Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

what's the distance from Phoenix AZ to Roswell NM?

what's the distance from Tucson AZ to Abeline TX?

[dryslot]

That 18z Euro runs was not going to look like the 18z GFS run.

[ORH_wxman]

Yeah 18z euro looks like it would be a bit more amped than 12z. Def didn’t follow the 18z GFS

[Cary]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

what's the distance from Tucson AZ to Abeline TX?

652

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro and gfs are night and day at h5

Euro isn't holding back anything 

Are you holding back the one inmates hands?

[SouthCoastMA]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro looks better than 12z 

nothing can look better than 12z. so, it looks worse?

[CT Valley Dryslot]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

what's the distance from Tucson AZ to Abeline TX?

Trying to play Penn & Teller's Desert Bus?

[brooklynwx99]

ECMWF actually looks better in every way. more meridional NS energy and more progressive SS energy

would be a phased bomb

[PhineasC]

Good. If EPS is west we can toss the burp GFS run.

[JC-CT]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Good. If EPS is west we can toss the burp GFS run.

it will certainly be west of the GFS, I'd bet your life on it

[hooralph]

Toss it

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

it will certainly be west of the GFS, I'd bet your life on it

I mean we’re getting to the point where the EPS doesn’t normally stray much from the op anyway.

[PhineasC]

Just now, dendrite said:

I mean we’re getting to the point where the EPS doesn’t normally stray much from the op anyway.

Yeah but it goes out further than the op run at 18z.

[JC-CT]

Just now, dendrite said:

I mean we’re getting to the point where the EPS doesn’t normally stray much from the op anyway.

Right, which normally makes ensembles less useful but in this case helps us extrapolate the OP

[dendrite]

Just now, PhineasC said:

Yeah but it goes out further than the op run at 18z.

Of course

[dendrite]

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

Glad you said “we” . Meaning you 

[JC-CT]

Just now, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

When you're at the end of your rope, tie a knot and hold on

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

I think the important point you missed was we used the NAVGEM as the tiebreaker. 

[JC-CT]

The amount of disrespect for the JMA on this site is disgraceful.

[CT Valley Dryslot]

WPC forecast hot off the presses.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

At this point, which would you put more weight on?  I haven't really wavered from my 70/30 blend but I've been not so happy at some of the results of late

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

The amount of disrespect for the JMA on this site is disgraceful.

Seriously. We’ve been saying to ride King Jun-un to the promise land. 

[WxWatcher007]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It is kinda cute how the weenies have said all winter that the Euro is a trash model now and the GFS now leads the way. Yet here we are tossing the goofus and going down on one knee to the ec. lol

All aboard!

[78Blizzard]

5 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

WPC forecast hot off the presses.

Looks like close to a BM track, maybe just east of it.

[JC-CT]

Many people are asking

 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

If the 0z GFS is still way East I will certainly take it as a caution flag.

[kdxken]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

If the 0z GFS is still way East I will certainly take it as a caution flag.

Likely a whiff. We never get storms in La Niña years.

 

[CoastalWx]

Just toss whatever model gives least snow. Duh.