forkyfork Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 36 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 8 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: when are we going to get a top ten cold month? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 Im just looking forward to Sunday. Lows could actually dip into the 50s here. Saturday could be a sneaky severe day too so that's something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 a nice stretch of beautiful weather is coming up starting sunday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 36 minutes ago, forkyfork said: when are we going to get a top ten cold month? we had one of those months in feb 2014 or 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 what happened to the mid to upper 90's for yesterday and today for nyc was not even close.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 These underperforming SE Ridge/ WAR amplifications have become few and far between. The common denominator seems to be when we have near record rainfall in area. My guess is that the ridge usually verifies stronger around 75% or more of the time from 6-10 days out. So this is one of the few times that the models were too warm. Could also be related to the near record blocking this month. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 High of 95, low of 72, currently 88. Humidity much more tolerable today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 Beautiful evening coming…might be the best of the month 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 High temp of 93 here today. The dewpoint dropped to 67. Pretty comfortable out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 Down in Wildwood currently, a little inland the dewpoints are 80 lol. Pretty oppressive to say the least. The seabreeze helps closer to the shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 48 minutes ago, nycwinter said: we had one of those months in feb 2014 or 2015 February 2015 was 3rd coldest at Central Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, lee59 said: February 2015 was 3rd coldest at Central Park 8 years ago. how many top ten warm months have we had in the same time period? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 Made it to 94° today...94° is station max for month so far, reached three times... Also 0.19" of rain just after midnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: 8 years ago. how many top ten warm months have we had in the same time period? That same year December had the record for warmth, an incredible 50.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: 8 years ago. how many top ten warm months have we had in the same time period? We haven’t, but places in the western US certainly have. Our time will come 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 4 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: We haven’t, but places in the western US certainly have. Our time will come See Montana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 Tomorrow will be another very warm and humid day. However, strong thunderstorms could cross the region during the afternoon or evening as a cold front moves through. In the wake of the frontal passage, Sunday will turn noticeably cooler and less humid. The extreme heat event that has gripped the Southwest for four weeks is beginning to fade. The intense heat will continue to slowly fade over the coming days with the extreme heat ending on Sunday or Monday. As has often occurred in areas witnessing prolonged sieges of heat in recent years, there are some hints that the heat could rebuild next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around July 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased. The SOI was -14.96 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.023 today. On July 26 the MJO was in Phase 8 at an amplitude of 0.275 (RMM). The July 25-adjusted amplitude was 0.219 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.3° (1.8° above normal). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: 8 years ago. how many top ten warm months have we had in the same time period? 317 or so it seems. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 28, 2023 Share Posted July 28, 2023 14 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 317 or so it seems. Yeah, you can go into XMACIS2 and run all the top 10 warmest and coldest months at stations around the area. It comes out to something like 1 top 10 coldest temperature month since January 2015 to around 30 top 10 warmest months. Different stations are a little over or under. Each month of the year has had 2-3 top 10 warmest months. This gets multiplied by 12. http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 52 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: We haven’t, but places in the western US certainly have. Our time will come 47 minutes ago, Allsnow said: See Montana that's from blocking patterns funnelling all the cold there while everywhere else is warm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 7 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that's from blocking patterns funnelling all the cold there while everywhere else is warm And that is how you spell an anomaly, which a top ten cold month is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 7/28 BLM: 96 EWR: 95 ACY: 95 LGA: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 94 New Brnswck: 93 TTN: 92 NYC: 92 JFK: 91 ISP: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 http://www.swellmatrix.com/sst/sst-northeast8day.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 56 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: And that is how you spell an anomaly, which a top ten cold month is. what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 92 at both my stations for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 28 minutes ago, forkyfork said: what? 28 minutes ago, forkyfork said: what? Which means doesn't happen often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 storms moving into C/S - NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 12 minutes ago, Dan76 said: Which means doesn't happen often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jacob brooklyn Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 45 minutes ago, forkyfork said: what? The acorns are dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 29, 2023 Share Posted July 29, 2023 wot wot, why am i hearing thunder 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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