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wdrag

April 2021

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The last 3 days of April are averaging 65degs., or +7.0.

Month to date is  53.5[+0.9].       April should end at 54.7[+1.7].

Every model and its Ensemble, plus the National Blend, has 81 to 85 for today.    They are going to look stupid if..................

Just 0.3" of rain for Thurs. PM to Fri. PM showing now.

The first 10 days of May are averaging 62degs.(53/71), or +3.0.

Curiously>>>>>My 1967 NYC Almanac which has the 30-Year Norms as of 1931-60, I assume-----has April up by +1.6{53.0-51.4} since then----but has May as unchanged during the last 50+ years at 62.4.

54*(84%RH) here at 6am, summery blue skies.      58* by 9am.       60* by 10am.       62* by Noon.       65* by 12:30pm.       Back down to 61* at 2pm.      Down again to 60* at 3pm.        Back up to 66* at 4pm(the high so far!)         Reached 71* at 6pm.      A new high of 72* was reached around 9pm.           67* by 11am.

A

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Morning thoughts...

Today will be partly sunny and very warm. Clouds could increase late in the day. High temperatures will likely reach the 80s in much of the region, with the exception of Long Island, the Connecticut shore, and parts of the Jersey Shore. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 83°

Newark: 84°

Philadelphia: 86°

Tomorrow will be mostly cloudy with some rain. Rainfall of 1” or more will likely be confined to central New York State and central New England northward. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 60s and lower 70s.

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Temperatures are off to the races for areas that get into a westerly flow like we are first seeing in Central New Jersey. WRI just experienced a 25° jump in just 3 hours. So our local spots that can go more westerly will quickly rise into the 80s. 

2C26BA21-13AF-463A-AEC8-E9F9529B150A.png.bfcdf925c5ae80d74fb35fbbf9f83cea.png

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1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Upton says 82 out here. We’ll see. 64 now

When there’s been wind so far today it’s been NE. We need westerly to get anywhere near 80. 

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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Temperatures are off to the races for areas that get into a westerly flow like we are first seeing in Central New Jersey. WRI just experienced a 25° jump in just 3 hours. So our local spots that can go more westerly will quickly rise into the 80s. 

2C26BA21-13AF-463A-AEC8-E9F9529B150A.png.bfcdf925c5ae80d74fb35fbbf9f83cea.png

You definitely see the difference. Near Philly already in the upper 60s, 10 degrees cooler up here where we haven’t gotten the westerly wind. I guess we’ll see where the back door ends up today. 

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Just now, jm1220 said:

You definitely see the difference. Near Philly already in the upper 60s, 10 degrees cooler up here where we haven’t gotten the westerly wind. I guess we’ll see where the back door ends up today. 

We aren’t in the upper 50s, even islip is 63 now

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feeling the toastiness already despite cloudiness dominating more than the sun. Sitting on the edge of today's marginal so we'll see what happens. Storms probably weaken on approach if anything does happen

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NWS forecast was 88 here. We'll see. It's 67 with nearly calm wind to an occasional light NE breeze. The Park is 72 though. This is the time of yr when sometimes they can actually be the city's warm spot. East of Manhattan it looks like a struggle. 

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14 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

dont see the park hitting 85 third straight say temps have underperformed according to local mets forecasts..

Up to 77 at the park. Probably hit 80-81 

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when the sfc low gets northeast of us we'll probably see some late highs near the city

hrrr_mslp_wind_neus_6.png

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T SUMMARY AS OF 1:15PM.        T IN CONEY ISLAND HAS NOT PASSED 65* (1500" FROM WATER).        IN FACT, HAS FALLEN BACK TO 62* NOW AT 1:30PM.       WENT SHOPPING WHICH IS JUST ANOTHER 1,000' NORTH AND IT FELT MUCH WARMER ALREADY.        AT 1PM    NEWARK 82, NYC 77, JFK just 66*.

1619630100-FPpd3UQoLZM.png

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