winterwx21 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Only 0.04" here overnight. Hopefully we'll get some decent rain Saturday night into Sunday morning. The vegetable garden could use a drink. After that our next chance probably won't come until next Friday or Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 For tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Only 0.04" here overnight. Hopefully we'll get some decent rain Saturday night into Sunday morning. The vegetable garden could use a drink. After that our next chance probably won't come until next Friday or Saturday. Latest NAMS have very little unless you're well north of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Great article regarding torrential rains over CT and LI about 10 days ago. Courtesy of Mt. Washington Observatory. Great read. Link: https://mountwashington.org/disaster-in-the-naugatuck-river-valley/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 30 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Latest NAMS have very little unless you're well north of the city Yeah on most models right now the heavy action in PA weakens to just showers by the time it gets to our area Saturday night. Latest RGEM does hold it together enough to give us around a quarter inch. It is going to be very humid and maybe the models will beef it up a little bit as it gets closer. We'll see. We could use some rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Landed in Mexico yesterday (Thursday) to the exact same conditions we had on Wednesday, 95 with dews deep into the 70’s. 17 degree difference in latitude. Only difference was the breeze here vs none in Long Island. Crazy how our climate is literally semi-tropical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 11 minutes ago, Cfa said: Landed in Mexico yesterday (Thursday) to the exact same conditions we had on Wednesday, 95 with dews deep into the 70’s. 17 degree difference in latitude. Only difference was the breeze here vs none in Long Island. Crazy how our climate is literally semi-tropical. Highs in the mid 90s here in the summer isn’t that atypical. What’s becoming more common are the high dews that come with it. Way more days now than 20 years ago with 75+ dew points. @bluewave has posted data on this in the past. Sunday might be our next day with dews near 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 6 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Highs in the mid 90s here in the summer isn’t that atypical. What’s becoming more common are the high dews that come with it. Way more days now than 20 years ago with 75+ dew points. @bluewave has posted data on this in the past. Sunday might be our next day with dews near 75. The changeover was very abrupt. These aren’t the same summers I remember from the 2000’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 25 minutes ago, Cfa said: The changeover was very abrupt. These aren’t the same summers I remember from the 2000’s. Warming oceans... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Does Sunday after potential as a beach day? It would be a shame if it would be 4 bad beach days until hope on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: Highs in the mid 90s here in the summer isn’t that atypical. What’s becoming more common are the high dews that come with it. Way more days now than 20 years ago with 75+ dew points. @bluewave has posted data on this in the past. Sunday might be our next day with dews near 75. Yeah, looks like this was the first time that HVN had 30 days with a 75° or higher dew point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s during the weekend. A shower or thunderstorm is likely tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. Sunday could be the warmest day with some locations reaching the middle 80s, but another shot of cooler air will arrive early next week. Overall, the first week of September will likely wind up somewhat cooler than normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around August 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +10.14 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.368 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.1° (1.0° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 Crappy day after the mornings rains which gave me about 1/2". Some blue skies seen in distance at times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s during the weekend. A shower or thunderstorm is likely tomorrow evening and tomorrow night. Sunday could be the warmest day with some locations reaching the middle 80s, but another shot of cooler air will arrive early next week. Overall, the first week of September will likely wind up somewhat cooler than normal. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around August 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged 0.00°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the fall. The SOI was +10.14 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.368 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.1° (1.0° below normal). Side note - Always love your Write Ups. You and @bluewave 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: It's cloudy and windy. I have a sweatshirt on Perfect open the window weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 30, 2024 Share Posted August 30, 2024 1 hour ago, USCG RS said: Side note - Always love your Write Ups. You and @bluewave Thank you for the kind words. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 Back to back top 10 wettest summers for me. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jun through AugClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2009 17.52 0 2 2006 17.45 1 3 2011 17.38 0 4 1972 16.54 0 5 1955 15.30 0 6 2003 14.55 0 7 1952 13.87 0 8 2024 13.77 1 9 2023 13.45 2 10 1950 13.08 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 Records: 8/30 Highs EWR: 100 (1953) NYC: 98 (1973) LGA: 99 (1953) JFK: 95 (1973) Lows: EWR: 49 (1934) NYC: 50 (1965) LGA: 55 (1986) JKK: 51 (1965) Historical: 1776 - General Washington took advantage of a heavy fog to evacuate Long Island after a defeat. Adverse winds kept the British fleet from intervening. (David Ludlum) 1838 - A major tornado, possibly the worst in Rhode Island history, passed south of Providence. It uprooted and stripped trees of their branches, unroofed or destroyed many houses, and sucked water out of ponds. The tornado barely missed a local railroad depot, where many people were waiting for a train. The tornado injured five people. 1839 - A hurricane moved from Cape Hatteras NC to offshore New England. An unusual feature of the hurricane was the snow it helped produce, which whitened the Catskill Mountains of New York State. Considerable snow was also reported at Salem NY. (The Weather Channel) 1982 - A tropical depression brought torrential rains to portions of southern Texas. Up to twelve inches fell south of Houston, and as much as eighteen inches fell southeast of Austin. The tropical depression spawned fourteen tornadoes in three days. (David Ludlum) Record cold gripped the northeastern U.S. Thirty-one cities in New England reported record lows, and areas of Vermont received up to three inches of snow. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Eight cities in California and Oregon reported record high temperatures for the date, including Redding CA and Sacramento CA where the mercury hit 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched Georgia and the Carolinas with heavy rain, soaking Columbia, SC, with 4.10 inches in three hours. Fresno CA was the hot spot in the nation with a record high of 109 degrees. Duluth MN tied their record for the month of August with a morning low of 39 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced large hail in Montana and North Dakota during the evening and early nighttime hours. Hail three inches in diameter was reported 20 miles south of Medora ND, and thunderstorms over Dawson County MT produced up to three inches of rain. Thunderstorms produced golf ball size hail at Roundup MT, Dazey ND and Protection KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 70 / 65 cloudy. We'll see how much clearing we can get by the afternoon. Clouds seem kind of stuck. Upper 70s / low 80s with more sun. Similar Sun with chance of showers and storms - warmer but clouds should keep it in the low 80s, more sun would push mid 80s. Clears by Labor Day and looks very nice sunny near 80. Cooler Sep 2 - Sep 8 but very nice / dry stretch and seemingly sunny each day. Watch the tropics in the GOM/FL next week and perhaps a threat up the coast later next weekend in the 9/11 - 9/13 period. Ridge west and trough eat overall with onshore or cut off as the rduge comes east. Heat stays west. Warmer by the middle of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 @winterwarlock what’s with these clouds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 14 hours ago, USCG RS said: Side note - Always love your Write Ups. You and @bluewave I will second this. Don, Bluewave and Sacrus as well. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 Is it me, or are the forecasts changing every 12 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 6 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Is it me, or are the forecasts changing every 12 hours? These maps are always changing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 25 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Is it me, or are the forecasts changing every 12 hours? My forecast went from a mostly cloudy day to a mostly sunny day. At this point whatever happens is a surprise 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 19 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: My forecast went from a mostly cloudy day to a mostly sunny day. At this point whatever happens is a surprise Honestly it seems as if the forecasts are never nailed down more than a few days out anymore. I've gotten screwed several times this year where things looked decent and I had planned something. I know convection is harder to pinpoint but we had a fair share of busts there as well earlier in the summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: @winterwarlock what’s with these clouds? I thought they said partly sunny today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 59 minutes ago, Dark Star said: Is it me, or are the forecasts changing every 12 hours? Exactly...seems like forecasters are become sloppier with less standards 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: These maps are always changing And I got weenied for saying it wasn't going to rain much 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 Went from rain to cloudy to most sunny forecast yet it’s mostly cloudy with no break in the overcast visible 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted August 31, 2024 Share Posted August 31, 2024 Raining here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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