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15 minutes ago, turtlehurricane said:

Buoy just off SE Louisiana gusting to 105 mph. Possible temporal anomaly? Did Ida get so strong that it is shredding apart space-time?!?

Screen Shot 2021-08-28 at 10.39.37 PM.png

It is strange. Says "SE at 105 MPH", but the graph shows around 60-70.

I've looked all over SailFlow and don't see that buoy so can't look there.

image.thumb.png.6060eff56b6774c66c41e595d12ff6b8.png

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4 minutes ago, Prospero said:

Ida looks strong, but still not perfect. I'd be concerned being in its way, but relieved the hype so far is fading.

Good thing it hasn't reached where we were thinking it would be, at least so far. Dry air trying to come in.

It’s going to be a beautiful tornado.

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5 minutes ago, Prospero said:

Ida looks strong, but still not perfect. I'd be concerned being in its way, but relieved the hype so far is fading.

Good thing it hasn't reached where we were thinking it would be, at least so far. Dry air trying to come in.

Now hang on...if this still ends up reaching a Cat 4...what hype would be faded? Has that not been the forecast? As @40/70 Benchmark alluded to...even intensification at the rate of the last several hours would still put us there!

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So, going over Cuba may have caused it's weakened potential? All those strange little issues with the eye and the convection around it that never let a full-blown intensification happen. Sure, why not. Some kind of land-swirl from Cuba that followed Ida into the hot ass Gulf with very little shear. Seemed to be stacked and symmetric, but the lingering Cuba affect hung on.

I'm sure there is a better explanation, but I'm not a met, just an old watcher.

:)

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3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Now hang on...if this still ends up reaching a Cat 4...what hype would be faded? Has that not been the forecast? As @40/70 Benchmark alluded to...even intensification at the rate of the last several hours would still put us there!

Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong.

When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3.

I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat.

Does look good now though...

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4 minutes ago, Prospero said:

Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong.

When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3.

I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat.

Does look good now though...

We really won't know until we know. Everyone(media included)thought NO had escaped...and then the flooding started being known...not to mention that 300+people would have died in MS/etc even if nobody was killed in the NO metro area. Katrina did not look so good coming in. We all know what happened. This is still up in the air somewhat-looking closer and closer to NO proper also. 

 

We will just have to wait and see. Hopefully it somehow struggles.

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19 minutes ago, Prospero said:

Granted I accept it could even be a Cat 5 tomorrow morning. But I along with many expected 4 or 5 today. I did have my doubts being a "Gulf" storm, but probably deep down thought I was way wrong.

When I went to bed last night I thought I'd wake up to a solid 2 or 3.

I will be up early tomorrow and can't even take a wild guess right now. Might be the same as it is now, give or take a Cat.

Does look good now though...

Did you just say "give or take a Cat?" Hahaha 

I'm just picturing a met giving a forecast..."Yeah so we got a hurricane about to hit us--gonna be 3...give or take a Cat" Lol

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16 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

Is 'GPM' on the Tropical Tidbits recon page just a reference to meters.  Is this plane 3 km up?

 

Altitude: 2989 gpm

Google usually helps.  GPM sounds like a unit of speed or fluid flow, not altitude.  Oh, 954 mb, the ADT was w/i 1 mb of interpolated plane pressure.

 

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3 minutes ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

Google usually helps.  GPM sounds like a unit of speed or fluid flow, not altitude.  Oh, 954 mb, the ADT was w/i 1 mb of interpolated plane pressure.

 

Oh! I believe that GPM stands for geopotential meters, which is a measurement of altitude. 

"Geopotential height approximates the actual height of a pressure surface above mean sea-level. Therefore, a geopotential height observation represents the height of the pressure surface on which the observation was taken."

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interesting note: Hurricane Katrina made landfall on Aug 29, 2005 at 11:10z at the Mississippi River delta.(Monday morning). Hurricane Ida will be making landfall on Aug 29 2021, most likely a little west of the Mississippi River delta, on a Sunday.

Edit: Katrina also continued made a landfall near Gulfport, MS and Bay St. Louis MS a couple of hours later.

 

I saved this image on GRLevel3 (which was a relatively new program at the time) Time Zone is Eastern

RtibBZs.png

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I like to watch TWC during hurricanes for the trainwreck quality but they’ve just outdone themselves. They said goodnight, I figured it was a new rotation of staff coming in, local on the 8’s started... and local on the 8’s stayed. I think they all went to bed. :lol: There’s no coverage, just a loop of graphics and REALLY repetitive music. 10/10

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2 minutes ago, Chinook said:

interesting note: Hurricane Katrina made landfall on Aug 29, 2005 at 11:10z at the Mississippi River delta.(Monday morning). Hurricane Ida will be making landfall on Aug 29 2021, most likely a little west of the Mississippi River delta, on a Sunday.

That is an insane coincidence...wow!

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