Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[Hoth]

6 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

Yes...Geoff Fox and Nancy Aborn were big rip and readers of it back in the dark ages

Lol, Nancy Aborn was my neighbor growing up. I still remember meeting Geoff Fox at her Christmas party ages ago.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

No way. But it’s prudent to not give up 3 days out because a few models are a miss. I know you know this. Just was surprised to see today. And sure.. those folks might be right 

Fair enough, you right. Jan15 haunts us out here so it’s been tough to avoid the similarities. 

[Zeus]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

This storm is not like Jan 16 but the divergence and spread amongst EPS members remind me of that time 24-36 hrs before the event.

And we have a lot longer to go than 24 hours.

Hey girl wassup wassup witchu girl

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Definitely. I had the deformation from you to ORH to KASH as it was...

Our only difference was I would have had 12-20” from I-91 all the way to the beaches 

[OrangeCTWX]

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

But aren’t 21z serfs run off of NAM 18z inits?

Not sure but it would explain why, in general, the SREFS are not a good tool for snowstorms lol

[Baroclinic Zone]

10 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Bob doesn't want to hear dissent this evening.  Just mowing down anyone who says otherwise.

I'm tired of the whining/bitching.  Act like an adult and you've seen snow or missed a snowstorm before.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Fair enough, you right. Jan15 haunts us out here so it’s been tough to avoid the similarities. 

No qualms there . I recall that sharp cutoff vividly . 6” west of HFD and sun by mid morning while you guys looked east and saw a wall of white. I recall talking to my pops in New Milford and he could not believe what I was reporting . I don’t think this will be like that at all 

[Connecticut Appleman]

The EPS is not quitting when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor

[Johnno]

10 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said:

Yes...Geoff Fox and Nancy Aborn were big rip and readers of it back in the dark ages

Ugh Geoff Fox, I don’t think any CT met ever hated winter as much 

[JC-CT]

If I'm tired of whining and bitching about other people whining and bitching, and I whine and bitch about it, does that mean we can all be friends again?

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, Johnno said:

Ugh Geoff Fox, I don’t think any CT met ever hated winter as much 

I don't really like Scott Haney, though he's not a real met.

 

[PhineasC]

8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

If we can make this an all out love, we pray. It’s more fun when all are involved. It’s hard witj our geography, but hopefully we all can get something. 

A Euro solution seems to do it. Some GGEM runs did too. This GFS crap of the last couple days has to be dumped at 00z.

[IowaStorm05]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I'm tired of the whining/bitching.  Act like and adult and you've seen snow or missed a snowstorm before.

 

2 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

The EPS is not quitting when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor

The who did what?

[Go Kart Mozart]

18 minutes ago, FXWX said:

And a very impressive cluster shifting west.  

That's the key...clusters.  The mean is meaningless, it doesn't mean shit...bad puns but you get the point.  If you don't believe me, Google the Golden Mean Fallacy.

For God's sake, the mean incorporates a member 25 miles south of Newfoundland!

[Baroclinic Zone]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

If I'm tired of whining and bitching about other people whining and bitching, and I whine and bitch about it, does that mean we can all be friends again?

[PhineasC]

Board is lagging already. 00z may crash it for a bit.

[Go Kart Mozart]

1 minute ago, IowaStorm05 said:

 

The who did what?

How young are you?

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Board is lagging already. 00z may crash it for a bit.

Most should be asleep . Go to bed feeling good about the huge EPS bump west 

[PhineasC]

Thousand of weenies refreshing every 2 seconds to hear Will say:

"GFS will be west. Way more amped already at 24"

or

"Gives the Cape a few inches at least" 

We will see.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Most should be asleep . Go to bed feeling good about the huge EPS bump west 

Nonsense. I wanna see 1000 people in this thread tonight.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Most should be asleep . Go to bed feeling good about the huge EPS bump west 

 

[tunafish]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Board is lagging already. 00z may crash it for a bit.

welcome to the north country internet service

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

No qualms there . I recall that sharp cutoff vividly . 6” west of HFD and sun by mid morning while you guys looked east and saw a wall of white. I recall talking to my pops in New Milford and he could not believe what I was reporting . I don’t think this will be like that at all 

I was in Shelton then and yup, woke up to sunny skies and birds chirping. So I took a drive up the merritt and as I got close to 91 you can see the wall of white like a thunderstorm in the summer. I Continued the drive to my job in Manchester and just stayed in the parking lot for a few hours, got stoned… walked around, etc. it was a cool experience but when you return home to a sandy 6” with the sun shining and the asphalt glistening, it was deflating.

[cut]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

The freakouts are getting a bit ridiculous. This is still really 2.5+ days away. I know it seems plausible to want to see such strong agreement and consistency but the truth of the matter is we're still within the time frame where subtle differences are going to occur. Forgetting about these east vs. west swings, at the end of the day, we're not asking for significant changes here. For things to come together and be a very high-impact event for most...it's not like a ton has to happen for that to happen. There is a difference in needing drastic or substantial changes and very subtle. 

Like 100 miles west and it’s a massive difference. I think I saw Tip say earlier that at this lead time the envelope is like 150 to 200 miles - granted that was after the 12z so let’s say 120 to 180 now.

[The 4 Seasons]

5 minutes ago, Johnno said:

Ugh Geoff Fox, I don’t think any CT met ever hated winter as much 

Fun fact, he rode the Navy model one time on air for Mar 4-6 2001 when it was the only model showing virtually no snow and was progressive. I remember verbatim he said "it just spins up a couple inches and scoots outta here fast"

[Spaizzo]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Thousand of weenies refreshing every 2 seconds to hear Will say:

"GFS will be west. Way more amped already at 24"

or

"Gives the Cape a few inches at least" 

We will see.

Went to the store and made dinner… I’m at a complete loss as to what happened after the gfs

[FXWX]

17 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This makes me feel better about my big hedge on first call map

Here is the 18z Saturday 700 mb fronto prediction from today's 18z euro run...  I think we can live with this???

[powderfreak]

11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I'm tired of the whining/bitching.  Act like an adult and you've seen snow or missed a snowstorm before.

 Not going to lie that’s what makes it even better coming from the TAN crowd.  We’d think you guys would be able to sympathize with many other posters.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

 Not going to lie that’s what makes it even better coming from the TAN crowd.

Lol

[Connecticut Appleman]

6 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

 

The who did what?

Never saw the movie Animal House?