventually we will get one here. 
 

 

 

[Brian5671]

Just had a 5 minute downpour here.

[Wannabehippie]

Only 76 here right now, but the sun is breaking out from the previously cloudy skies. I expect to see a pop in temps soon, between the sun, and the WSW winds.

[FPizz]

10 hours ago, Poker2015 said:

You get anything down the road? We had a 5 min drizzle earlier and everything else looks north or south for the night

5 minutes of drizzle here as well.  

[lee59]

The radar showed light rain moving over my area, light is an understatement, about 10 drops

[jm1220]

Just now, lee59 said:

The radar showed light rain moving over my area, light is an understatement, about 10 drops

Had a heavy shower in Melville a little while ago. 

[Brian5671]

looks cloudier than forecast today-going to be tough to get to 92 here...LOL currently 75 with a few showers rolling through

[LoboLeader1]

31 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

looks cloudier than forecast today-going to be tough to get to 92 here...LOL currently 75 with a few showers rolling through

Projected high here today is 94F, I don't think that's going to happen given the cloud cover this AM. Currently 79.