STORMANLI Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 0.41" 1055am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 .44 not a bust here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 0.41" 1055amLong Island is about to get smoked. Good drought busting rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Alot of rain here this morning-yesterday's forecast is actually happening today instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: .44 not a bust here I hit .80" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Absolutely pouring in Brightwaters. I’m infamous for calling busts, and yet I never seem to learn! with the sun shining 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Heavy rain with the sun trying to come out. 63 degrees Out of our area, but it managed to reach 75 degrees today on Nantucket 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Alot of rain here this morning-yesterday's forecast is actually happening today instead. And I have less than .2 today. It has been misty and dreary and with the little bit from yesterday everything is soaked but it hasn't actually rained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 .10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Possible tropical depression coming close to the area. Looks like it may head to Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 As I look for legal alternate airports this evening I cant help but notice Buffalo is 73F Syracuse close to 70F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 4 hours ago, FPizz said: I hit .80" here .75. Models did well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 0.78" rain here as of 1PM and we've had some good downpours since. Total for October through 1PM 6.07". Had 4.36" in September, 2.89" in August, 2.53" in July and 3.44" in June. It was "dry-ish" over the summer, but really not very droughty IMBY. I know the south shore was a different story. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 11 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: 0.78" rain here as of 1PM and we've had some good downpours since. Total for October through 1PM 6.07". Had 4.36" in September, 2.89" in August, 2.53" in July and 3.44" in June. It was "dry-ish" over the summer, but really not very droughty IMBY. I know the south shore was a different story. Thankfully we’ve made a good comeback down south. Several downpours today. Guesstimate just under 1”. That’s what she said….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Although the ongoing system has generally produced less rainfall than modeled, a few locations saw more than 0.50" of rain. Through 5 pm, Philadelphia had picked up 0.72" today. Islip had received 1.16". Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warmer. Additional showers are possible. Wednesday will be another warm day. With the MJO having come out of Phase 6 at a high amplitude and the Arctic Oscillation forecast to be positive for the closing week of the month, the closing week of October could feature above to much above normal temperatures. November could begin with warmer than normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -2.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +22.75 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.664 today. On October 22 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.535 (RMM). The October 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.386 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 75% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.2° (0.7° below normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 CALDWELL, NJ 9pm 61 58 93 NE/3 30.14 2 RAIN NEWARK INTL , NJ 9pm 62 56 93 NNE/9 30.13 2 RAIN MORRISTOWN M, NJ 9pm 66 67 100 0 30.15 2 RAIN SOMERVILLE, NJ 9pm 61 61 96 0 30.12 5 RAIN Morristown has been running 3 to 5 degrees too warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Heavy rain here in Brooklyn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 17 hours ago, Dark Star said: What was the source? I saw we had only moderate air quality, which I thought was puzzling. There must be a fire burning somewhere and we got the smoke from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Although the ongoing system has generally produced less rainfall than modeled, a few locations saw more than 0.50" of rain. Through 5 pm, Philadelphia had picked up 0.72" today. Islip had received 1.16". Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and warmer. Additional showers are possible. Wednesday will be another warm day. With the MJO having come out of Phase 6 at a high amplitude and the Arctic Oscillation forecast to be positive for the closing week of the month, the closing week of October could feature above to much above normal temperatures. November could begin with warmer than normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -2.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +22.75 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.664 today. On October 22 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.535 (RMM). The October 21-adjusted amplitude was 1.386 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 75% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 57.2° (0.7° below normal). Looks like November will flip back to warmer than normal, Don? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 2 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Looks like November will flip back to warmer than normal, Don? That’s the way it currently looks. Whether it turns colder late in the month remains to be seen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be mostly cloudy with some showers and drizzle. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 68° Newark: 69° Philadelphia: 71° Cooler air could return late in the week. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 61.2°; 15-Year: 61.6° Newark: 30-Year: 62.7°; 15-Year: 63.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 63.8°; 15-Year: 64.0° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Fog…62F in Westchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: That’s the way it currently looks. Whether it turns colder late in the month remains to be seen. I'd rather that wait until December, a mild November followed by a cold December is a really good sign for winter isn't it? I wonder if October will finish right near normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Another .24" rainfall last 24 hours. Two day total = .45". Dense fog and drizzle currently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I'd rather that wait until December, a mild November followed by a cold December is a really good sign for winter isn't it? I wonder if October will finish right near normal? NOAA doesnt like this winter at all Not that that means much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 Up to .85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 More Rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 20 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: NOAA doesnt like this winter at all Not that that means much Our locals like Lee Goldberg explained that enso only has a 15-20 percent influence on our weather. He compared how different the 20-21 and 21-22 la ninas were from each other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: Our locals like Lee Goldberg explained that enso only has a 15-20 percent influence on our weather. He compared how different the 20-21 and 21-22 la ninas were from each other. Right. La Nina comes in different forms. In our area I’ll take it over an El Nino anyday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Right. La Nina comes in different forms. In our area I’ll take it over an El Nino anyday Yup, there's a list of el ninos that were among our worst snowfall winters of all time, 72-73 and 97-98 being among them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now