SnoSki14 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 6 hours ago, SRRTA22 said: Agreed this summer hasn't been bad at all...minus the obvious dew increase , it's just a typical summer 3 day heat wave then boomers... rinse repeat A +2 July against the warmest norms is pretty warm. And the jury is still out on August. Has it been as bad as the ridiculously hot summer of last year, no, but it's still been pretty warm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 8 hours ago, Rmine1 said: Perfect night at Central Mall, Jones Beach watching the inter-beach lifeguard tournament. Moses kicked butt, especially in beach flags going one, two. Were you there @LongBeachSurfFreak? Unfortunately I was at my regular gig in the city. I’m just a weekend warrior life guard at this point in life. Glad you enjoyed it, when I was younger I used to love competing. It’s going to be an exciting week at the beach, with a strong SW flow and some big surf as a result. Throw in heat wave crowds and there will be tons of rescues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: A +2 July against the warmest norms is pretty warm. And the jury is still out on August. Has it been as bad as the ridiculously hot summer of last year, no, but it's still been pretty warm. Its on overnight lows though. And the OP is talking highs. These conversations involve nuance. But yes, of course we are warm. I dont think its possible to be BN with the dews and overnight low situation anymore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 The last 7 days of July are averaging 84degs.(74/94) or +6. Month to date is 79.2[+1.7]. July should end at 80.3[+2.7]. Reached 85 here yesterday at 6pm. Today: 83-87, wind s., clouding up by Noon, Rain by 5pm, 72 tomorrow AM. 73*(87%RH) here at 7am. 78* at Noon. 82* at 2pm. T.S./Rain on going. 68* !!!! at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 4 hours ago, Rtd208 said: LOL..Mt. Holly has no thunderstorms in the zone forecast here on Thursday meanwhile the SPC has us in a Slight Risk. Day 3 slight risk is surprising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 that mcs in pa is already pretty organized 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, forkyfork said: that mcs in pa is already pretty organized Not saying it is, but it almost looks like a derecho. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 80/ 71 humid transition and warmth following behind. Partly sunny but clouds into PA and storms later into the area. Otherwise warm mid upper 80s stray 90 where and when mostly sunny. Some storms later this PM/evening as trough lifts and splits and piece o energy moves through. Wed (7/26) - Sat (7/29) hot and humid as the W. Atl Ridge retros back and links with the Western ridge and the sw flow directs strong heat into the area. Low to mid 90s Wed and Thu (7/27) with strong heat 850 mb >18c . Heat peaks Fri (7/28) and Sat (7/29) with 850MB near or >20c, upper 90s and only clouds and storms the caveat for the hot spot getting above that. By Sun (7/31) the W. A. R. is contracting and allowing trough to move into the region. Cool back near normal through the opening day or 2 of Aug before turning more humid and warm with strong heat passing near by the region by 8/3. Beyond that the Western Atlantic Ridge is pushing west with trough into the NE pushing back to the GL and Western ridge ejecting continuous spurts of heat. Overall warm, humid and storms chances into the second week with heat at times and strong heat nearby, taking a stronger W.AR to force heights to direct it into the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (2016) one of only 3 july days with record high below 100 NYC: 97 (1999) LGA: 97 (1999) Lows: EWR: 57 (1932) NYC: 57 (1953) LGA: 59 (1997) Historical: 1891 - The mercury hit 109 degrees at Los Angeles, CA, marking the peak of a torrid heat wave. (David Ludlum) 1936: Lincoln, Nebraska saw an all-time high temperature of 115 degrees. The low only dropped to 91 degrees and the average temperature was 103. Many people spent the night sleeping outside to escape the heat. 1956 - The Andrea Doria sank in dense fog near Nantucket Lightship, MA. The ship was rammed by the Swedish-American liner, Stockholm, forty-five miles off the coast of Massachusetts. Fifty-two persons drowned, or were killed by the impact. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1986 - Tremendous hailstones pounded parts of South Dakota damaging crops, buildings and vehicles. Hail piled two feet deep at Black Hawk and northern Rapid City. Hail an inch and a quarter in diameter fell for 85 minutes near Miller and Huron, piling up to depths of two feet. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Sixteen cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Beckley, WV, equalled their all-time record high of 91 degrees, established just the previous day. It marked their fourth day in a row of 90 degree heat, after hitting 90 degrees just twice in the previous 25 years of records. The water temperature of Lake Erie at Buffalo, NY, reached 79 degrees, the warmest reading in 52 years of records. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from central Kansas to western Kentucky and southern Illinois during the day. Thunderstorms produced tennis ball size hail at Union, MO, and winds gusts to 65 mph at Sedalia, MO. Five cities in Washington and Oregon reported record high temperatures for the date. Medford, OR, hit 107 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Early afternoon thunderstorms over west central Missouri drenched the town of Ferguson with four inches of rain. Early evening thunderstorms in Pennsylvania produced more than two inches of rain north of Avella in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) 2005: The citizens of Sand Point, Alaska saw a rare tornado touchdown on two uninhabited islands. Sand Point is part of the Aleutian Chain and is located about 570 miles southwest of Anchorage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 89 already this morning. Crystal clear skies. AccuWeather talking severe weather and flash flood potential later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, steve392 said: 89 already this morning. Crystal clear skies. AccuWeather talking severe weather and flash flood potential later. Sounds a bit high. Most places are 81 to 84 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 3 hours ago, the_other_guy said: Its on overnight lows though. And the OP is talking highs. These conversations involve nuance. But yes, of course we are warm. I dont think its possible to be BN with the dews and overnight low situation anymore Yeah, it’s the 4th warmest July for average low temperatures in Westchester. But only the 13th warmest for high temperatures. The warm up later this week may push the highs closer to the top 10. Caribou Maine is the most extreme for warm minimums this month well ahead of any other July. Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2013 69.6 0 2 1999 69.3 1 3 2020 68.1 0 4 2023 68.0 7 5 1955 67.9 2 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Max Temperature Missing Count 1 1966 88.0 0 2 1999 87.8 0 3 2010 87.1 0 4 1952 86.9 0 5 1983 86.6 0 6 2022 86.4 0 7 2011 86.2 1 8 1955 85.9 0 - 1949 85.9 0 9 2019 85.8 0 10 2020 85.7 0 - 1993 85.7 0 11 2012 85.6 0 12 2016 85.5 0 13 2023 85.4 7 Time Series Summary for Caribou Area, ME (ThreadEx) - Month of JulClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Min Temperature Missing Count 1 2023 63.7 7 2 2020 59.9 0 3 1947 59.5 0 4 2018 59.4 0 5 2010 59.2 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1704.html 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Thinking we get crushed today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Just now, Allsnow said: Thinking we get crushed today shortwave moving through at the right time... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0546.html URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 546 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1210 PM EDT Tue Jul 25 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Connecticut District Of Columbia Delaware Eastern Maryland New Jersey Southeast New York Eastern Pennsylvania Northern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1210 PM until 800 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: shortwave moving through at the right time... Finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Thundering here. We're right on the south edge of a storm that popped up on the maritime boundary right ove Smithtown bay. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Tue Jul 25 2023 Valid 251630Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST STATES...AND OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS... ...Mid Atlantic into southern New England... A remnant MCV is currently over eastern PA. This feature is embedded within a larger-scale shortwave trough and associated 40 knot mid-level jet moving into the northeast states. Forcing ahead of these features is leading to scattered thunderstorm development. Strong heating across the region, coupled with dewpoints in the 70s will lead to moderate CAPE values over 2000 J/kg. Sufficient winds aloft and steep low-level lapse rates will promote locally damaging wind gusts in the stronger cells through early evening. Storms will eventually build southward into eastern VA/MD as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Gonna go boom 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Heard the thunder from the sea breeze storms. They’ve been popping a bit further north than usual this summer. We often get them mid island, but this year most have been on extreme north shore 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 86/73/94. Nasty outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Some real nasty lightning with these storms out here in the Lehigh Valley. Lots of CTC and CTG lightning with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 25, 2023 Author Share Posted July 25, 2023 Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later Radar looking nasty over NEPA and soon to be crossing the Delaware into NNJ. Going to rock and roll for some locations. You can tell the atmosphere is beyond ripe just by the way the radar as blossomed over last 60-90 min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Incoming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 High for the day so far is 90 here. Current temp 89/DP 73/RH 61% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: Incoming You always win Frank Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 25, 2023 Share Posted July 25, 2023 Taking the current radar as gospel the metro and LI could get squawked but chances are with the instability we have this will consolidate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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