Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,001
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, user13 said:

For sure that's why looking at regional averages is better vs a localized record.

Brooklyn had a 6" deluge in June 1962 while everywhere else did not reach 2"...since Central Park has 150 years of record I used that tiny spot in the Park...

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

I mostly missed out on this and got some tail end rain.       For the record, this was 2:30AM today:

1626071520-m2gsHlj7UU0.png

I woke up from some thunder from this and took a peek at the radar. The amount of rotation in the northern part of that cell was very noticeable on radar. I'm surprised no warnings went up for it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

20th 90 of the year for ewr

 While in the New York City metro region Central Park 85 laguardia 81  White Plains 81 Teterboro  86.  I'll bet that every one of those sites has less than 10 90゚ days.  That area in North central New Jersey near Newark and the surrounding counties have a climo like Washington DC.  I'll bet even philly and Trenton have less

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, binbisso said:

 While in the New York City metro region Central Park 85 laguardia 81  White Plains 81 Teterboro  86.  I'll bet that every one of those sites has less than 10 90゚ days.  That area in North central New Jersey near Newark and the surrounding counties have a climo like Washington DC.  I'll bet even philly and Trenton have less

I highly doubt Newark is actually hotter than Philly, there's been some speculation that EWR is running too hot.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Gravity Wave said:

I highly doubt Newark is actually hotter than Philly, there's been some speculation that EWR is running too hot.

Newark is accurate.This summer is an over the top heat pattern. So DCA to Philly is running cooler than points further north. 
 

Summer 2021 highs so far

Boston…….100°

Hartford…..99°

LGA…….….100°

Corona……103°

Newark…..103°

Philly……….97°

DCA………..95°

0D498FEF-8551-4B12-8C1E-59DA50E1F2E1.gif.82074d8e7c24dde1a49bd3e04f12e60f.gif

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, binbisso said:

 While in the New York City metro region Central Park 85 laguardia 81  White Plains 81 Teterboro  86.  I'll bet that every one of those sites has less than 10 90゚ days.  That area in North central New Jersey near Newark and the surrounding counties have a climo like Washington DC.  I'll bet even philly and Trenton have less

Oops, they all have 10 or more days. Try again. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Newark has been accurate. It’s and over the top heat pattern. So DCA to Philly is running cooler that points further north. 
 

Summer 2021 highs so far

Boston…….100°

Hartford…..99°

LGA…….….100°

Corona……103°

Newark…..103°

Philly……….97°

DCA………..95°

0D498FEF-8551-4B12-8C1E-59DA50E1F2E1.gif.82074d8e7c24dde1a49bd3e04f12e60f.gif

Bluewave all reporting stations in July are running from-1 to -2.5 including Connecticut but Newark is at +1 with today included. We know of cpk problems but Newark seems to be off too. For example Philly high was 92* today Newark 93* most other metro area stations were in the mid 80s

  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Oops, they all have 10 or more days. Try again. 

 Central Park 10 laguardia 10 White Plains 8 just did my research I'm not too far off and  they are less than half of what Newark has  would love to know what philly and Trenton  have as far as 90゚ days 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, binbisso said:

Bluewave all reporting stations in July are running from-1 to -2.5 including Connecticut but Newark is at +1 with today included. We know of cpk problems but Newark seems to be off too. For example Philly high was 92* today Newark 93* most other metro area stations were in the mid 80s

Newark is in line with the reporting stations west of NYC that are running a little above normal MTD.

8EB6A345-349C-414B-B5CE-2EB99BB85EBD.thumb.png.d543e26fccd9512ed66a67929b6ea90a.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Under partly sunny skies, temperatures surged into the 80s in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. South of there, especially from Newark, temperatures rose into the 90s.

90° Days for Select Cities (through July 12):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 13 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 21 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 13 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 6 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 7 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 15 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 13 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 3 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 5 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 11 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 10 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 20 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 16 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 11 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 17 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 12 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 12 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and cooler in the northern Mid-Atlantic region. Showers and thundershowers are possible. Washington, DC to Philadelphia will likely see readings surge into the lower and middle 90s.

In the long-range, the second half of July and August could wind up warmer to perhaps much warmer than normal based on the evolution of the MJO. The MJO was in Phase 1 with an amplitude between 1.500 and 2.000 on multiple days during the June 20-30 period. There were 8 prior cases similar to 2021. The mean temperature for New York City during the July 16-31 period was 79.4° and the mean temperature for August was 77.1° following such cases. The 1991-20 mean temperature for July 16-31 was 77.9° and 76.0° for August. 75% of the July 16-31 cases and 88% of the August cases were warmer than the 1991-20 mean temperatures.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around July 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged 0.10°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.13°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail through August.

The SOI was +17.24 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +1.253 today.

On July 10 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.381 (RMM). The July 9-adjusted amplitude was 1.329 (RMM).

In late April, the MJO moved through Phase 8 at an extreme amplitude (+3.000 or above). Only February 25, 1988 and March 18-19, 2015 had a higher amplitude at Phase 8. Both 1988 and 2015 went on to have an exceptionally warm July-August period. July-August 1988 had a mean temperature of 79.1°, which ranked 4th highest for that two-month period. July-August 2015 had a mean temperature of 78.9°, which ranked 5th highest for that two-month period. September 2015 was also the warmest September on record. The MJO's extreme passage through Phase 8 could provide the first hint of a hot summer.

Since 1896, 76% of years that saw Phoenix reach 115° or above in June, as occurred this year, had a warmer than July-August in the Middle Atlantic region. The ratio of top 30 July-August temperatures relative to bottom 30 temperatures was 6:1 in favor of the warmth. Overall, the ingredients continue to fall into place for a warmer than normal to potentially hot summer.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 46% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.3° (0.2° below normal).

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, psv88 said:

LGA I believe is 11. You bet that they all had less than 10

2021:

PHL:  16 (April: 0; May: 3  ; June: 9 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug:  ; Sep:  )
EWR: 20(April: 0; May: 4  ; June: 12 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
TTN: 12 (April:0 ; May: 1  ; June: 8 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: )
LGA: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 9 ; Jul: 2; Aug: ; Sep: )
ACY: 12 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 4  ; Aug:  ; Sep: )
TEB: 11 (April: 0; May: ; June: 9 ; Jul:  2  ; Aug: ; Sep:  )
NYC: 10 (April: 0 ; May:  ; June: 8; Jul: 2; Aug:  ; Sep: )
JFK: 5  (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 3 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: )
ISP: 3(April: 0; May:1 ; June: 1 ; Jul:1 ; Aug:   ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 17 (April: 0 , May: 3, June: 10, July: 4; Aug:  ;Sep:;  )
BLM: 18

 

89 degree days

EWR: 3
ACY: 4
PHL: 4
TTN: 4
NYC: 2
ISP: 3
BLM: 2
TEB: 3 89
JFK: 2
LGA: 2

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For whatever reason, Newark is the hottest major recording station in our area in the summer. I believe the local environment of concrete, maybe all the chemical and industrial facilities nearby, the wide open space of a major airport and with many large planes and that sun beating down on all the tarmac, probably has a play in those temperature readings. I don't think the readings are wrong, just a product of the environment, just like Central Park is a product of that environment.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

After all the evidence posted by Bluewave over the last couple of months we're still going with, "something must be wrong with Newark's temp readings!!".  

 

Also Newark is mostly in line with interior Queens as posted by Bluewave several times.  

  • Like 5
  • Weenie 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...