kdxken Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Where the heck is the promised torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: Where the heck is the promised torch? Euro still giveth, but it’s kinda on its own now…6z pending. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m nervous About? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gym not that aggressive with cold in the AFD and WPC is a little more aggressive but still not all in. Great 40 hour storm for Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: About? D.I.T. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: 6z gfs even colder. Hopefully euro comes around. Yea they totally flipped now compared to a few days ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Gfs looks like the kitchen sink here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Might have to watch for some light snow around tomorrow especially near coast and then into NH and Maine as return flow pulls it NW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 33 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: About? Total snowmelt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 0z euro is also alot weaker for friday 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6z GEFS snow probabilities. What a winter for synoptic snows in Buffalo area, they are pegged for like 10-18” again on some of these runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 57 minutes ago, kdxken said: Where the heck is the promised torch? Not with the mjo going to 3 Enjoy tons of snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 6z GFS for Will. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Holy weenie GFS run. So we have the models that blew day 3 on the coastal, cold and snowy, and the model that nailed the coastal north and toasty. Maybe we get a reverse because this is an overrunning situation. Weenie deep thoughts brought to you by Blizzard 13% IPA and the Epicosity bar where every order of Blizzard beer comes with a free foot long. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 It looked like 6z Euro was getting colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: It looked like 6z Euro was getting colder. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy weenie GFS run. So we have the models that blew day 3 on the coastal, cold and snowy, and the model that nailed the coastal north and toasty. Maybe we get a reverse because this is an overrunning situation. Weenie deep thoughts brought to you by Blizzard 13% IPA and the Epicosity bar where every order of Blizzard beer comes with a free foot long. 2 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 I’m sure there’s been times, but I cannot recall a storm like this that went from rain to heavy icing. We’ve seen rain to sleet obviously, but I just don’t remember any that stayed as zr after starting as rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It looked like 6z Euro was getting colder. Yes flatter but not there yet 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m sure there’s been times, but I cannot recall a storm like this that went from rain to heavy icing. We’ve seen rain to sleet obviously, but I just don’t remember any that stayed as zr after starting as rain Yea not a usual path. I remember one in 83 when I worked in SCT. Went from 40s rain to freezing rain to sleet to snow. Had a horrible ride home. My buddy hit a tree and broke his ankle. Only reason I remember it was he was our star point guard on our YMCA team lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yes flatter but not there yet Oh no Ant that's much better. Can see the press. Oh boy oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yea not a usual path. I remember one in 83 when I worked in SCT. Went from 40s rain to freezing rain to sleet to snow. Had a horrible ride home. My buddy hit a tree and broke his ankle. Only reason I remember it was he was our star point guard on our YMCA team lol. I think it would be difficult to hold onto long term icing except in a very narrow zone... the boundary needs to stall out and I'd think the depth of the cold would try to keep getting deeper north of the boundary pushing p-type to sleet. Rain, briefer ZR, then a bunch of sleet seems like it would be the path except for maybe a narrow battle ground? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh no Ant that's much better. Can see the press. Oh boy oh boy If I can't get snow then give me ice or sleet to help keep my snow pack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m sure there’s been times, but I cannot recall a storm like this that went from rain to heavy icing. We’ve seen rain to sleet obviously, but I just don’t remember any that stayed as zr after starting as rain 1998 did in VT, started above freezing but cold air drained in under the warmer air, exp in the Champlain Valley, flipping it to freezing rain for the heavier precip https://www.weather.gov/media/btv/events/IceStorm1998.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Holy weenie GFS run. So we have the models that blew day 3 on the coastal, cold and snowy, and the model that nailed the coastal north and toasty. Maybe we get a reverse because this is an overrunning situation. Weenie deep thoughts brought to you by Blizzard 13% IPA and the Epicosity bar where every order of Blizzard beer comes with a free foot long. I’ll always contend the euro sucked in that close range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 minute ago, dendrite said: I’ll always contend the euro sucked in that close range. Yeah I thought that was sort of a win for the GFS. The EURO was trying to bring a monster slug of 1" QPF (like the NAM) in 6 hours all the way into your area and central Mass on a couple of those runs. It even had a run with like 0.40" QPF back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 28 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: lol 2 week clown. Lock it in! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: I’ll always contend the euro sucked in that close range. It had the right idea in the 2-4 day time period, but it went from like 2.2" qpf here to 1" in 1 or 2 runs in the last 36hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31, 2022 Share Posted January 31, 2022 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yeah I thought that was sort of a win for the GFS. The EURO was trying to bring a monster slug of 1" QPF (like the NAM) in 6 hours all the way into your area and central Mass on a couple of those runs. It even had a run with like 0.40" QPF back here. 3 minutes ago, wx2fish said: It had the right idea in the 2-4 day time period, but it went from like 2.2" qpf here to 1" in 1 or 2 runs in the last 36hr. I just hated the 2 run flinch 00z and 06z Friday. It was trying to taint SE MA and deform WNE to my area. I mean SE SNE was modeled for a dumping either way whether it be coastal front, deform, etc, but the Euro made for a lot of bad forecasts west of DAW-ORH-IJD. But like I said to Will, they all struggled at times. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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