Heisy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Imo EURO H5 would argue for faster CCB development. You guys could be in a good spot for this if it happens, especially W Burbs which the ensembles favor. The secondary is looking like a real deal, figuring out where it forms going to take a while . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: How you get to that look is important too though. A NS wave diving in from the NW to that location is a LOT different than something coming at us from the TN valley. I would be a LOT more excited if I lived in Philly or NYC with this kind of setup. It's going to be really difficult for that kind of setup to come together in time to really significantly impact the DC area. It's possible...the CMC showed how, but history suggests this is way more likely to work out further NE of us. Just beware of objects that might start coming at your head in here if this does evolve into a canonical miller b NYC hit DC screwjob. I honestly think this is a bit more longitude dependent than latitude dependent. NE seems to get flooded with warmth in a lot of these solutions but yes, this is a weird setup, but I'm just happy that this seems to be trending towards something that has legit potential rather than a tepid piece of crap. I wonder if we'll continue to see the trailing wave dig with the first one just kind of shearing out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Another repeat would be so bitter up in northern maryland. I am shifting the blame here. Ever since you moved up to Monkton... the snow has left us :)... J/K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Well... EPS should be interesting lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard Hunter Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: I honestly think this is a bit more longitude dependent than latitude dependent. NE seems to get flooded with warmth in a lot of these solutions but yes, this is a weird setup, but I'm just happy that this seems to be trending towards something that has legit potential rather than a tepid piece of crap. I wonder if we'll continue to see the trailing wave dig with the first one just kind of shearing out I wonder this too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Oh man! We are in the classic one of the too far North, South, East, West setups - @Ji - This could be west! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ll jump off a bridge if that happens At least the water will be relatively warm. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 32 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @psuhoffman…12z GEFS says 3-4 days to flush PAC puke out of central Canada and replace it with BN temps after the PNA/EPO ridge pops. Patience....it's starting to happen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 32 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: nice shift on the ECMWF... weaker primary with a faster transfer this is a sick mid level look too. you can do muchhhhh worse Weenie handbook 2nd edition Chapter 5 section 3b....expect some big changes in the models next 36 hours as the energy out West is just starting to get better sampled. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Weenie handbook 2nd edition Chapter 5 section 3b....expect some big changes in the models next 36 hours as the energy out West is just starting to get better sampled. 36hrs? They will be different in 6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 EPS has a much stronger trailing vort. should be some nice indies here that develop sooner offshore 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 I need the eps or the control … whichever one show snow in Winchester. Y’all go round that up please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 While we wait for the EPS data… 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: EPS has a much stronger trailing vort. should be some nice indies here that develop sooner offshore Stronger compared to its prior run but what about compared to the op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 101 ensemble members guarantees that 1 will always show a HECS! 6 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: While we wait for the EPS data… Will is gonna love this. 101 snow maps to post 3 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 37 minutes ago, Interstate said: I am shifting the blame here. Ever since you moved up to Monkton... the snow has left us :)... J/K tough but fair. I have no defense to that, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 101 ensemble members guarantees that 1 will always show a HECS! 101!!!! Oh no…. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 12 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Will is gonna love this. 101 snow maps to post I will have to retire to keep up….:) 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 No snow maps worth posting from EPS or Control. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 I don't have paid maps but this is a free product on pivotal. EPS 00z: EPS 12z: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 FWIW this is the kind of thing, at this range, that if it’s real the op will pick up on it first. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 50 minutes ago, Paleocene said: I don't have paid maps but this is a free product on pivotal. EPS 00z: EPS 12z: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: FWIW this is the kind of thing, at this range, that if it’s real the op will pick up on it first. Weenie rule No. ? Why do you believe resolution is crucial here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 6 minutes ago, dallen7908 said: Weenie rule No. ? Why do you believe resolution is crucial here? This isn’t a simple synoptic setup. Placing the banding with a developing secondary dealing with multiple pieces of energy in close proximity is tricky. The kind of thing models would have missed completely 20 years ago. The highest resolution and best physics has the best chance to possible see it and that’s the opp. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 35 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: When did they add the little drum riff at the end? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Move that death band over Winchester and you problem are looking at the final solution Winchester to Union bridge death band babaaaay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Personally I don’t believe anything until the NAM shows itSadly we’re like 3 days from Nam range . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Well, this comes one day after I said I'll be content with 3" that covers the grass. But not like THIS! This is the most insane clown map I’ve ever seen lmao. Clearly a stalled CCB band . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 9, 2023 Share Posted January 9, 2023 Winchester to Union bridge death band babaaaay.Never fails ^ - except the times when it does. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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