Impressive signal is just beginning emerge in actual guidance, Mar 10 -15th...

[STILL N OF PIKE]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh, I thought the one you had above it in your first post was 0z. 
 

I still don’t think this is dead. And the Euro isn’t the dominating model anymore..

The euro is still a bit better than the gfs 

it’s not the “king “ but you aren’t going to find a model that is better 

in other words , you don’t toss the euro at day 4

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have zero interest in Saturday. Ita going to miss up here. 100% of my interest in next week.

Not that vested yet. That thing could miss or congrats Catskills.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh, I thought the one you had above it in your first post was 0z. 
 

I still don’t think this is dead. And the Euro isn’t the dominating model anymore..

No sorry that was the 50th percentile and the mean each for 12z. The 50th percentile at 12z is much less than the mean, meaning that there are some snowy outliers skewing the mean. 

[SouthCoastMA]

18z Euro head fake yesterday. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not that vested yet. That thing could miss or congrats Catskills.

It has more of a chance than Saturday, which has looked like shit around here for awhile. I guess I may feel differently near the south coast, but...

[Kitz Craver]

Not to be hammering negativity, but it’s looking shitty in general. So many posts wrt how perfect it is and it doesn’t get any better… 500 doesn’t equal ground verification this could end up be a master class in that realization. Clinging to a fading Saturday threat and I would argue not much to get excited about next week as it stands. Is what it is.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

13 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Yeah, that’s a drastic shave

Winter 2022-23.

 

thankfully, it’s going to be over one way or another soon. Already second week of March.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Not to be hammering negativity, but it’s looking shitty in general. So many posts wrt how perfect it is and it doesn’t get any better… 500 doesn’t equal ground verification this could end up be a master class in that realization. Clinging to a fading Saturday threat and I would argue not much to get excited about next week as it stands. Is what it is.

I wouldn't feel as good in general in southern CT/RI, but that is just my opinion. 

[weathafella]

Right about now we enter 6 weeks of suck. It might as well snow tbh.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Right about now we enter 6 weeks of suck. It might as well snow tbh.

The suck of eastern ma spring is generally overstated IMO. Unless you live within like 5 miles of the water, there are generally a lot of nice days sprinkled in.

[Kitz Craver]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Right about now we have endured 16 weeks of suck. It might as well snow tbh.

Fixed it 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The suck of eastern ma spring is generally overstated IMO. Unless you live within like 5 miles of the water, there are generally a lot of nice days sprinkled in.

It depends on what we accept as nice.  Highs in the 50s are too cold and we don’t reliably lose them before June everywhere.

[Spanks45]

20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Oh, I thought the one you had above it in your first post was 0z. 
 

I still don’t think this is dead. And the Euro isn’t the dominating model anymore..

This is about the time where everyone has checked out, assuming the Euro is going to put the nail in the coffin. Only it ends up dangling hope for a come back.....guess we shall see in about 5 minutes. The southern crew still has a chance for Saturday at least....

[subdude]

1 hour ago, ariof said:

GFS says congrats ACK.

Cape Scraper.

[SJonesWX]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

The suck of eastern ma spring is generally overstated IMO. Unless you live within like 5 miles of the water, there are generally a lot of nice days sprinkled in.

holy shit I actaully agree with you!! of course there are shit days, and I know some springs are better than others, but generally speaking, you are right.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wouldn't feel as good in general in southern CT/RI, but that is just my opinion. 

I wouldn’t feel good anywhere with zero model continuity. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I wouldn’t feel good anywhere with zero model continuity. 

Last couple of EURO suites have had good continuity with respect to the focus on next week. Doesn't mean its right... 

[CoastalWx]

Euro I think will be north.

[40/70 Benchmark]

UK I think would extrapolate out to a big hit next week.

[Damage In Tolland]

To me Saturday will be a light to moderate event at least to the Pike . Next week seems like a real stretch for anything 

[weathafella]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

UK I think would extrapolate out to a big hit next week.

I'll save you the aggravation....

 

 

 

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro I think will be north.

Don’t love the confluence. But the ULL is quite a bit more potent in the lakes 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Don’t love the confluence. But the ULL is quite a bit more potent in the lakes 

Much more potent, but fighting confluence. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

If only Scott wiped better 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I'll save you the aggravation....

 

 

 

Near Benchmark...good enough for me at day 7.

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Much more potent, but fighting confluence. 

Not sure it matters...

im ean it matters in general that's not what i mean, but in that scenario it looks like that may even get overwhelmed.  

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not sure it matters...

im ean it matters in general that's not what i mean, but in that scenario it looks like that may even get overwhelmed.  

That's why I said fighting confluence. That won.

[Typhoon Tip]

I also like that it's widening the gap between it, and the 'possibilities' next week by speeding things up a tad

[Cyclone-68]

If neither of these storms works out locally I’m ready for my low 50’s and dim sun till June 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not sure it matters...

im ean it matters in general that's not what i mean, but in that scenario it looks like that may even get overwhelmed.  

Yeah it does. Confluence just crushes it. There’s probably a non-linear response to this though if confluence comes in a little weaker on future runs.  You can see how close synoptically it is to a very good storm.