Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 24 minutes ago, kdxken said: Yeah a couple days in the '60s is not what I would describe as a torch. Sure, it's good bit above climate norms but it's not like anyone's going to be hitting the beach. March 2012 ain't walking in anyone's door. Typical March with steep variations day to day. I stand by my call Mid March to Mid April BN by a few. Brownies and all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who’s ready for another 2-4” of rain ?! The amount of water pouring and flowing out of hillsides around here is amazing Still flowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 28 minutes ago, kdxken said: Yeah a couple days in the '60s is not what I would describe as a torch. Sure, it's good bit above climate norms but it's not like anyone's going to be hitting the beach. 60s are a torch. Hopefully sunny by then. I am all in for the heat but alas it's New England and it's spring have to keep reality in check. The pattern change to cooler weather is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s what has happened all winter. It happened with the Dec cold shot which vanished.. Jan cold shot ended up normal and the vaunted epic Feb ended up one week and really was normal averaged out . Same thing in Morch coming except higher sun angle and a torched , snowless Canada, ice free Great Lakes. Do the math …. Whale em up Persistence forecasting is great until it isnt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: March 2012 ain't walking in anyone's door. Typical March with steep variations day to day. I stand by my call Mid March to Mid April BN by a few. Brownies and all Typical +11.3 here so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Typical +11.3 here so far Torched for sure. Too bad we had so many cloudy windy days. Yesterday felt amazing with the sun. 6/8 days here with some sort of precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 32.0F Light to almost moderate snow. Where did this come from? It started an hour ago with snow grains which I assumed was from the moist low level flow. Over the past 15 minutes it's legit snow with goof flakage. Ground is dusting white. Edit: Snow back to very light Could this be a real birch bender/blue bomb up here tonight? If so we are redy. Recently bought a Jackery solar generator. 1000plus. No more starting the genny outside and dealing with all that at 1 in the morning. This is quiet power, no cords running outside anymore. I charged it yesterday via the sun and it should run refrig, lights etc. for 24 hours if need be. Honda genny is still here for backup. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Euro is out on its own right now. Tossing >4” here far and wide until I’m wiping it off my car. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 6 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: 32.0F Light to almost moderate snow. Where did this come from? It started an hour ago with snow grains which I assumed was from the moist low level flow. Over the past 15 minutes it's legit snow with goof flakage. Ground is dusting white. Edit: Snow back to very light Could this be a real birch bender/blue bomb up here tonight? If so we are redy. Recently bought a Jackery solar generator. 1000plus. No more starting the genny outside and dealing with all that at 1 in the morning. This is quiet power, no cords running outside anymore. I charged it yesterday via the sun and it should run refrig, lights etc. for 24 hours if need be. Honda genny is still here for backup. Nice, 2k watts is not bad at all for the money. These things are way more viable than they were not long ago. Was just outside and it feels like snow despite my expectations for almost none from this. Makes me feel better to know that it's not that far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 GFS still printing 2.5”+ qpf for NVT spine. I think I recall a poster mentioning that model handles upslope events really well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 minute ago, bobbutts said: Nice, 2k watts is not bad at all for the money. These things are way more viable than they were not long ago. 32F snow has stopped Bobutts, for me it's not about the money anyway but the convience of not dealing with gas,oil, fumes and setup outside. Keep it in the closet, pull it in and plug stuff in. Go back to bed. Woodstove provides heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 minute ago, wxeyeNH said: 32F snow has stopped Bobutts, for me it's not about the money anyway but the convience of not dealing with gas,oil, fumes and setup outside. Keep it in the closet, pull it in and plug stuff in. Go back to bed. Woodstove provides heat. Yeah, I just mean you would have had to pay a ton for something that didn't work well 10 years ago and now that's not the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: +25 but not a torch, just delusional Glad we don't live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 43 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: 60s are a torch. Hopefully sunny by then. I am all in for the heat but alas it's New England and it's spring have to keep reality in check. The pattern change to cooler weather is coming. Could care less about heat, give me 50-60 and sunny and I will take that for a 3-4 weeks stretch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Yeah. ORH area around +10 for the month so far. But I do feel that will come back down a bit by the end of Morch. Still an AN month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: It's fine to show LR anomalies, but I'd rather the overall trends as we move forward. I'd wager the "cold" shot(s) will tend moderate a bit as we get closer. My "theory" on why that may be favored is two-fold. One ... simply put, the models bias amplitude wrt just about any/all facets out in time. Doesn't matter whether it's temp extremes (either direction), or the specter/size and amplitude of some cyclone, ...or just the governing synoptics that tote along these potentials itself, whatever you see on a D8 chart, it'll be some 5 ... 40% less than it's original specter when it's inside of 3 days. I don't know why that is so... It may just be an unavoidable artifact/emergent property of the technology. Two ... in mid March, seasonal forcing adds to that. The sun pulverizing air masses now on either side of the boundaries, and then mixing that ...changes the thermodynamic state of the hemisphere. Not sure why this is, but the models also for some reason can't handle this, either. They seem to take whatever thermal state of the hemisphere is in place per a particular initialization, and then as they process out in time ... what we are observing is their 'cleansing' the warmth out of the run - it's like they don't have physics in them for seasonal forcing ( a little tongue in cheek here). Whatever the cause... These two aspects make the amplitude and those ECM AI type solutions kind of in a boxing match with wisdom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Who’s ready for another 2-4” of rain ?! The amount of water pouring and flowing out of hillsides around here is amazing Lol, doesn’t matter if it’s rain or snow, Keene is such a precipitation screw zone. Shadowed in every direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 This looks more like 1-2” with some areas getting more than 2”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 New Moon goon. Extensive coastal flooding down the coaat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said: Euro is out on its own right now. Tossing >4” here far and wide until I’m wiping it off my car. LOL 06z GFS spitting out 19 inches for Rumford. 18 inches in 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 Getting some sun now. Up to 40°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 First season since 2015 that I did not use the snow boots once all winter. 3 1 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Getting some sun now. Up to 40°. Enjoy. 38 overcast with a stiff breeze here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 4 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Well, this has been pretty consistent on the models over the last several days for the 20th time frame. Will see what happens then. There was a storm we had in the March 21st to 23rd time frame in 2018 that dropped it decent among the snow in the tri-state area, especially New York City South. There is also a couple of others years ago that dropped a good amount in the Northeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 8 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Well, this has been pretty consistent on the models over the last several days for the 20th time frame. Will see what happens then. There was a storm we had in the March 21st to 23rd time frame in 2018 that dropped it decent among the snow in the tri-state area, especially New York City South. There is also a couple of others years ago that dropped a good amount in the Northeast. That storm dumped 20” in a narrow area over LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: You’re like the terminator of clown maps. Can’t be stopped. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 55 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: LOL 06z GFS spitting out 19 inches for Rumford. 18 inches in 12 hours. Very much sell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 9 Share Posted March 9 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Typical +11.3 here so far Scariest part of climate change is how quickly things get normalized. This winter and this month is far from normal. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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