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Monday Morning 2/22 Snow Event

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if this can start around 7am like RGEM...we might have a few hours of snow at a good clip

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2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Goddamnit what is the obsession with staring threads? There’s barely even a possibility of an event and we already have a thread. Is it to seek attention? I don’t get it.

yes i want to see my name in lights

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27 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Goddamnit what is the obsession with staring threads? There’s barely even a possibility of an event and we already have a thread. Is it to seek attention? I don’t get it.

It's just a few days out. Who's it hurting? I like to know when my next round of being attacked by a warm nose is coming.

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9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

It's just a few days out. Who's it hurting? I like to know when my next round of being attacked by a warm nose is coming.

Whatever. Fine. 

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20 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Yeah, I decided to leave it because it's going to fail anyway, thread or not.

Watch this lame threat become our biggest snow fall of the year....LOL

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The model scorecard is abysmal. If 100 meant they got precip types, amounts, start and end time, and temperatures correct and 0 meant all wrong then they are squarely at a 35 over the last 2-3 weeks. 

Luckily , every other scientific entity that we rely on does not operate at this accuracy level 

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I think this thread is good. We need to separate out events even if they are gonna bite the dust. Anyway someone on this  forum MAY score.    

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It looks like precip would start around 6-8am even on the euro right? It's a warm front/band of precip on the move and by 18z it's already east of 95. I havent looked all that close tho. Soundings look half decent at 12z monday. It would make sense this winter to get ok snow in an unconventional and convoluted way. 

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If one believes LWX, it's currently calling for 0.3 of decorator snow at DCA, to then be warmed and washed away by rain.

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37 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

It looks like precip would start around 6-8am even on the euro right? It's a warm front/band of precip on the move and by 18z it's already east of 95. I havent looked all that close tho. Soundings look half decent at 12z monday. It would make sense this winter to get ok snow in an unconventional and convoluted way. 

I wonder if mesos will pickup on possible convective snow showers Monday or at minimum some impressive rates . Here's the Rgem 700mb  vv's . Looks somewhat impressive.  Could get even better as we near ?

 

700hvv.us_ma.png

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Looks like a 4 to 6 hour window for precip.  I think the potential of basically a coating to 2" isn't that far fetched. 

Wouldn't be shocking to see some 2" reports in Northern Carroll and Northern Baltimore counties.

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We’ve had ensemble maps posting to the point of nausea this year but with a system approaching Monday we can’t get a single ensemble map? Friday either? Somebody kidnap Will?

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