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2021 Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather - General Discussion


Kmlwx
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21 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Anyone's lights flickering yet?

Yes but it's not from the weather! ;)

Sun is breaking out, temps starting to move up.  We can do this.  The ENH has moved north but we're still firmly in its grip as compared to being in the bullseye earlier.  Never liked bullseyes anyways, staring into those could mean an ass full of horns, not fun! :P

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I take it back. The sun lost it's battle at the harbor. Back to full clouds. it feels like the last time we had actual clearing and sun/excellent heat up my way ahead of potential storms was the Derecho. I mean, i know it hasn't been that long, but....feels like it. We sock in clouds almost 100% of the time on days like this. 

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18 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

So, is the development supposed to occur after the passage of the remnant line of the MCS now just to the west?   Because that line looks like a weak POS.

As usual, the thinnest, weakest,  and most disjointed part of the line is aimed right at me.

I think this is the main opportunity, as that batch will likely reduce the instability, and there will likely be some subsidence behind this feature.     Can’t rule out some stronger cells popping up again this evening, but having a quick intensification of the approaching system (which seems possible but not likely?) seems the best chance for more organized severe.    That’s certainly what the HRRR has been showing. 

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2 minutes ago, high risk said:

I think this is the main opportunity, as that batch will likely reduce the instability, and there will likely be some subsidence behind this feature.     Can’t rule out some stronger cells popping up again this evening, but having a quick intensification of the approaching system (which seems possible but not likely?) seems the best chance for more organized severe.    That’s certainly what the HRRR has been showing. 

Thanks for that.  Looks very bleak for us out here then.

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10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

tornado watches are always exciting... if only I had one.

Fully acknowledging the discussion between HM and Ian, I'd like some sun. Maybe it's not crucial, but it can't hurt. 

Come north :) 

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