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2024 Severe Weather General Discussion

Kmlwx

By Kmlwx,
in Mid Atlantic

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dailylurker

dailylurker

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Completely unscientific reasoning - but if that line can deliver some good storms/gusts (even if sub-severe) to the area...this has the feeling of a mini-heater combining today and tomorrow. We are due...that's my only reasoning really. :lol: 

Works for me lol. Do you think this line out west will make it through tonight with some action? It feels like there's plenty enough moisture in the air to fuel it. Hopefully it gets out of here and we wake up to clear sky and we bake. 

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freestater
freestater

https://x.com/Gio_wx/status/1795246368715596105/photo/1

vastateofmind
vastateofmind

This is what it looked like about 5 minutes after the latest STW was issued, and about 2 minutes before the "really good" rain hit...   

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Kmlwx

Kmlwx

Posted
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Posted
7 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Works for me lol. Do you think this line out west will make it through tonight with some action? It feels like there's plenty enough moisture in the air to fuel it. Hopefully it gets out of here and we wake up to clear sky and we bake. 

Well it has poor timing working against it (not during peak heating). But we've seen many times when lines that are supposed to fizzle completely do make it across the higher terrain. I don't think it'll be an area-wide line though. If it gets to "us" it'll probably fizzle somewhere between the Blue Ridge and the beltway. Game of miles as weather always is!

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nj2va

nj2va

Posted
Posted 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
731 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Garrett County in western Maryland...
  Northern Augusta County in western Virginia...
  Eastern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia...
  Grant County in eastern West Virginia...
  Southwestern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia...

* Until 830 PM EDT.

* At 730 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near Fairmont to 6 miles northwest of Parsons to 13
  miles northeast of Greenbank, moving northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.
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Kmlwx

Kmlwx

Posted
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Posted
24 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Somewhat interested in tomorrow. The system coming across Missouri, Illinois, and Missouri seems energetic and is producing a decent number of tornadoes. We'll see what the visible satellite imagery tomorrow looks like.

Spoiler: Early showers/storms that keep popping like popcorn to keep us stable. That, or just socked in overcast until a brief clearing that happens too late. 

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RIC_WX

RIC_WX

Posted
Posted
13 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Gusted into the 50s, lots of T&L, and heavy wind swept rain during the height. A fun summer thunderstorm! 

A quick.35”, a little more than last night and not at grilling time today.  We’ll take it.

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midatlanticweather

midatlanticweather

Posted
Posted

A huge polygon for the entire line is now issued. 

 

image.png.75e582a0538712e0ff9041718a8e50df.png

  

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
905 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland...
  Northeastern Allegany County in western Maryland...
  Southwestern Stafford County in northern Virginia...
  Southwestern Loudoun County in northern Virginia...
  Northeastern Shenandoah County in northwestern Virginia...
  Frederick County in northwestern Virginia...
  Orange County in central Virginia...
  The City of Fredericksburg in central Virginia...
  Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
  Central Fauquier County in northern Virginia...
  Culpeper County in northern Virginia...
  Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia...
  Warren County in northwestern Virginia...
  Western Clarke County in northwestern Virginia...
  Northeastern Page County in northwestern Virginia...
  The City of Winchester in northwestern Virginia...
  Spotsylvania County in central Virginia...
  West central Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia...
  Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia...
  Northeastern Mineral County in eastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Hardy County in eastern West Virginia...
  Western Berkeley County in the Panhandle of West Virginia...
  Hampshire County in eastern West Virginia...

* Until 1000 PM EDT.

* At 905 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from near La Vale to 6 miles south of Romney to 6 miles
  north of Basye-Bryce Mountain to near Mount Jackson to 6 miles
  north of Boswells Tavern, moving east at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Winchester, Fredericksburg, Cumberland, Culpeper, Front Royal,
  Warrenton, Strasburg, Woodstock, Orange, Hancock, Paw Paw, Madison,
  Millwood Pike, Luray, Bealeton, Inwood, Stephens City, Fort Ashby,
  Berkeley Springs, and Sperryville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
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high risk

high risk

Posted
Posted

The HRRR keeps wanting to kill it just before it reaches the Potomac.    That said, while I think that there is a limited life for this thing, the HRRR is slow with the movement, so I could see it making it a bit further east.

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Eskimo Joe

Eskimo Joe

Posted
Posted

Culpepper storm getting a TOR.

Quote

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
914 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024


The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...


Central Madison County in northwestern Virginia...
Southeastern Rappahannock County in northwestern Virginia...
Northwestern Culpeper County in northern Virginia...


* Until 945 PM EDT.


* At 913 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles northeast of Madison, moving east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Tornado.
SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

 

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