July 2021

[CIK62]

At least 0.43" more rain for Central Park:

MOST RECENT DATA:  8pm edt   29-JUL-21
NEW YORK CENTRAL PARK, NY (   89')                   LAT=40.77N LON= 73.98W   
STA     TMP DP RH  WD WS  G PRS  ALT PCPN     CLOUD LEVELS HGT TYP   VIS  WX
NYC  3pm 74 68 81 170  7    125 2993        19 BKN  25 BKN  32 OVC     9
     4pm 75 69 81 000  3 17 112 2989                16 BKN  22 OVC     9
     5pm 75 69 81 000  4    104 2987 0.01           15 BKN  21 OVC     6 R-
    1720 73 70 90 000  4        2986                14 BKN  21 OVC     3 R-F
    1736 73 71 93 000  5        2985                        13 OVC     2 R-F
     6pm 73 71 93 000  0    095 2984                13 BKN  17 OVC     4 R-F
    1813 73 71 93 000  4        2983                11 BKN  15 OVC     2 R-F
    1824 73 71 93 000  5        2983                        10 OVC 1 1/2 RF
    1838 73 71 93 170  8 24     2977                 9 BKN  24 OVC   3/4 R+F
     7pm 73 71 93           082 2980                 9 BKN  28 OVC 1 3/4 RF
    1859 73 72 96               2980                 9 BKN  26 OVC 2 1/2 R-F
    1917 73 72 96 000  4        2979                         9 OVC 1 1/4 R-F
    1941 73 71 93 200  9 16     2980        12 BKN  33 BKN  70 OVC 1 1/4 R-F
     8pm 73 71 93 000  4    083 2980 0.43   14 BKN  29 BKN 110 OVC     3 R-F
NYC    6 temps: high=  75 at  4pm low=  73 at 1720 mean=  73.8   precip=  0.43

[doncat]

11.16" here for month...station record is 12.23" in 2004.

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.42" of rain so far today. 

[psv88]

What started as a decent thunderstorm season out here really went down the tubes. 

[JustinRP37]

This is the first summer of my life I can’t wait to end. This pattern has to break at some point. Dreary weather in the midst of summer is brutal. I really feel for seasonal businesses this year, especially after a tough 2020. 

[Brian5671]

6 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Tale of 2 months up this way-close to 10 inches of rain 7/1-7/8 less than half an inch since 7/8

scratch that.  Had close to 3 inches here today at least in my backyard.  Crazy flash flooding for about an hour at the height of it all.

[nycwinter]

looks like we won't break the all time record for rain in the month of july in central park a shame..

[nycwinter]

1 hour ago, JustinRP37 said:

This is the first summer of my life I can’t wait to end. This pattern has to break at some point. Dreary weather in the midst of summer is brutal. I really feel for seasonal businesses this year, especially after a tough 2020. 

it feels like this summer has been here for months due to the heat waves.. and it is still july..

[IrishRob17]

4 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

what an insane month for severe weather.

we kicked off with a decaying TC and some record-setting rains, we had weeks of SVR watch days, several huge rain and lightning events, and close with one of the most impactful tornado days in years.

what strikes me is how many of these events overperformed.  your mileage varied with your location of course but nothing really just busted.

Cue the “If it didn’t happen on top of my head it busted” crowd…. To add to the regions craziness, a low of 47 projected here from Upton for tonight. 

[tim]

17 hours ago, lee59 said:

Lots of clouds here and a decent SSE breeze, not exactly severe weather criteria.

yeah..there wasn't much rain out here..watched the radar fall apart as it moved east..as the norm with wind off the water..will be curious how low temps will get @ KFOK saturday morning..dare i say mid 40's??!!

[Rtd208]

Picked up 1.47" of rain for the day yesterday.

Current temp 69/DP 66/RH 92%

[CIK62]

The last 2 days of July are averaging 74degs.(66/82), or -3.   

Month to date is  76.3[-1.3].      July should end at  76.2[-1.3]

60 to 63 tomorrow AM.

No heat on the GFS till August 8.      EURO with 3" of rain before we get to the 8th.

71*(86%RH) here at 6am, hazy blue.       79* by Noon.       83* by 4pm.         Briefly 84* at 6pm.        73* at 10pm.

[LoboLeader1]

67 here, comfortable morning to be outdoors. Collected .30 in the rain bucket from last night.

[donsutherland1]

Morning thoughts…

It will be mostly sunny and pleasant. Temperatures will likely reach lower 80s across much of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 82°

Newark: 86°

Philadelphia: 85°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 84.9°; 15-Year: 85.8°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.5°; 15-Year: 87.8°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.4°; 15-Year: 88.3°

Cooler than normal conditions will likely prevail through the weekend.

Down south, many parts of the Gulf Coast, including New Orleans, Mobile, Greenville, and Pensacola, will likely see temperatures in the upper 90s and heat indices of 110° or above today and tomorrow.

[IrishRob17]

4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

 a low of 47 projected here from Upton for tonight. 

The last time I reached the 40s in July were on 7/1/10: 48 and 7/2/10: 47

[SACRUS]

0.89 in the bucket last night.  Now 74 / 66 and DT dropping.  Looks like a spectacular weekend shaping up.

 

On to August thread for longer range ideas cool  - humid/wed (8/5)- humid-heat-wet (8/7)

[bluewave]

Concord, New Hampshire and Tucson, Arizona are an unlikely pair to have the wettest July at the same time. Several stations in the Northeast had their wettest July on record.The Port Washington  Cocorahs station had nearly 15 inches.

Time Series Summary for Concord Area, NH (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	2021	13.04	2
2	1915	10.29	0
3	1897	8.56	0
4	1887	7.84	0
5	1872	7.72	0

 

Time Series Summary for Tucson Area, AZ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	2021	7.39	2
2	2017	6.80	0
3	1921	6.24	0
4	1981	6.17	0
5	1919	5.53	0

 

NY-NS-27  Port Washington 0.8 N  Lat: 40.839167  Lon: -73.68025

* indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report
Station	NY-NS-27
Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 1.04 07/02/2021 1.12 07/03/2021 2.26 07/04/2021 0.79 07/05/2021 0.00 07/06/2021 0.00 07/07/2021 0.43 07/08/2021 0.01 07/09/2021 3.07 07/10/2021 2.06 07/11/2021 0.02 07/12/2021 0.21 07/13/2021 0.04 07/14/2021 0.02 07/15/2021 T 07/16/2021 0.00 07/17/2021 0.00 07/18/2021 0.28 07/19/2021 0.05 07/20/2021 0.01 07/21/2021 T 07/22/2021 0.34 07/23/2021 0.01 07/24/2021 0.00 07/25/2021 0.22 07/26/2021 2.33 07/27/2021 0.01 07/28/2021 0.31 07/29/2021 0.01 07/30/2021 0.12 Totals :  14.76 in.

[LibertyBell]

43 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Concord, New Hampshire and Tucson, Arizona are an unlikely pair to have the wettest July at the same time. Several stations in the Northeast had their wettest July on record.The Port Washington  Cocorahs station had nearly 15 inches.

Time Series Summary for Concord Area, NH (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	2021	13.04	2
2	1915	10.29	0
3	1897	8.56	0
4	1887	7.84	0
5	1872	7.72	0

 

Time Series Summary for Tucson Area, AZ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	2021	7.39	2
2	2017	6.80	0
3	1921	6.24	0
4	1981	6.17	0
5	1919	5.53	0

 

NY-NS-27  Port Washington 0.8 N  Lat: 40.839167  Lon: -73.68025

* indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report
Station	NY-NS-27
Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 1.04 07/02/2021 1.12 07/03/2021 2.26 07/04/2021 0.79 07/05/2021 0.00 07/06/2021 0.00 07/07/2021 0.43 07/08/2021 0.01 07/09/2021 3.07 07/10/2021 2.06 07/11/2021 0.02 07/12/2021 0.21 07/13/2021 0.04 07/14/2021 0.02 07/15/2021 T 07/16/2021 0.00 07/17/2021 0.00 07/18/2021 0.28 07/19/2021 0.05 07/20/2021 0.01 07/21/2021 T 07/22/2021 0.34 07/23/2021 0.01 07/24/2021 0.00 07/25/2021 0.22 07/26/2021 2.33 07/27/2021 0.01 07/28/2021 0.31 07/29/2021 0.01 07/30/2021 0.12 Totals :  14.76 in.

Brazil has been unusually cold and old people are talking about the first snowfall they've ever seen there in their entire lives.  Large amounts of crops frozen.  Part of the same pattern?

 

[etudiant]

16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Brazil has been unusually cold and old people are talking about the first snowfall they've ever seen there in their entire lives.  Large amounts of crops frozen.  Part of the same pattern?

 

Buy coffee, the cold in Brazil will really impact supply.

Maybe switch to Red Bull?

[LoboLeader1]

Reached 81 for a high here. Currently 77/DP 52/RH 40

[ForestHillWx]

Perfect night to be outside. Light breeze, cloudy less sky, Venus on the horizon, temp  67 currently, supposed to bottom at 50; we will see.

 

[donsutherland1]

Fair but somewhat cooler than normal weather will prevail through the weekend. Tomorrow will be especially cool. Temperatures will likely start out in the 50s outside of New York City and rise only into the upper 70s in and around the City and possible lower 80s from central New Jersey southward.

Through much of July, the area of drought over northwestern North America has largely driven the upper air pattern. The MJO has played a much lesser role. Should that remain the case, much of August could see warm temperature anomalies in the western half of the United States, especially the northwestern U.S. and western Canada. The Northeast could see near normal or below normal readings. Since 1869, there were 9 cases where July saw 8.00" or more of rain. Only 1988 saw a much warmer than normal August (78.8° mean temperature). The remainder of that set of years saw mean temperatures below the 1991-20 August mean of 76.0°.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.5°C for the week centered around July 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August.

The SOI was +13.11 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.713 today.

On July 28 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.303 (RMM). The July 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.435 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.0° (1.5° below normal).

 

[SACRUS]

7/30

ACY: 88
PHL: 87
EWR: 87
JFK: 86
BLM: 86
ISP: 85
New Brnswck: 85
LGA: 85
TTN: 84
TEB: 82
NYC: 82

[Stormlover74]

27 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Perfect night to be outside. Light breeze, cloudy less sky, Venus on the horizon, temp  67 currently, supposed to bottom at 50; we will see.

 

Very September like for sure 

[nycwinter]

maybe early september not late  september

[dmillz25]

Feel amazing out right now

[nycwinter]

2 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

Feel amazing out right now

are you talking about the yanks or the weather?

[CIK62]

The last day of July is averaging  71degs.(63/80), or -7.

Month to date is  76.3[-1.3].         July should end at 76.1[-1.4].

Big HW starts around August 09.     EURO keeps predicting rain and losing it.

63*(60%RH) here at 6am, m.clear.       Reached 80* at 6pm.

[IrishRob17]

21 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

The last time I reached the 40s in July were on 7/1/10: 48 and 7/2/10: 47

Only got down to 51, dammit. 

[bluewave]

Looks like Islip tied the record low of 55°. FOK made it down to 47° Which is a tie of its record low.

31 Jul 5:56 am

55

49

 

31 Jul 5:53 am

47