Lava Rock Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Would love to key that.Lol, just spit up my wineSent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 1 hour ago, George001 said: The MJO wave is strengthening on the guidance. The models are now taking it into phase 2 which is good for snow in the east. I don’t think it’s over just yet. Would you say that in May? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Topped out at 50F. We take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 4 hours ago, PhineasC said: Just an incredibly boring look on the models for weeks now and continuing into mid-March. Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: Terrible. There hasn’t been anything interesting to track since we were rooting for the RGEM in the lead up to the early Feb storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 28 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Topped out at 50F. We take Love the variance in New England. Upper 20s this afternoon with snow showers up here (4” past 24 hours) but still at a low elevation... continued flurries. I can’t wait till that first sunny 50F day. I love that type of year when it’s mild over snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Love the variance in New England. Upper 20s this afternoon with snow showers up here (4” past 24 hours) but still at a low elevation... continued flurries. I can’t wait till that first sunny 50F day. I love that type of year when it’s mild over snow. High of 29° here with light snow on and off all day. No real accumulation though but combined with the inch or two from the other night, its made things look much nicer. This warm up reminded me of January thaws before they became all out blow torches. Settled the pack and put a crust on it but didn’t come close to clearing my roof, yard or driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, mreaves said: High of 29° here with light snow on and off all day. No real accumulation though but combined with the inch or two from the other night, its made things look much nicer. This warm up reminded me of January thaws before they became all out blow torches. Settled the pack and put a crust on it but didn’t come close to clearing my roof, yard or driveway. Central VT got a good squall axis of 2-4" with the arctic front. Up north of that axis we had a half inch here, to 2" at elevation... now this past event added 3-6". Western New England in the meso-scale zones have done well with squalls, upslope, and random snowfalls this winter. With a dearth of widespread synoptic events, we are surviving on the localized stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 42 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Central VT got a good squall axis of 2-4" with the arctic front. Up north of that axis we had a half inch here, to 2" at elevation... now this past event added 3-6". Western New England in the meso-scale zones have done well with squalls, upslope, and random snowfalls this winter. With a dearth of widespread synoptic events, we are surviving on the localized stuff. It was difficult to measure after the squall. I ride through several 3’ drifts tonight. Pretty impressive for the small amount of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Cold weekend, next week looks spectacular, but then beware the ides of March. Definitely getting more interesting mid March on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 47 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Cold weekend, next week looks spectacular, but then beware the ides of March. Definitely getting more interesting mid March on. Boobs out next week and in the following? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Boobs out next week and in the following? You can wash your truck at least 4 times next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: You can wash your truck at least 4 times next week What about the following week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What about the following week? Get out your shovel? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 spring Lesco application? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Get out your shovel? May be a good time to set up Davis. Ground thawed, Spring cleanup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Morning GFS says nada thru equinox day. Can I "beat" 2010's 0.6" for least snowy March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, tamarack said: Morning GFS says nada thru equinox day. Can I "beat" 2010's 0.6" for least snowy March? just when you think we couldn't possibly beat Jan for least amount of sn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 Larry Cosgrove is on board with a return to cold and potential snow in the 2nd half of March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Larry Cosgrove is on board with a return to cold and potential snow in the 2nd half of March. That locks up the end of snow season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Larry Cosgrove is on board with a return to cold and potential snow in the 2nd half of March. Cosgrove said the next system was favored to bring snowfall to the "interior" NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That locks up the end of snow season He has actually had the best handle on this season of anyone. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 There are signs of something maybe mid month or so...maybe continues into the 3rd week of March, but nothing imminent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There are signs of something maybe mid month or so...maybe continues into the 3rd week of March, but nothing imminent. Even 01-02 threw us a bone or two at the end of March towards the equinox that season IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Even 01-02 threw us a bone or two at the end of March towards the equinox that season IIRC. 6z GFS was nice. If you look beyond the QPF queens, nice signal near the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Even 01-02 threw us a bone or two at the end of March towards the equinox that season IIRC. We will probably get one more event mid month.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 26 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Even 01-02 threw us a bone or two at the end of March towards the equinox that season IIRC. I remember a couple events close together in Mar 2002...around 2-3" on 3/18 or so and then we had 7" on 3/20 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 The records for Randolph say I have about 45" of snow left to go. Doesn't look very promising to me on the models since we punt half of March at least, but we will see. I could see a sloppy 30" dump at 32 degrees in April after most of my pack has turned to mud that kinda cheats me most of the way there, I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Larry Cosgrove is on board with a return to cold and potential snow in the 2nd half of March. Is he on board with : A ... sun being mid September inferno by then ... ? B ... any model run/blend or technique therein deriving pattern expectation, for that range, is historically and will likely be proven again... suspect while the hemisphere is adjusting daily to that forced +d(watt/sq*m) insolation as it increases S-N so quickly to become factor-able perturbation in the guidance. ...big words for, "the sun f*s up winter-profiled outlooks good and proper nearing the Equinoxes." I get 'why' he/others/ et al are saying this .. I'm not blind to the models - in a vacuum sure. Can't do that tho - just bear the above in mind, that's all. Those models have historically proven susceptible to these factors above. And, I'm also sensing a present lack in necessary awareness of these above ... People are treating next week's warm up as some ..intermediate thaw and then it's back to the winter hope scheme... Nahhh... get real. These 'para' phrased quotes that get bandied about in here. He might have said that ..or at least intimated that caution re A and B above - if he's a good Met he is at least thinking about that... I have seen countless delicious patterns on March 20th+ when projected from earlier in that month ... end up tasting sour when they come to pass because of rather sudden normalization of the gradients by irradiance bathing .. In fact, trying to do risk assessment/determinism in April also suffers this too. It's not every case, either - it's just increasing error tendency. We've had blizzards in May ... but we also tend to confuse/ .. or remove the sloping probability reality, replacing it with absolute interpretation when reading these skeptical posts. Don't.. I'm not say it can't ... it's getting harder, fast. I mean ..duh, 2 week intervals are always 'edubacated' guess work in the best of times, but spring? Mm...'spring modulation effect' is on, and is notoriously adding to that uncertainty even more... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 4, 2021 Share Posted March 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Is he on board with : A ... sun being mid September inferno by then ... ? B ... any model run/blend or technique therein deriving pattern expectation, for that range, is historically and will likely be proven again... suspect while the hemisphere is adjusting daily to that forced +d(watt/sq*m) insolation as it increases S-N so quickly to become factor-able perturbation in the guidance. ...big words for, "the sun f*s up winter-profiled outlooks good and proper nearing the Equinoxes." I get 'why' he/others/ et al are saying this .. I'm not blind to the models - in a vacuum sure. Can't do that tho - just bear the above in mind, that's all. Those models have historically proven susceptible to these factors above. And, I'm also sensing a present lack in necessary awareness of these above ... People are treating next week's warm up is some ..intermediate thaw and then it's back to the winter hope scheme... Nahhh... get real. These 'para' phrased quotes that get bandied about in here. He might have said that ..or at least intimated that caution re A and B above - if he's a good Met he is at least thinking about that... I have seen countless delicious patterns on March 20th+ when projected from earlier in that month ... end up tasting sour when they come to pass because of rather sudden normalization of the gradients by irradiance bathing .. In fact, trying to do risk assessment/determinism in April also suffers this too. I mean ..duh, 2 week intervals are always 'edubacated' guess work in the best of times, but spring? Mm...'spring modulation effect' is on, and is notoriously adding to that uncertainty even more... He his him ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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