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NorthHillsWx

February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat

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I’m at 31.3 with a wet bulb of 30.2 in South Durham, right at I-40. A solid glaze on elevated surfaces/trees (maybe 0.05”), but sidewalks and roads are just wet. I’m surprised we got this cold here based on trends late last night.


At 9 AM, my station was 2.2°F colder than the NAM and 1.4°F colder than the HRRR projected. Some more light precip moving in now so we’ll see if those trends mean anything at this point. Oddly enough, GFS/RDPS have been the most accurate on temps so far.

 

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Icing on trees and elevated surfaces...some on grass.  Temps rising above freezing in last 30 minutes (32.3 now).   Lowest temp was 30.6.   Heavier precip rates moving in with increased sleet mixing in.  Lights just flickered unfortunately.

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I'm back to freezing rain with lighter radar returns overhead.  Had enough sleet to make the roads slushy.  I measured right around .20" ice accrual on elevated surfaces, so we're not too far away from meeting Winter storm criteria here.  

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NW High Point

Light freezing rain, 32 degrees

Trees are starting to sag a bit and hearing that cracking with the breeze, "icicles" on deck and fence are about 2" to 3".

Power has flickered off and back on once.

Crossing my fingers we are dodging the worst of it.

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main batch of precipitation has moved through.  Only light rain now.   Looks like maybe .10 to .15 accrual on trees.  Sleet seemed to help and temps went above freezing during heavier rain (latent heat release?)  Hopefully we can melt these trees off before temps drop again.  (32.5 / 31)

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5 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

By the way , another bad showing for the Weather Channel. They have a reporter in DC expecting 5-8" of snow , I watched earlier and they were getting sleet.

They just missed though.  I have a coworker in NW Baltimore suburbs and they have 6" and still hammering.

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I saw a Weathernation crew in a parking lot on New Garden Rd in Greensboro around 7:30 this morning.  They were not broadcasting, just sitting in their truck.   I'm guessing 1/8" of ice on branches and outside furniture.  Steady rain coming through now.

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2 minutes ago, BG_Slick said:

main batch of precipitation has moved through.  Only light rain now.   Looks like maybe .10 to .15 accrual on trees.  Sleet seemed to help and temps went above freezing during heavier rain (latent heat release?)  Hopefully we can melt these trees off before temps drop again.  (32.5 / 31)

Probably dynamic cooling.

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For all the SUPER weenies, check out CAMS , turn on the ncdot traffic cams, and see what has unfolded(or not unfolded) across the entire state!!

 Enjoy!!

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Count me as happy that we have seemingly dodged this bullet in Statesville.  Frozen precip is bad enough for business, but the amount of ice predicted would have killed it through the weekend, and that would have been the least of my concerns.  I've been all over the northern end of the county already this morning, and all roads have been very clear.  Even saw the sun trying to peek through very quickly a few min ago.  Certainly seemed to be clearing.  Hoping those who get more ice fare well, and the power stays on for them! 

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8 minutes ago, davenc said:

For all the SUPER weenies, check out CAMS , turn on the ncdot traffic cams, and see what has unfolded(or not unfolded) across the entire state!!

 Enjoy!!

Some awesome icicles on those cameras!  But overall the highways look great.  

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2 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Some awesome icicles on those cameras!  But overall the highways look great.  

Right. 52 at University in far NW forsyth looks icy, and some bridges here and there, but yes, overall the majors look to be in good shape statewide!

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At least for southern VA, the precip is beginning to fill back in to the south and west. Several more hours of freezing drizzle look possible, which would accrue much faster than the heavy batch that came through this morning. The upper energy is still way out west. Plus we still have the evening batch of freezing rain. Don't think we're out of the woods at all yet.

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