Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,108
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Elarey7
    Newest Member
    Elarey7
    Joined

OBS-NOWCAST for a multi impact main event 4PM today - 8A Monday Jan 16-17, 2022 with post storm minor snow accumulations possible Noon-Midnight Monday evening.


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

No one thought it was going to snow and accumulate but yes now it's raining.

To be fair, OKX had this thought process. Called for a coating, with up to an inch just NW of NYC, so they may have been a bit low, however, they called this pretty well. 

"The northern edge of the precip shield continues to advance northward towards the area with snow now being reported as far north as Somerset Airport in NJ. There is a sharp gradient in temperatures closer to the coast with rain along the NJ coastal plain. We are also seeing temperatures across eastern Long Island rise into the middle 30s this evening. Data coming in from the 00z OKX RAOB depicts the warming just at the surface right now, but the warm advection is increasing as indicated by strengthening low level E flow. Think some light snow should break out in the NYC metro between 00-01z and then quickly advance northward through 03-04z. Some snow may briefly mix in across Eastern Long Island, but should become plain rain as temperatures rise. Increasing S flow should overwhelm cooling from aloft and bring a change to all rain across Long Island, most of the NYC metro area by late evening and for coastal CT by midnight. Most of these places could see a coating of accumulation, and up to inch just N and W of NYC, and across S CT. Cold ground temps even as temps rise above freezing could lead to spotty light freezing rain, with SPS issued for those areas."

 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&issuedby=OKX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

On radar it looks like the snow/ sleet line runs roughly along 202 in NJ and PA and then east between 22 and 287

Thats literally where I live, the intersection of all those...add 78 in there too...

Still snow right now, but lightened up. 2" down

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Coming up the coasT

 

NM...    
  Coastal Waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out    
20 NM...    
* Until 1100 PM EST.    
* At 926 PM EST, showers and isolated thunderstorms capable of     
  producing strong wind gusts were located along a line extending     
  from The Cell to 7 nm north of Hot Dog Area Off Virginia Beach,     
  moving north at 45 knots.    
  HAZARD...Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.    
  SOURCE...Radar indicated.    

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Still snowing in the UWS. Surprised as would have expected a changeover sooner considering the rain reports from Brooklyn. Prob give it another 20 - 30 or so.

Im not sure how accurate it is but it seems based on reports and radars the rain/snow line is the east river. We all know that warm push is coming soon from Long Island.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Coming up the coasT

 

NM...    
  Coastal Waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out    
20 NM...    
* Until 1100 PM EST.    
* At 926 PM EST, showers and isolated thunderstorms capable of     
  producing strong wind gusts were located along a line extending     
  from The Cell to 7 nm north of Hot Dog Area Off Virginia Beach,     
  moving north at 45 knots.    
  HAZARD...Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.    
  SOURCE...Radar indicated.    

Virginia Beach wind gusting to 54mph

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...