Potential extensive winter event, I-95 west and with again a chance for NYC first inch(es) of snow Mon or more likely Tue Jan 16, 2024 (serves as OBS thread as well)

[allgame830]

Flurries in Thornwood NY… 26/9

[TJW014]

A hair over an inch here on the grass and car tops. Starting to stick to untreated roads.

[RU848789]

As of 9 pm, we have a heavy dusting, i.e., about 1/8" of absolute pixie dust, fine grained snow, on all surfaces at 26F.

[Rjay]

8 minutes ago, Picard said:

Extremely fine flakes falling now.  You can't see them in the light, but I can feel them on my face.  Dewpoint up to 13 from about 3 earlier.

See. It happens fast!

[WestBabylonWeather]

I was staring at my weather station screen. The dewpoint when from 10 to 20 in minutes lol 

[Yanksfan]

Nam thumps parts of the area with 6”+.

 

 

 

 

 

[Sampson]

Streets are white with a fine, steady light snow falling. 

[psv88]

1 minute ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

Nam thumps parts of the area with 6”+.

 

 

 

 

 

Pretty rainy for LI. I’m ok with it, have dinner plans 

[SBUWX23]

I think the 00z nam has some feedback with convection with the low that is resulting in higher qpf out east. Not sure if I buy that 

[MJO812]

[Rjay]

I hate snowmaps but this made me chuckle.  One of these maps is weenier than the other.

 

[Rjay]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Of course you found the weenie one 

[Rjay]

To be fair to the weenie map....weird

 

 

 

[lee59]

Looks like the D.C. area already around 3 inches for many and still snowing.

[WestBabylonWeather]

This may be the weenie inside me talking

 

But I don’t care, it’s been awhile

 

we may just over perform 

[Brasiluvsnow]

15 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

Nam thumps parts of the area with 6”+.

 

 

 

 

 

where ?

[Tatamy]

Steady light snow.  Visibility 2 miles.  23/20

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Rjay said:

To be fair to the weenie map....weird

 

 

 

This storm will overperform for us .

[RU848789]

The ZR scares me if that verifies, even if a fair amount of the ZR doesn't accrete, plus much of us along 95 would be losing 3" or more of snow to ZR - I want it all as snow, at 15:!, lol.  

 

[MANDA]

Steady light snow.  Light coating on everything.  Temperature currently 18 degrees.  Going with 3-5” my area.

[terrapin8100]

Flurries here in Ossining... 26.4°

[NorthShoreWx]

22 minutes ago, SBUWX23 said:

I think the 00z nam has some feedback with convection with the low that is resulting in higher qpf out east. Not sure if I buy that 

Suddenly it's showing 1"+ qpf for the twin forks.  Not inspiring to see that doubled at the last minute.  

[dseagull]

Intensity just increased drastically on barnegat bay.   Unfortunately,  wind is beginning to really pick up.  Temps have actually dropped back to 28.2 from 30.4 an hour ago.   If these rates continue, we will have 4 inches before the changeover early morning.  

 

I'm impressed and content.  Thank God the drought is over. 

 

(My German shorthair is having a blast... even after hunting birds for 2 hours this afternoon.  Makes me smile.)

[Will - Rutgers]

i guess mount holly isn’t worried about that much FZR

[cleetussnow]

16 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

This may be the weenie inside me talking

 

But I don’t care, it’s been awhile

 

we may just over perform 

Better get that checked.  Esp. If its talking.  
snowing here lightly.  

[JERSEYSNOWROB]

[jetrz]

Light snow in the Bronx. Beginning to dust surfaces.

[SBUWX23]

It would be nice if we can just enjoy the snow and not worry about freezing rain right now  

[RU848789]

3 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

i guess mount holly isn’t worried about that much FZR

Clearly, they only see a bit of ZR occurring...

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
933 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
930 PM update....
No significant changes to the forecast as of 930PM. Snow
overspreading the region as expected with transition to ice
happening in southernmost zones presently. Tweaked the wording
for the WSW to give a bit more range in better agreement with
our existing forecast, and spread a bit more ice further north
and west into PA and central/northern NJ, but these are minor
adjustments since a light icing on top of plowed, treated roads
should cause little additional issue... a crust on top of the
snow otherwise.

[donsutherland1]

Dusting in Larchmont.