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Monitoring first regional significant winter impact event. Magnitude likely tempered. At this time NE PA/SE NY and SNE primarily. Jan 7/8.


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I think the early part of the storm could be pretty pasty in a lot of areas. Maybe interior high terrain it starts drying out fairly quick but lower elevations might take a while until the CCB gets cranking. 

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There are two things I am really curious about:

1) How cold temperatures can get tomorrow night

2) How much temperatures climb Saturday 

Should probably do an airmass trajectory on this, but looks like the airmass is advecting in from the central states. Guidance for last night within the mid-west was wayyy colder than what verified. Not sure this means anything but just a thought in my mind. 

It clouds very quickly and with not much mixing, temperatures may not rise all that much from whatever they fall to Friday night. Obviously along the immediate coast temps probably get well into the 30's but that should be a pretty shallow layer. Ultimately, I don't see a track north enough to warrant concerns for mixing or wet snow except for immediate shorelines

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