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Stormlover74
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26 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam trend

trend-nam-2023071312-f057.qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.gif

And HRRR has very little activity for tomorrow. I hope we see something, but I'm not very optimistic. Sunday might be our best chance if last night's Euro is correct. I see RGEM does give us some rain during the morning tomorrow. Who knows. 

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Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting.

88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk.

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19 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting.

88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk.

I always said it should be 3 days of 95. 

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16 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Is the heat wave criteria of three consecutive days of 90 local to our region? Or is it a general rule? I’m on my second heat wave in a week (and this year), 90’s barely even stand out anymore they almost feel average. Maybe 4 or 5 consecutive days or a threshold higher than 90 would be more fitting.

88 now, down from 90. Clouding up in Garden City, PWS still showing full sun in Suffolk.

That's the most common definition I've seen but it does vary by region. I don't think there is a set offical scientific number across the board. Whatever a region considers "abnormally hot"

According to the NWS..

"What is a heat wave? A heat wave is a period of abnormally hot weather generally lasting more than two days. Heat waves can occur with or without high humidity..."

I'd agree 3 days isn't that remarkable now. For the Park maybe a little bit. But EWR, LGA  and other mid atlantic cities it's not a huge deal.

 

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3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

3K NAM gets many tonight.  However the 12K NAM is north of I84

nam3km_apcpn_neus_5.png

Definitely not going to rain on the island tonight unfortunately. Current radar supports 12k, but well north of I84. POPs drop with each update for the next few days. We’re desperate out here 

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