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January Medium/Long Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr
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31 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:


CMC pulls off some snow but not in a way that usually works for us.

After the way models handled tomorrow's storm in the mid range, it's hard to care about much other than the existence of the shortwave itself. I'll say this, if Friday becomes a short range boom scenario, it could be a clue that the mid atl is on a longer duration heater. The switch does flip here and stay on for more than 10 minutes sometimes. From a macro perspective, the 2013-15 stretch should have sucked here. This winter "should" suck too but wx is fickle AF. It loves to keep you guessing 

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6z GEFS suggests a favorable track for frozen for much of the region, and would be a good outcome for eastern areas. EPS is a bit more of a coastal hugger that would be more rainy/mixy for the lowlands and favor the fall line and NW. CMC ens is somewhere in between.

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3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I ain't. Baltimore has gotten the butt of these sliders post 2016 and I'm kinda tired of it. But so it goes. Happy to have something measurable in a nina though.

at least you're seeing snow, friend. 

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