Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian looks like it rides close to 70W.

on the ptype page...it's amazing

[HIPPYVALLEY]

GGEM is a big hit for the interior. 

[JC-CT]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

GGEM is a big hit for the interior. 

it is the elusive "big hit everywhere"

[BuildingScienceWx]

Just inside BM. Crawls over eastern tip of Cape at 961mb

 

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

GFS is less snow than I just received over the last 3 days of moose farts. Looks like shit. Next. 

100% agreed

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Interesting…

[40/70 Benchmark]

I wouldn't sweat GFS WOR.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

on the ptype page...it's amazing

Goes over CQX.

And the Goofus throws it out 150 miles east of that.

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

GFS has cut qpf in half since 12z.

It still dumps on us but it does this nonsense with all the biggies.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, BuildingScienceWx said:

Just inside BM. Crawls over eastern tip of Cape at 961mb

 

it gives great waa snow before this

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Uncle?

[George001]

somehow the gfs still gives my area a foot despite being so far east with the low.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

Uncle?

Not yet.

[dryslot]

I feel so much better now being close to canada to have the canadien on my side.

[PhineasC]

Just now, dryslot said:

I feel so much better now being close to canada to have the canadien on my side.

I was secretly hoping things would play out where you’d be forced to cling to the GGEM as your last hope.   

[ORH_wxman]

Wow just saw the GGEM. Nice solution for a huge chunk of the board. Would be fun to get one that doesn’t have too many screw zones. Feels like everyone could use that this winter. 

[CoastalWx]

Wow Canadian smokes all. 961 crawling near the outer cape and NE of PVC.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

GEFS is the same at 84.

[wxsniss]

GGEM may be the best and most widespread hit yet for this entire subforum

[MJO812]

Ukie

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

I was secretly hoping things would play out where you’d be forced to cling to the GGEM as your last hope.   

That's the track i'd be looking for but from the Euro, GFS and Nam.

[OceanStWx]

4 minutes ago, George001 said:

somehow the gfs still gives my area a foot despite being so far east with the low.

Don't worry so much about the low center as long as you have the upper levels in your favor. January 2018 didn't track inside the benchmark either, but that worked out just fine because of how intense the forcing was.

[JC-CT]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Ukie

im just gonna wait

[Typhoon Tip]

16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

It's better than 00z and 06z were, but my point is more that the changes were noise in the grand scheme of things at day 3.5-4. Nothing about that run confirms anything, but it also doesn't take anything off the table either.

Imho these GFS runs over the last two days through this one tonight at 0Z…are clearly inconsistently consuming the southern stream, and it’s bearing upon what happens downstream off the eastern seaboard

I don’t think I can look at this any other way from a meteorological perspective.
 

 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Ukie

Rotated. Looks way east??

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

im just gonna wait

I have this crick in my neck.

[RedSky]

3 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

im just gonna wait

Capital idea

 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Imho these GFS runs over the last two days through this one tonight at 0Z…are clearly inconsistently consuming the southern stream, and it’s bearing upon what happens downstream off the eastern seaboard

I don’t think I can look at this any other way from a meteorological perspective.
 

 

GFS/CMC both have a later occlusion, but the latter does not have CFI and doesn't try to collapse the ridge.

[OceanStWx]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Imho these GFS runs over the last two days through this one tonight at 0Z…are clearly inconsistently consuming the southern stream, and it’s bearing upon what happens downstream off the eastern seaboard

I don’t think I can look at this any other way from a meteorological perspective.

It's not unheard of for the GFS to be a little northern stream dominant.

[40/70 Benchmark]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Wow Canadian smokes all. 961 crawling near the outer cape and NE of PVC.

I am rooting for the GEM.